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I just reread Article 16, and it definitely doesn't say what the Brexiteers keep saying it does.  First, it can be invoked only if "application of this Protocol leads to serious economic, societal, or environmental difficulties...."  The only difficulties the UK is facing have been caused either by its refusal to apply the Protocol or by Brexit itself, not by actual application of the Protocol.  Second, any remedial actions are limited to what is strictly necessary to remedy the difficulties.  Third, any proposed remedies first have to be referred to the Joint Committee pursuant to Annex 7.  TL;DR: If the UK unilaterally pulls the plug on the Protocol, it will be in violation of international law, and the EU would be within its rights to drop the hammer.
by rifek on Tue May 17th, 2022 at 07:03:24 PM EST
That is why the UK government has moved away fro threatening to invoke A.16 and towards directly overturning protocol provisions in domestic UK law in direct breach of their Treaty obligations. Boris says the EU won't retaliate. We shall see. I can't see how they can't respond very robustly.

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by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Wed May 18th, 2022 at 08:26:44 AM EST
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As usual de Piffle can't read a room beyond its shallowest aspects.  The EU isn't all he'd have to worry about.  The Irish diaspora population here is huge and includes the guy in the White House (Hells, I'm 1/4 myself.).  A substantial percentage of that population views the GFA as nothing short of a divine miracle.  If the UK does anything to torpedo the GFA, it will find out in a New York minute just how fast people here can get their Irish up.  And we're in an election year.
by rifek on Wed May 18th, 2022 at 06:45:06 PM EST
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