in October his lead has actually gone up as President Trump's handling of COVID--and his own illness--has come under skepticism from seniors. And we've seen the 65-plus vote, in particular, blow wide open. Joe Biden had been ahead by five among seniors for much of the year. Now his lead is more like nine. Keep in mind, Donald Trump carried seniors by five in 2016.

A 14 point shift among the old folks means Trump will lose Florida and Arizona and that's the ballgame.

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre