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Of course the diary above is only one possible scenario amongst many, but it has come to be my mainstream expectation. I have avoided describing many others as it is long enough as it is.

But I have also re-read it many times to try and discover what is the least likely twist to the tale: where is it most likely to go wrong with the result that the outcome could be very different.

On reflection, the most likely flaw in my story is that Parliament will simply fail to get its act together. It may vote no confidence in Boris but fail to vote confidence in anyone else to form a government resulting in a no deal Brexit happening by default and a subsequent general election victory for Boris.

One should not underestimate the importance of fierce rivalries, petty jealousies, personal dislikes, ideological objections, and sheer cussed incompetence in shaping major events. Wars have been caused by less.

Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Wed Sep 18th, 2019 at 10:28:01 AM EST
Clearly, your scenario is not to the advantage of the Libdems.

Would they, therefore, prefer to prevent or defeat a confidence vote in an alternative PM not of their choosing, thereby precipitating hard Brexit to their own electoral advantage?

I think they would.

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

by eurogreen on Wed Sep 18th, 2019 at 01:44:44 PM EST
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In my scenario the Lib Dems end up displacing the Tories in the Westminster power duopoly, with Jo Swinson becoming leader of her Majesty's Opposition - quite an advance on where they are now. I doubt they would retain much credibility/support if they ended up enabling a no deal Brexit because of their antipathy to Corbyn.

Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Wed Sep 18th, 2019 at 02:37:26 PM EST
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