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It seemed to me that the race was frozen in place from the conventions until the first debate. Biden had a slight, precarious lead of a few points both in the overall popular vote and in battleground states. It was hard to tell if the difference was within the margin of error.

That changed after Trump's disastrous performance in the first debate and his subsequent hospitalization for COVID, although this did not become at all clear until yesterday, October 6. The debate and the hospitalization were two quick blows to Trump's reelection chances and they seem likely, at this point, to also secure the Senate for the Democrats.

But four weeks remains an eternity. Who knows what will happen between now and November 3, or, indeed, after November 3, even if Biden wins the election going away?

Interesting times indeed.  

"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."

by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Wed Oct 7th, 2020 at 05:18:12 PM EST
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