Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
The Guardian, from London:

Boris Johnson to set fishing ultimatum in crunch EU summit

Buoyed by support for idea from Angela Merkel, PM hopes to overcome French opposition

Boris Johnson will demand that the increasingly isolated French president, Emmanuel Macron, caves in to UK demands on fishing as the price for a trade and security deal at a key meeting with the European commission president on Saturday.

The prime minister will feel strengthened by comments from the German chancellor, Angela Merkel, on Friday, when she described the fisheries deal struck by Britain with Norway this week as a "constructive indicator".

Politico.eu, from Brussels;

EU leaders sour on chances of Brexit deal

Brexit was just a brief information point at the European Council summit which wrapped Friday but the mood was clear around the leaders' table, EU officials and diplomats said.

"When I try to take to feel the temperature in the European Council, what is the temperature between the member states -- we are united, no doubt on that -- but there is the impression more and more that it will be very difficult to get a deal with the U.K.," said a senior EU official. "Because we don't have the impression that they put on the table a real margin in order to make a deal possible."

The senior official cited "this growing feeling" among some leaders "that maybe, maybe a no-deal can be less worse than a bad agreement."

Privately, according to officials present, von der Leyen warned leaders that no-deal, in which the two sides fall back on World Trade Organization rules, would be better than caving to British demands and ending up with a bad, lopsided agreement. "A bad deal would mean no level playing field which would be a threat to our economy," von der Leyen said, according to an official.
by Bernard on Fri Oct 2nd, 2020 at 06:58:42 PM EST
The critical question is: Who's negotiating position is strengthened by a period of no deal? I haven't seen any economic modelling, but my impression is that the EU, other than Ireland and perhaps Holland/Belgium, will suffer a lot less than the UK.

Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Sat Oct 3rd, 2020 at 10:24:15 AM EST
[ Parent ]
There is still time for one of Boris Johnson's famous U-turns. But as this article explains, the kind of agreement both parties are trying to negotiate is simply too complex to achieve in such a short time-frame.
It equals to creating a parallel of the EFTA, but specific for the UK, in just a few months. In hindsight, it probably would have never worked, regardless of the will of the parties.

by Luis de Sousa (luis[dot]de[dot]sousa[at]protonmail[dot]ch) on Sat Oct 3rd, 2020 at 06:16:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]
All you need to do is invent new terminology for "the actual agreement that we will operate under after we work out the details."  C.f., "Brexit Withdrawal Agreement."
by asdf on Thu Oct 8th, 2020 at 08:57:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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