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I see two possible scenarios for election night:

  1. Biden/Harris take Florida or Texas (or both). These states report results on the day, and Trump can not win without them. That will kill the race there. Even if Trump does not concede immediately the party is likely to desert him.

  2. Trump/Pence take Florida and Texas. As most rust belt states won't be able to report results on election night, no clear winner emerges. Most likely Trump declares himself victor and later contests elections in key states with Republican legislatures. A botched election and an uncertain future, with various personality claiming the Presidency.  

A question mark remains on how the election day will go. Trump and Murdock have summoned their militias to "patrol" electoral venues. But with current early voting numbers, it might well be that only Republican voters are left on the 3rd. Unrest in key states is likely to conduce to scenario 2.  

luis_de_sousa@mastodon.social
by Luis de Sousa (luis[dot]de[dot]sousa[at]protonmail[dot]ch) on Sat Oct 31st, 2020 at 04:45:47 PM EST

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