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It contained a lot of statistics and attempts to model the further spread of the pandemics, while strongly advocating confinement (and doing it early) to flatten the curve.
There was a follow-up, about a week after, where he keeps developing a mitigation strategy called "Hammer and Dance":
Coronavirus: The Hammer and the Dance
If you hammer the coronavirus, within a few weeks you've controlled it and you're in much better shape to address it. Now comes the longer-term effort to keep this virus contained until there's a vaccine. This is probably the single biggest, most important mistake people make when thinking about this stage: they think it will keep them home for months. This is not the case at all. In fact, it is likely that our lives will go back to close to normal.
This is probably the single biggest, most important mistake people make when thinking about this stage: they think it will keep them home for months. This is not the case at all. In fact, it is likely that our lives will go back to close to normal.
The "Dance" part of it is a modular set of social distancing measures that could be strengthened or loosened, whose goal is to keep the virus transmission rate under 1.
Also, last week, a post specifically about the USA.
The virus has mainly affected Dem states, because large urban areas tend to be blue. But it's soon going to hit the red states. Hard. R governors are more reluctant than D governors to implement lockdowns that are the only known mechanism today to slow the spread.
And the virus is 30% more likely to kill a R voter than a D voter, solely based on age.
Incidentally, disregard for homeless, custodial pops, and "nonessential" workers' (rarely union, natch) med, "self-isolating" housing, and jobless benefits is universal. London Breed's (D -Frisco) "mitigation" plan is nearly identical to Jack Young's (D-Bal'more): stack 'em in convention center "field hospitals". tbh, this "leadership" simulates normal, SOP across (R) south and mid-west where med services are dysfunctional. archived: aha.org finite resources
Remember, March 28 UE print was 6.6M for the week, and testing kit access and distribution, rolled out 2 wks ago, is finally reaching critical mass. The story that medium chart pr0n can't touch is basic, American resistance public health, community, and welfare. The irony is, fed gov has exercised every Holy Playbook recommendation (2014 ed.) except, iirc, National Emergencies Act; and all the exec got from Congress was CARES.
Older than dirt market solutions to every problem, regardless of factional competition in uniparty. "Live free or die" hiding in the "we."
ALSO county DATA VISUALIZATION in the 50 state baby CSSE. The COVID Tracking Project exploits CENSUS2010 block level data (ZIP CODE) to infer rate of infection by "race or ethnicity," ie. garden-variety US housing segregation. < wipes tears >
Casually dropped in What the Racial Data Show
Nurses protested the lack of protective equipment outside Harlem Hospital in New York, as they scramble to save as many lives as possible during the coronavirus crisis https://t.co/rVzUmhnovS pic.twitter.com/2UaknsRHZb— Reuters (@Reuters) April 7, 2020
Nurses protested the lack of protective equipment outside Harlem Hospital in New York, as they scramble to save as many lives as possible during the coronavirus crisis https://t.co/rVzUmhnovS pic.twitter.com/2UaknsRHZb
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