Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
Beyond the thorny issue of brext, whither the Tory party?

I'm not alone in thinkng that it will split in half. As I've said on several occassions, the big electoral opportunity for the LibDems is for the soft right One Nation conservative business vote. they've actually been trending in this direction for about a decade now, but this represents a real opportunity to make inroads by sweeping up disaffected tory MPs.

The ERG Brexit Firsters will retain the name but will gradually merge with uki/brexit party. If not formally, then certainly the membership will migrate over (this has already happened with ukip).

the big question is who gets the donors? Again, I thik this breaks 50:50. The City disaster capitlists and hedge funders will go with the tories, the SME/manufacturers and associated finance houses will go with the LibDems.

In the short term anyway. Quite how that pans out in the long term.....dunno

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Wed Sep 18th, 2019 at 05:45:44 PM EST
The UK's party system has already splintered and "rebels" rebranded. At some point UKNs will think about the past performance of individual, incumbent MPs as indicative of future performance ("pattern of behavior") rather than standard color (blue, red) before casting their measly ballots for election of desirable "policy" enacted by incumbents.

Or not.

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.
by Cat on Wed Sep 18th, 2019 at 05:59:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I suspect that the vast majority of Sanders supporters would migrate to Warren if she were the party candidate, and vice versa. There is not much between them on policies...
by asdf on Wed Sep 18th, 2019 at 11:25:35 PM EST
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