Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
Display:
The Contrarian Coronavirus Theory That Informed the Trump Administration | The New Yorker |

President Trump, who at one point called the coronavirus pandemic an "invisible enemy" and said it made him a "wartime President," has in recent days questioned its seriousness, tweeting,

"WE CANNOT LET THE CURE BE WORSE THAN THE PROBLEM ITSELF."

Trump said repeatedly that he wanted the country to reopen by Easter, April 12th, contradicting the advice of most health officials. (On Sunday, he backed down and extended federal social-distancing guidelines for at least another month.) According to the Washington Post, "Conservatives close to Trump and numerous administration officials have been circulating an article by Richard A. Epstein of the Hoover Institution, titled 'Coronavirus Perspective,' which plays down the extent of the spread and the threat."

[...]

You wrote last week, "In the United States, if the total death toll increases at about the same rate, the current 67 deaths should translate into about 500 deaths at the end." We are currently at eight hundred deaths--over eight hundred deaths.

First of all, let me just say I wrote an amendment to that, the thing I regret most in that whole paper. But I was not so much interested in explaining why my number was right. I was interested in explaining why the other projections were wrong.

O.K., but your number was surpassed in about a week, and now we're already--

I understand that, but the point about that is that, first of all, there was a simple stupid error, which is you would never want to put it in a model that total deaths in the United States relative to the world would be one per cent.

by Oui on Mon Mar 30th, 2020 at 11:00:50 PM EST

Others have rated this comment as follows:

Display:

Top Diaries

Occasional Series