Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
It's 9.5% this morning.  It could be statistical noise, but it looks to me like Trump's share shifting to roughly his approval rating.  He was underperforming it by a point or so.  And Rasmussen's polls don't have that huge effect on 538 that they do on RCP.

We also just don't have a lot of polling right now.  I'm assuming all the big dogs are either in the field or prepping to go into the field for their final snapshots.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.

by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Tue Oct 27th, 2020 at 11:43:59 AM EST
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People who look at the Congressional districts are saying the national numbers are 2 to 4 points below what the districts are indicating.

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre
by ATinNM on Tue Oct 27th, 2020 at 02:46:57 PM EST
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Political nerds better get to high ground. Blue Tsunami incoming!

"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Wed Oct 28th, 2020 at 07:10:55 PM EST
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