Because of the "herd" policy wonkers in The Hague, the numbers are highly deflated.

My own best estimate for today:
Cases: 100k
Deaths: 3k
Deaths/1M pop.: 144

Numbers similar to New York at this date.

The UK and more so the US will soar above the poor statistics of the Netherlands. UK on target for 20k and the US for 100k deaths. Final numbers above these will conclude horrible performance.

This is spectacularly well done. In awe of @UpshotNYT colleagues.

Coronavirus in the U.S.: How Fast It's Growing [_link]

— Aaron E. Carroll (@aaronecarroll) April 3, 2020