Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
I've got a sinking feeling about today's vote.
Firstly: turnout was lower in many areas favourable to Le Pen, so that may be a couple of percent who didn't vote in the first round, but will turn up today.
Secondly, the Mélenchon vote will split four ways: Macron, Le Pen, blank, no vote. Judging on what I've seen and heard, I would guess a fairly even 4 way split. Macron hasn't made many friends among them in the past couple of weeks.
Thirdly, it's going to rain pretty much everywhere. It may be enough to discourage many reluctant Macron voters.

850 voters last time; I would be surprised if we get 750 today. And I haven't yet seen a single racialised one so far.

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

by eurogreen on Sun Apr 24th, 2022 at 06:40:51 AM EST
It's not raining everywhere, far from that: many regions in the Southwest and Northwest have some sunshine today. In any case, good weather on a Sunday in spring is supposed to be bad for the turnout.

As for Mélenchon voters, polls showed those who will go and vote, to split two thirds for Macron and one third for Le Pen. As much as many people don't care much for Macron, they care even less for Le Pen.

by Bernard (bernard) on Sun Apr 24th, 2022 at 01:18:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]


Top Diaries

Occasional Series