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I'm expecting Johnson to resign before he goes to jail and the UK to elect a caretaker who will deliver the extension letter almost immediately.

If Johnson doesn't resign Parliament has a number of other options, including emergency legislation to work around the limitations of the Fixed Term Act.

Either way - unless Johnson goes full Pinochet and puts the army on the streets, this is already over.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Sat Sep 7th, 2019 at 09:15:59 PM EST
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That would deter other EU members secession, one hopes, perhaps.

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.
by Cat on Sat Sep 7th, 2019 at 09:55:08 PM EST
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All he has to do is prevaricate and delay. He's got a specific timeline to follow, but it won't become clear that he has failed to deliver the letter until at least a day after his deadline (19 October), then it requires some sort of action by parliament--not likely to be instantaneous--and then possibly a lawsuit. If there were months or weeks of time to do it, that would be one thing.

What are the steps to imprison a sitting prime minister? Presumably a remoaner would apply to some (which?) court for an injunction on 21 October (the 20th a Sunday), then a judge would issue a summons on the 22nd? There would have to be some kind of a hearing, maybe a couple of days (23,24)? An appeal (25, 26)? Maybe on Monday 28 October BoJo is finally confronted with actually complying or going to jail. He goes to jail (29th), parliament agrees (?) Corbyn (!) to deliver the text to the EU (30), he shows up in Brussels on the 31st. EU waves magic wand and everything's good until January.

Very tight timeline.

by asdf on Sat Sep 7th, 2019 at 10:39:06 PM EST
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