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Snowden, Syria, Vladimir Putin's 'Cold Peace' with the West | CBC - July 8, 2013 |

Regarding Snowden, Putin said. "If he wants to stay here, there is one condition: he must stop his activities aimed at inflicting damage to our American partners, no matter how strange it may sound on my lips."

However, Putin's gesture to the U.S belies a steadily deteriorating relationship between the two countries over the four years since President Barack Obama launched his putative "reset policy," aiming to put the relationship on a new course.

Many factors helped scuttle that attempt at rapprochement, including, most recently, conflicting approaches to the war in Syria and the West's strong disapproval of the Kremlin's crackdown on Russia's opposition movement.

But is the sour relationship really tantamount to "a new Cold War," as some analysts in the West have suggested?

by Oui on Wed May 5th, 2021 at 08:05:07 AM EST
Moscow's Perspectives on War in Libya | Carnegie - March 2011 |

The West miscalculation of inside Kremlin policy and power struggle. The Obama R2P fantasy of regime change shot down after gross failure in Libya.

Putin's Russia set against regime change in Syria | Reuters - Jan. 28, 2012 |

Echoes of Abstention: Russian Policy in Libya and Implications for Regional Stability | Princeton - 2019 |

Russia's abstention from UNSCR 1973, which allowed a no-fly zone in Libya and ultimately led to the collapse of the Qadhafi regime, has resounded across both Russian foreign policy and the security environment of the Near East. Competing theories claim the abstention was either a carefully-planned strategy or a tactical miscalculation, but the result--Russian rejection of regime decapitation and Western distaste for further intervention--is easily observed. In addition to tangible military and political benefits, the chaotic and unsustainable Libyan status quo bolsters Russia's political capital by discrediting that of the West.

by Oui on Wed May 5th, 2021 at 08:33:13 AM EST
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