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Under the new plan, the text of the amendment would make clear MPs were "withholding support" from the legislation until the people were given a decision in a second referendum. If it were to pass, Labour would then abstain on May's deal.
Clever. Let the people decide. Get themselves off the hook.
Prrdictions on a result?
(See also: straight choice between May's Brexit and no deal)
Labour's plan is daft cos it simply results in kicking the can down the road when the result is not in doubt. After all, even if there is a referendum, May gets to pick the timetable, to decide on the question and what the available options are. Of course it's entirely possible that she might include sensible options in it, but my chances of winning the lottery are considerably more likely.
keep to the Fen Causeway
2. I think Remain would win, mainly because May's deal is considered as such a failure. This time Brexit would be the option that has to defend the specifics, while Remain could court votes from everyone who has a grudge against this specific deal.
Actually, I think Remain would win in a there way instant runoff referendum too. May's deal would get least votes and split between no deal Brexit and Remain, and Remain would win.
Either way, there would be a large pool of Brexit-was-betrayed voters up for grabs in the next election. Probably smaller in the three way runoff referendum, but still sizeable. To be picked up by UKIP or more extreme nationalists, if May is viewed as the main betrayer.
They'll always be there, and there's no particular reason to worry about them. They're certainly not going to take any kind of action.
The one absolutely consistent thing about Brexit has been the total lack of practical support for pro-Brexit protests and events. A few thousand people turn up to the events with the biggest publicity, but generally either pro-Brexiters simply aren't interested in practical action, or there are far fewer of them than we've been led to believe.
Farage has announced a pro-Brexit march from the north of the UK to London. Not only is the scheduling unappealing - it's twenty miles a day, for a couple of weeks - but Leave are also trying to sell £50 participation packs.
I suspect numbers will not be large.
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