Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
The article from The Hill is worth reading in its entirety. One of the analysist they quote is former Sen. Judd Gregg (R-N.H.), a contributor for The Hill.

' "In almost all of the swing states allegedly in play ... the deciding vote will be independent women. That vote has historically been center-right, but these folks are totally frustrated with the president. They find his style and demeanor to be inconsistent and he's not getting that vote anywhere. That's the swing vote ... and I think he's lost them. People have made up their minds. He's in big trouble. It will be a tough election for the people that are on the ticket with him."

When asked if he thought it was too late for Trump to turn things around, Gregg replied: "Yes." '

The best thing about this turnaround is that Trump is psychologically incapable of stopping doing what is costing him votes. Instead he will double down. Trump has always been prone to megalomania and now, with the steroids he is taking, that megalomania is exponentiated. He looks almost certain to lose the election big time. But buckle up. It will be a wild ride.

"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."

by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Wed Oct 7th, 2020 at 04:09:42 AM EST
Way back early 2010's I read an article making a good argument that there really is no "swing vote". With almost half the population not bothering to vote what looks like swing vote is actually voter activation.

Some candidates energize their "base" better than others, some even excite people who normally don't vote to go trough registration, suppression, gerrymandering and queuing to have their say.

Oddly enough, it seems to be Mr. Trump activating voters both for him and against him. Mr. Biden really doesn't seem to be able to energize even his own synapses at times.

by pelgus on Wed Oct 7th, 2020 at 08:38:28 AM EST
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You always hear this. People can't understand that there are voters that deeply loathe both parties/candidates and are not interested in a "Lesser evil" charade. If "none of the above" was a choice, voter participation would shoot right up.
by StillInTheWilderness on Thu Oct 8th, 2020 at 03:16:14 PM EST
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