Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
Display:
Biden's lead declining in the 538 average from 10.7% to 9.9%

Meaningless statistical noise.  Rasmussen dropped a ton of their lying BS and moved the numbers.

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Fri Oct 23rd, 2020 at 03:15:36 PM EST
For example, they have Trump's Presidential Approval at +3

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre
by ATinNM on Fri Oct 23rd, 2020 at 03:17:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Rasmusson is more Republican PR tool than legitimate polling. Were they legitimate they would have changed their sample methods years ago, but their 'bias' is a feature, not a bug. Trafalgar is about the same.


"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Fri Oct 23rd, 2020 at 08:22:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It's 9.5% this morning.  It could be statistical noise, but it looks to me like Trump's share shifting to roughly his approval rating.  He was underperforming it by a point or so.  And Rasmussen's polls don't have that huge effect on 538 that they do on RCP.

We also just don't have a lot of polling right now.  I'm assuming all the big dogs are either in the field or prepping to go into the field for their final snapshots.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.

by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Tue Oct 27th, 2020 at 11:43:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]
People who look at the Congressional districts are saying the national numbers are 2 to 4 points below what the districts are indicating.

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre
by ATinNM on Tue Oct 27th, 2020 at 02:46:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Political nerds better get to high ground. Blue Tsunami incoming!

"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Wed Oct 28th, 2020 at 07:10:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Display:

Occasional Series