Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
I am more than careful in accepting an analysis, even by Nate Silver. He too was quite optimistic in 2016 and so many fell flat on their face. Too many mail-in ballots are discarded and my theorem is the Democrats need to overcome  5% handicap in vote counting. So I'll accept the promising lead of the Great Lakes region, however IA, GA, NC, SC and FL will more likely stay Red.

by Oui on Mon Oct 26th, 2020 at 01:26:06 PM EST
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Florida convicted felons allowed to vote for 1st time in presidential election after completing sentences | ABC News |

"Florida used to have the worst system in the country when it came to felony disenfranchisement," said Julie Ebenstein, a senior staff attorney with the American Civil Liberties Union's voting rights project. When Amendment 4 was passed, about 1.6 million convicted felons who completed their sentences in the state were not allowed to vote.

"Politicians in Florida, unfortunately, in 2019 passed a law that interpreted all terms of sentence to include payment of legal financial obligation."

Like in many other states, people in Florida are charged various fines when they are convicted of an offense. The ACLU, along with several other groups, sued to block the financial requirement, but this September, a federal appeals court ruled that former felons are required to pay all expenses before they can vote.

Oh wait a minute, it's Florida after all! The swamp ... 😡

Florida ruled felons must pay to vote. Now, it doesn't know how many can. | Tampa Bay News |

Florida officials have not removed any felons from the rolls for owing fines or fees, and they're unlikely to do so before Election Day, Secretary of State Laurel Lee said in an interview Monday. It's unclear whether those whom the state fails to prune are entitled to vote after all -- or may face prosecution if they do.

With so much in flux, the winner of Florida's closely watched presidential vote could be decided by the courts for the second time in two decades.

Did anyone ever mention that Democracy in the New World is quite complex ... manmade. 😉 God was not part of it's creation, blind Trust. Oh, that's Justice in DC!

Ashcroft in 2002: "No  longer will the 'Spirit of Justice' bare her breast". Time for Americans to take off the blindfolds ... and wear masks.

by Oui on Mon Oct 26th, 2020 at 02:37:44 PM EST
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Latest Rasmussen (!) National poll shows Trump with a one point lead. 😖 All Republican voters can relax now, by uncertainty the Roberts college with Barrett on the bench will do the rest. Spooks of 2000 when the turn of the Century became a right turn of Civilization and Xenophobia as a political war cry. Shame. BLM
by Oui on Tue Oct 27th, 2020 at 07:41:39 AM EST
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In a concurrence, Kavanaugh cited Bush v. Gore as a reason against extending the deadline

"In Bush v. Gore, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled 7-2 that re-counting ballots in different ways violated the Constitution's Equal Protection Clause and 5-4 that no constitutional recount could be held before the members of the Electoral College were scheduled to officially cast their votes on Dec. 18. With that, five weeks after Election Day, Bush won Florida and thus the presidency, by 537 votes--out of about six million cast in the state." -- Time

Brett Kavanaugh's Wisconsin Ruling Lays the Groundwork to Hand Trump the Election | Vanity Fair |

by Oui on Tue Oct 27th, 2020 at 06:24:33 PM EST
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sinister salon RETCON enveloping the twitterverse of FIFTH WAVE Nader-nay-sayers...

tl;dr docket

What was the question?

by Cat on Tue Oct 27th, 2020 at 07:04:14 PM EST
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Ancestor worship is not well understood.
Anomie is not well understood.
Democracy is not well understood.
Rule of law is not well understood.
Electoral college is not well understood.
by Cat on Tue Oct 27th, 2020 at 07:08:05 PM EST
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by Cat on Tue Oct 27th, 2020 at 07:14:29 PM EST
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piece of paper: "We also note that Thompson expresses extreme personal hostility toward Bush, calling him in one recent article a 'madman,' a 'despot,' and 'a man without honor, 'a leader without conscience and a human being without a shred of decency or humanity.'"
by Cat on Tue Oct 27th, 2020 at 07:24:38 PM EST
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In Bush v. Gore, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled 7-2 that re-counting ballots in different ways violated the Constitution's Equal Protection Clause

How do the extra 2 electors for each state not violate the Equal Protection Clause? They could have said that Bush v. Gore was not a precedent; has Kavanaugh put an end to that argument?

by gk (gk (gk quattro due due sette @gmail.com)) on Wed Oct 28th, 2020 at 10:36:35 AM EST
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I preface my response with my position: #US Americans devoted to "democracy" should take electoral responsibility for the composition and acts of the state government where they reside; politics is local is sovereign; misplaced appeals to the supremacy clause d/b/a acts of congress (ex interstate commerce) or acts of executive authority to remedy civil rights complaints rarely succeed in review of articles of the constitution: incorporation doctrine, NB. christ Ginsburg for the majority. This is the salient, general lesson of historical judicial resistance to "broad" rulings of federal authority and "narrow" rulings of bill of rights, ostensibly prohibiting contravention of those amdts by any state. Also, never forget 10th amdt, Art. I, sec.4, or when and why or why not congress enacts authorities "implied," IOW, "not delegated" to congress.

-- Learn to Code independent and dependent variables--26 NOV, 8 DEC @ SCOFL "undervotes", 9 DEC @ SCOTUS, 12 Dec FL statutory deadline, FEDERAL "safe harbor" formula. (excerpts from Bush v. Gore)

The individual citizen has no federal constitutional right to vote for electors for the President of the United States unless and until the state legislature chooses a statewide election as the means to implement its power to appoint members of the electoral college. U. S. Const., Art. II, § 1. [...] The right to vote is protected in more than the initial allocation of the franchise. Equal protection applies as well to the manner of its exercise. Having once granted the right to vote on equal terms, the State may not, by later arbitrary and disparate treatment, value one person's vote over that of another
this statement: In Bush v. Gore, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled 7-2 that re-counting ballots in different ways violated the Constitution's Equal Protection Clause is conclusory, functionally incomplete.

(SCOTUS Q1) That statement omits review of Art II, sec. 2, specifically standing order enacted by CONGRESS, 3 U. S. C. §5, because it's a run-on sentence which definitively remedies defective execution of STATE "election code": when the code fails to produce a "bona fide" slate of electors (bound to the "bona fide winner"; see Chiafo v Washington, 2020), § 5 prescribes graceful degradation of controversy to minimum STATE "election code" a/o appointment date minus 6 days ("safe harbor").

(SCOTUS Q2) That statement omits the STATE's "election code" which limits "equal protection" (due process) to the fixed date 12 DEC rather than mandatory obligations and uniform duties, ie. ballot validation, complete count; SCOFL prescribed paranormal activity to contested county polling stations

The Florida Supreme Court has ordered that the intent of the voter be discerned from such ballots.
as if to implement "equal protection" of ballots the state did not and could not provide by 12 DEC.
JUSTICE BREYER'S proposed remedy--remanding to the Florida Supreme Court for its ordering of a constitutionally proper contest until December 18--contemplates action in violation of the Florida Election Code, and hence could not be part of an "appropriate" order authorized by Fla. Stat. Ann. § 102.168(8) (Supp. 2001).
lt hardly needs stating that Congress, pursuant to 3 U. S. C. § 5, did not impose any affirmative duties upon the States that their governmental branches could "violate." [...] In the interest of finality, however, the majority effectively orders the disenfranchisement of an unknown number of voters whose ballots reveal their intent-and are therefore legal votes under state law-but were for some reason rejected by ballot-counting machines. It does so on the basis of the deadlines set forth in Title 3 of the United States Code. Ante, at 110. But, as I have already noted, those provisions merely provide rules of decision for Congress to follow [?!] when selecting among conflicting slates of electors. Supra, at 124. They do not prohibit a State from counting what the majority concedes to be legal votes until a bona fide winner is determined.
circular reasoning of the problem as the remedy (recursion)
Q. How do the extra 2 electors for each state not violate the Equal Protection Clause?
A1. See Q1, Q2, Art. I, Sec. 2 re: electors. A2. Per Curiam decisions are by definition not binding instructions, final orders. However informed by the merit case re: error of law, SCOFL reversed its recount order 11 Dec. A3. Apportionment of electors is not the question presented by either Bush v, or DNC v. However, 2/state est'd de minimis STATE representation in federal gov; browse founders.archives.gov artifacts.

Wait for Census2020 Litigation Vortex from HELL in 2021.

by Cat on Wed Oct 28th, 2020 at 04:31:35 PM EST
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by Oui on Tue Oct 27th, 2020 at 09:36:27 PM EST
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Yes, but where in the law does it state that 1+1=2 and that you have to use the same counting system for Republican and Democratic party votes?

1+1=2 is clearly a fake news conspiracy made up by over-educated libruls to do down the common man.

Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Tue Oct 27th, 2020 at 09:42:51 PM EST
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Texas Supreme Court upholds governor's order for one ballot drop-off site per county

The Texas Supreme Court on Tuesday upheld Gov. Greg Abbott's order limiting counties to one drop-off site for absentee ballots, dealing a blow to Democrats and voting rights groups that won a temporary injunction blocking the mandate.

"The Governor's October Proclamation provides Texas voters more ways to vote in the November 3 election than does the Election Code. It does not disenfranchise anyone," the court said in its ruling.

by Oui on Wed Oct 28th, 2020 at 08:12:59 AM EST
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