The gathering storm | 144 comments (144 topical, editorial, 0 hidden)

Re: The gathering storm (none / 1)

At the moment Alabama is D - R. Maine, Arizona, Colorado, and one seat in Georgia look fairly safe R -> D. Iowa, Montana, the other Georgia seat, NC, Texas (!), and SC (!!) are all on the edge.

Lose one, gain four, and six Who Knows?

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Mon Nov 2nd, 2020 at 03:29:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: The gathering storm (none / 1)

You left out N.C. which is a likely win for Cunningham. Add that to AZ Co and Maine and Dems get control of the Senate in any case and without Doug Jones. But one GA seat is likely as well and I expect at least one more.

"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."

by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Mon Nov 2nd, 2020 at 05:12:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: The gathering storm (none / 0)

NC is there

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Mon Nov 2nd, 2020 at 06:11:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: The gathering storm (none / 0)

I didn't put it in the 'Fairly Safe' category because I don't think it is. Lots of ignorant white hick Evangelical bigots hiding out in the western part of the state.

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Mon Nov 2nd, 2020 at 06:13:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: The gathering storm (4.00 / 2)

The Fight to Turn Georgia Blue | The New Yorker |
In the past four years, a million new voters have been added to the state's rolls, and many of them are young and nonwhite. "There are more latent Democrats here now," Andra Gillespie, a political scientist at Emory University, told me. "You've got white transplants who aren't conservative. You've got the African-American base. New Asian-American and Hispanic voters coming to the state. They all break Democratic."

by Oui on Mon Nov 2nd, 2020 at 06:15:33 PM EST
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Re: The gathering storm (4.00 / 3)

Drew has been on about this since the early Summer and I didn't believe it.

There's still the gap between registering to vote and actually voting. Dem voters have a long tradition of sitting on their asses and not voting. I concede that doesn't appear to be the case this time. We'll know fairly quickly tomorrow.

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Mon Nov 2nd, 2020 at 06:21:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: The gathering storm (none / 1)

Gwinnett and Cobb are basically Fairfax, just a couple cycles behind. ;)

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.

by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Mon Nov 2nd, 2020 at 06:41:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: The gathering storm (4.00 / 2)

YouGov released two polls today what when averaged have Biden up 9 in Georgia.

With that kind of number EITHER YouGov is going to be a laughingstock on Wednesday OR this is going to be a Blue Tsunami

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Mon Nov 2nd, 2020 at 09:00:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: The gathering storm (none / 1)

FiveThirtyEight has poll ratings, and YouGov do not score high.

Plausible polling shows a tie leaning Biden very narrowly and within MoE.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Mon Nov 2nd, 2020 at 11:39:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

meh (none / 1)

That story is a string of ambiguous anecdotal confessions--none representing "new" voters.
ACJ says +1M registered, but Kemp's man in SoS don't publish, as is the custom, BECAUSE

2018 turnout reportedly was 61%. 159 counties with well-oiled machinery. I'll take the under in 2020.

by Cat on Mon Nov 2nd, 2020 at 07:05:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]

The gathering storm | 144 comments (144 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)

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