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Also not an expert. But it seems like an invasion that is stalled, with extended supply lines, and an active local resistance, is in pretty big trouble.

It will be interesting to see what happens in those eastern regions. Maybe the enthusiasm for Russia will decline and Putin will end up losing them? Not to mention other areas. Belarus another question now.

by asdf on Tue Mar 29th, 2022 at 10:59:49 PM EST
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Indeed, it would be interesting to conduct an opinion poll over the whole territory of the Donbass...

* Do you feel more or less Russian/Ukrainian now than you did last Christmas?

In practice, the people of the Donbass will continue to be pawns, and they are unlikely to have any real say in the outcome. We can reasonably expect that Ukraine will have to concede, at a minimum, the occupied post-2014 territories to Russia, and at a maximum, all of the two oblasts that constitute the Donbass.

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

by eurogreen on Wed Mar 30th, 2022 at 08:35:06 AM EST
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