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I'd ignore the battleground average for now.  There's a bit of a dearth of (high-quality) state polling at the moment.  

The "battlegrounds" this year also include states like Texas and Georgia, so in addition to the changes to polling methodology (now weighting by education), it's not really an apples-to-apples comparison.

Both FiveThirtyEight and RCP have Biden currently leading all swing states except Texas and leading by 5+ (nearly 6) in the Big 3 (WI/MI/PA).

Still time for things to change obviously.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.

by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Wed Oct 7th, 2020 at 10:27:13 AM EST

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