Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
I know that the polls do not look promising, but there are several reasons to believe that they over-state the case for a conservative win. Just this morning I saw an intereting analysis which suggested we might be in different territory entirely.

I imagine it's by design, they intend to undermine the moral of Labour activists and supporters. I know that, in my facebook feed, I have seen several of my friends on the brink of despair at the thought of a Tory win.

Personally I'm waiting till friday morning before contemplating a beer/hemlock cocktail but I don't think boris should count his chickens just yet, or his tax haven zillions either.

I have taken the view, right through the election period, that the only polls which matters is the one on thursday. Till then I live in hope.

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Mon Dec 9th, 2019 at 03:30:07 PM EST
I share your hope that things could turn out very differently than the polls suggest. It is one thing ventilating against Corbyn, quite another to change the habit of a lifetime. It is also very difficult to predict turnout if the weather is very inclement in marginal constituencies. Who is more motivated to get out and vote regardless? The very fact that Boris seems poised for an over-weaning victory could count against him on the day. What people say in public and do in private can be very different.

Grasping at straws, perhaps. But it isn't a done deal just yet. FWIW ICM have a poll out today with Boris just 6% ahead.

Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Mon Dec 9th, 2019 at 07:30:56 PM EST
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Did you know that Brexit Elects updates nearly every 5 hours? This and all the "tactical voting" planning to install the "correct" Lord Protector is noise.

Brits need to discriminate between idiot MPs, the legislators.

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.

by Cat on Mon Dec 9th, 2019 at 07:38:40 PM EST
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Yea - I've looked at it occasionally but prefer to do my own aggregating via wiki - where you can disaggregate by pollster.

Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Mon Dec 9th, 2019 at 09:22:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Corbyn tweeted about 4 million new registered voters, compared to 3 the last time around. And unless the Tories broke open their strategic gammon reserves from the Blitz days they won't be voting blue. I'd also expect a large number of first registrants to correlate to a general higher turnout.
by generic on Tue Dec 10th, 2019 at 08:16:30 AM EST
[ Parent ]


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