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That would make sense if he sees his main first round challenge coming from LR. Every vote he takes from them is worth two as it decreases their vote and increases his. However he will also need some soft left votes for the second round against - presumably - Le Pen. So he should avoid antagonising the left unduly - unless he thinks his liberal/centrist vote will be sufficient to defeat Le Pen without soft left support.

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by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Tue Aug 11th, 2020 at 01:21:41 PM EST
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There have been only two instances of presidential second rounds with the extreme right: J.Chirac vs. JM.Le Pen in 2002 (Chirac won with 80%) and E.Macron vs. Marine Le Pen in 2017 (Macron won with 67%).

In each case, many left voters cast their ballot holding their nose, but with a clear aim to prevent a Le Pen from getting to the Élysée. Hence, the outsized scores, much higher than "regular" left-right presidential races.

Macron is obviously betting that, like in 2017, the left voters detestation of the extreme right will surpass their detestation of Macron's LREM. This is a risky gambit and many things may happen in the next two years.

by Bernard (bernard) on Tue Aug 11th, 2020 at 05:28:38 PM EST
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