Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
Biden currently has comfortable advantages (i.e. circa 2 times the polling margin of error) in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. That is all the Democrats need to win at this stage. However, four years ago Clinton had larger advantages in these three states and end up losing them all.

But. Biden is polling much stronger than Clinton in a large number of other "battleground" states: Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Texas and New Hampshire. And  momentum seems at this stage to be towards Biden, whereas four years ago it was slipping away from Clinton.

Naturally, none of this matters that much, as the Republican party is working to have state legislatures nominating electoral college members directly. After which all sorts of crazy things will follow.

Final note: I suspect this will be the last time Texas votes Republican. The demographics and economics of that state are changing fast and away from the rural mind frame of yesteryear.


by Luis de Sousa (luis[dot]de[dot]sousa[at]protonmail[dot]ch) on Thu Oct 8th, 2020 at 06:13:09 AM EST

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