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Voters have now cast 31,677,305 ballots, 23% of total 2016 turnout. 14,599,141 (46%) of these votes have been in states with voter registration by party

Of these,54% have been cast by registered Democrats vs. 25% by Republicans - a net lead of 4.23 Million.

roughly 3.2 Million ballots have also been cast by registered independents and others. If these tend to lean more Dem than Republican, as polls suggest, the total Dem lead could be closer to 5 Million atm.

If the 46% of ballots cast in states with voter registration are representative of the entire country, the Dem lead could be c. 10M votes cast atm.

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by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Tue Oct 20th, 2020 at 11:02:20 AM EST
To put this in context, Dems possibly have a 21M to 11 Million lead in votes cast at the minute. Almost 2:1. Not going to last, of course, but what if turnout on polling day was severely depressed by bad weather, Covid surge, technical glitches, voter fatigue, long queues?

Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Tue Oct 20th, 2020 at 12:21:51 PM EST
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