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That would hand Trump a win - but it would be clearly illegitimate.

2000 just about squeezed by, partly because no one expected it. But it's harder to make a case when Trump is somewhere between 5 and 10 down in the national polls.

"Interesting" would be the word. It would likely tear the US apart.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Mon Oct 19th, 2020 at 05:50:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I don't think SCOTUS will care a jot what the opinion polls say.  They have no legal standing. Some pretext will be found if the result is  close enough to create doubt. If I recall, there was statistical evidence last time that the voting machines systematically under-counted Dem votes, but nothing was ever proved beyond reasonable doubt. The presumption of innocence favours the establishment.

Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Mon Oct 19th, 2020 at 06:21:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]
SCOTUS won't, but voters will. You can't steal an election without at least some attempt at plausible deniability. Currently that's not available to Trump, or to SCOTUS.

In 2000 the result was ridiculously close, with less than 500 votes in a single state deciding the outcome of the entire election. And Bush had led in the polling in the run-up to the election.

The situation this year is very different. Trump can only win if he can find a legal pretext for manipulating the results in multiple states, most - possibly none - of which are likely to be very close.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Mon Oct 19th, 2020 at 06:53:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Roberts voted against the Rethugs in the latest PA supreme court ruling yesterday. the vote was 4-4, thus not overturning the lower court.

"Life shrinks or expands in proportion to one's courage." - Ana´s Nin
by Crazy Horse on Tue Oct 20th, 2020 at 11:08:24 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The USA has moved so far to the right in recent years, that even conservative judges appointed years ago are now to the left of the spectrum on SCOTUS

Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Tue Oct 20th, 2020 at 07:51:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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