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In total, in an unmitigated epidemic, we would predict approximately 510,000 deaths in GB and 2.2 million in the US,  not  accounting  for  the potential  negative effects  of  health  systems  being  overwhelmed  on mortality.

'Terrifying' New Research Warns 2.2 Million Could Die From Coronavirus in U.S. Without Drastic Action

Mathematics of life and death: How disease models shape national shutdowns and other pandemic policies

From my own calculation extrapolating the numbers ...
Basic number: 200 deaths per 1M in Italy / Spain

Pop. 331 million
70,000 deaths in the US

Pop. 67 million
13,400 deaths in the UK

Pop. 61 million
13,200 deaths in Italy

China COVID-19 deaths
2.4 per 1M
Pop. 1.4 billion - total deaths: 3,300

South Korea
Pop. 51.3 million --  total deaths: 152

Per capita numbers already surpassed by a majority of European nations :: SHAMEFUL!!

Behind Italy and Spain, The Netherlands is leading the pack of many modern states: France - Belgium - Switzerland - Luxemburg - Portugal and Denmark.

The Netherlands
Basic number: 120 deaths per 1M
Pop. 17 million - 2,040 deaths

China's Culture of respect for the elderly ...

7 Cultures That Celebrate Aging And Respect Their Elders | Huff Post |

Aging isn't just a biological process -- it's also very much a cultural one.

Different cultures have different attitudes and practices around aging and death, and these cultural perspectives can have a huge effect on our experience of getting older.

While many cultures celebrate the aging process and venerate their elders, in Western cultures -- where youth is fetishized and the elderly are commonly removed from the community and relegated to hospitals and nursing homes -- aging can become a shameful experience. Physical signs of human aging tend to be regarded with distaste, and aging is often depicted in a negative light in popular culture, if it is even depicted at all.

Psychologist Erik Erickson argued that the Western fear of aging keeps us from living full lives. "Lacking a culturally viable ideal of old age, our civilization does not really harbor a concept of the whole of life," he wrote.

by Oui on Sun Mar 29th, 2020 at 10:03:04 PM EST

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