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Marquette University -- sort of the go-to Wisconsin pollster -- has Biden +5.
NYT/Siena has Biden up 6 in Nevada and 1 in Ohio. Which is...weird.
Quinnipiac has Biden +5 in Iowa, +13 in Pennsyltucky and +11 (LOL) in Florida. (FLORIDIAN NARRATOR: Biden is not going to win Florida by 11.) Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.
Voter suppression? (not hanging chads, I hope...)
Florida just doesn't work that way. It's a pretty evenly divided state and pretty stable. It changes a great deal over the cycles, but the changes tend to offset, demographically -- e.g., growing Hispanic/Latino and African American/Afro-Caribbean populations but also growing number of rural whites from the South/Midwest, etc.
It just doesn't lend itself to big margins. I don't think anybody's won it statewide by double digits (sans a big third-party candidate) since...Jeb in 2002, at the height of his brother's popularity post-9/11. Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.
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