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As I have said many times, Trump won because he got out 2 million voters who would have not passed the likely voter screens, there was a 74% of white vote to total vote, Trump won by ~80,000 votes scattered across Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania.  The most important bit of that is the white vote.  He won't get that this year.  Plus, if Pew Research is accurate, the total white percentage of the vote will fall to 68% and since 2000 the GOP needs it to be 72% or above to win.

I agree we need to be cautious but we also need to understand Trump's 2016 was a winning draw to an inside straight: it happens but that's not how it usually goes.


She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Mon Oct 19th, 2020 at 06:05:45 PM EST
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