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The Union will not survive the end of the NI Protocol - Brendan Heading - Slugger O'Toole
the peace process [...] is about stabilising the Northern Ireland state, parking the constitutional question to avoid it being a distraction, and governing it under cross-community consensus within the UK. Since Unionism by definition poses no democratic threat to the status of NI as part of the UK, it follows that there is a need to find ways to disincentivise the Irish unity case, which the NI Protocol achieves by ensuring there is no border within the island of Ireland [...]

To remove the protocol is therefore to remove a disincentive for Irish unity; [...] which would kickstart a future unity campaign. [...] Irish reunification would move from being a solution in search of a problem, to a solution that solves many problems, enabling full access to the single market to be reinstated for the whole island and finally an escape from the Johnson Tory party's political nihilism.

Schengen is toast!
by epochepoque on Mon Oct 18th, 2021 at 04:45:46 PM EST
good article, but the union was unlikely to survive brexit given the disparity between the votes in England against those in Scotland and Ulster.

However, it iscertain that the Union cannot survive Boris; his chaotic short-termism is already creating successive crises to which he has no seeming answer except to run away to Marbella. His posturing over the NIP to distract from his problems in Westminster simply ensures that the UK becomes friendless in the EU, DC and Belfast.

Meanwhile Edinburgh watches and uses it all as a cautionary tale

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Mon Oct 18th, 2021 at 05:35:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Whether Boris survives for another few months until after the next election is not known at this point, and a new Conservative PM (if they are re-elected) may or may not allow another Scottish referendum. They will have to decide whether NI is worth £12 Billion per annum and all the international opprobrium it attracts. It seems increasingly likely that any future EU/UK settlement - if there is one - will depend on the constitutional status of Northern Ireland being put to a vote.

Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Mon Oct 18th, 2021 at 07:49:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The DUP are threatening to collapse the power sharing agreement within the Belfast (Good Friday) Agreement if the Protocol isn't abolished. Given that removing the Protocol would necessitate a customs border within Ireland, nationalists should be threatening to collapse power sharing and campaign for an immediate re-unification of Ireland if the protocol IS abolished. That should provide the middle ground - keen to preserve the constitutional status quo, with enough ammunition to campaign for its retention.

Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Mon Oct 18th, 2021 at 07:43:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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