Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
eda.admin.ch | Casting Call, 2 May calendar update
President Viola Amherd announced the date of the summit on the Bürgenstock via social media platform X on 2 May 2024.
Following up on Ukraine's request Switzerland has invited over 160 delegations from around the world to join for the first Summit on Peace in Ukraine on 15-16 June 2024 at the Bürgenstock resort.
The summit will build on the discussions that have taken place in recent months, notably the Ukrainian peace formula and other peace proposals based on the UN Charter and key principles of international law.
The overarching objective of the summit is to inspire a future peace process. To achieve this, the summit intends to:
• Provide a platform for dialogue on ways towards a comprehensive, just and lasting peace for Ukraine based on international law and the UN Charter;

Why is the summit being held in Switzerland?
During President Zelensk*'s visit to Bern on 15 January 2024, Switzerland and Ukraine discussed the next steps towards a comprehensive, just and lasting peace in Ukraine. At Ukraine's request, Switzerland agreed to host a summit. Switzerland regularly hosts negotiations or acts as a mediator for talks and meetings.

archive "high-level" schedule conflict
by Cat on Thu May 2nd, 2024 at 03:50:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Ukriform venue shopping w/e 4 May

Ukraine is preparing seven more security agreements with partners
President Volodymyr Zelensk* said this in his evening
video address, Ukrinform reports with reference to the president's press service.
[EN transcript]
Today is a day dedicated to our international work—to the results that Ukraine needs in May and June. We are preparing seven new security documents for our country—bilateral security agreements, including a security agreement with the United States... Weapons, finance, political cooperation [...] The second issue is the European orientation. [...]
And, of course, the Global Peace Summit, the first of its kind, which can launch a real movement towards just peace. [...] And one more thing for this day. I have made several personnel changes in the Security Service of Ukraine. ...

Security Agreements
UK Foreign Secretary D. Cameron "kicked off" negotiation with Ukraine PM Denys Schmyal on a "100 Year Partnership" that will build enduring links between our two countries across the spectrum of trade, "security and defense" cooperation, science and tech[nology], education, culture, and much more." He also pledged GBP 36 million for Ukraine's capital improvements and unspecified emergency services.

Global Peace Summit
During another "United News" telethon presidential office head Andriy Yermak, emphasized again that Russia will not participate in the Global Peace Summit; "It is important for Ukraine that as many countries as possible attend the Global Peace Summit," to restore and respect principles of international law. He exhorted Ukraine's diplomatic corps to encourage participation by Chinese representatives who had declined invitations to previous NSA "work groups".

Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal said, Ukraine unites world to make aggressor realise that there is no alternative to Peace Formula to consolidate international financial assistance for Ukraine's reconstruction. The Conference on the Restoration of Ukraine in Berlin (11-12June), G7 Leaders' Summit (13-15 June), and the Global Peace Summit (15-16 June) are dedicated to this mission.

Political and Legal Co-operation
In a draft agreement CoE's Committee of Ministers took another step toward setting up Special Tribunal [30.04.24] with Ukraine to establish a Special Tribunal for the Russian crime of aggression. They assert that the ICC has no jurisdictional authority (Part 1) to try crimes of aggression, because the RF is not party to the Rome Statute. However, neither disputes ICC authority to arrest RF officials suspected of illegal deportation of Ukranian children.

The organzing principles, or "characteristics," of the Special established by COE and Ukraine Tribunal will not imitate either the ICC or UNSC Art. 41 tribunals.

It is worth noting that representatives of 141 countries voted for the UN General Assembly resolution a year ago, which supported the Formula of Peace [?] of President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensk*.
"Firstly," said Denys Maslov, Chairman of the Verkhovna Rada Committee on Legal Policy, the previous tribunals were established only after the defeat of the aggressor country and the detention of its leadership. Moreover, Nuremberg and Tokyo military tribunals were established before the International Criminal Court [ICC], whose prosecutor customarily investigates,  indicts, and tries UN Convention war crimes, crimes against humanity, genocide, and aggression codified in the Rome Statute Part 2. Maslov recommends creation of a duplicate repository, the International Center for the Prosecution of Crimes of Aggression Against Ukraine, for collections of evidence with which the ICC might not be privy.
by Cat on Sun May 5th, 2024 at 03:27:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Military intelligence general: Chasiv Yar's fall probably a matter of time

Additional disfunction UA forces ...

Ukraine is forced to haul its fleet of $10million US Abrams tanks back from the frontline after losing five of its stock of 31

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sun May 5th, 2024 at 08:55:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Christ is risen. (L) CNN: Sumy building damaged by a Russian drone; (C) Tendar: Belgorod building destroyed by FSB; (R) RT: Belgorod building destroyed by Ukraine Tochka-U

strana | Explosion in a high-rise building in Belgorod, Russia, probably occurred from the inside - OSINT-analyst

"This has all the hallmarks of what happened in Moscow in 1999, when the Russian FSB blew up high-rise buildings to 'justify' the war in Chechnya," the analyst added.
ukranews | Entrance of high-rise building collapses in high-rise building in Belgorod
The governor of the Belgorod Region, Vyacheslav Gladkov, has accused Ukraine of shelling and claimed that the high-rise building allegedly collapsed due to a shell hit. Nevertheless, according to another version, a russian guided aerial bomb, which the russians wanted to drop on Ukrainian territory, fell on the house. As Ukrainian News Agency earlier reported, guided bombs from time to time fall on russian cities, because they break off from aircraft.
vOLdeMoRT | Multiple dead after Ukrainian strike on residential area - Russian official
According to the Russian Defense Ministry, Ukraine attacked residential areas of Belgorod, using a Tochka-U tactical missile system, as well as Olkha, and RM-70 Vampire multiple launch rocket systems. The ministry further asserted that Russian air defenses intercepted six Soviet-era Tochka-U missiles, four Vampire rockets, and two Olkha projectiles. It was mentioned that fragments of one of the downed Tochka-U missiles had caused damage to a residential building in Belgorod.
cnn | With a Surprise! cross-border attack, Russia ruthlessly exposes Ukraine's weaknesses (11.05.24)
The northern border assault follows the creation of a new Russian military grouping called Sever (North).  George Barros at the Institute for the Study of War [ISW] in Washington told CNN that Sever is an "operationally significant group." It's from this new force that units of armored infantry tried to cross the border. The available evidence suggests they were expected and suffered significant losses. But if more elite units join (there are reports that elements from other divisions may do so) Russia's ambitions could grow.
archive Belgorod: this is a frontline, 24 January 2024 borders, 4 June 2023, Fear and denial 2022, Sumy: Energy Mathematics in Casualty, counter-offensives
by Cat on Sun May 12th, 2024 at 06:12:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Remember when NATO crowed that PUTIN failed to capture Keev? Or when NATO boasted that UKRAINE's summer counter-offensive regained almost all illegally annexed Donbas territory AND the Black Sea? How about that time the Pentagon bought MOAR Starlink equipment to replace UAF abandoned Starlink terminals? Then paid for SpaceX freight to the ISS, the moon, and beyond? And most recently revealed that RUSSIA had launched nukes in orbit with...dual-use DPRK rockets, Iranian weapons-grade uranium, and primitive Chinese microprocessors.  

NY Yella Cake | Russia in New Push Increasingly Disrupts Ukraine's Starlink Service (25.05.24)
In an interview this week, Mykhailo Fedorov, Ukraine's digital minister, said Russia's recent attacks against Starlink appeared to use new and more advanced technology. The service previously held up remarkably well against interference on battlefields, where there has been widespread electronic warfare, radio jamming and other communication disruptions. SpaceX did not respond to requests for comment. Russia's Ministry of Defense did not respond to a request for comment. Explanations for Starlink outages in Ukraine over the past year [?!] vary. Several experts said Russia had gotten better at interfering with the signal between the satellites and Starlink terminals on the ground by using powerful and precise jammers. For Ajax, the Ukrainian commander, the loss of Starlink service brought back bad memories from the war. When he fought near the Russian border in 2022 [!], his unit was sometimes cut off from Starlink, disrupting drone video feeds that were used for targeting artillery from a distance. In its place, the unit deployed soldiers to covertly watch enemy positions and direct attacks. "It became the old way with radios," he said. "We had to say, 'Move left 100 foot.' It was super strange."
Try to act surprised one year from today, when DOD parks "modernized" F-35s in Lviv.
by Cat on Sun May 26th, 2024 at 03:02:52 AM EST
[ Parent ]
ChatGPT jalopnik | $90-Million* F-35 Fighter Jet Crashes Straight Out Of The Factory, 29 May
A pilot from the Defense Contract Management Agency [dcma.mil] was at the F-35B's controls at the time of the incident. The plane had refueled at Kirtland Air Force Base, just adjacent to the airport, before the crash. The pilot ejected from the fighter and was transported to the University of New Mexico Hospital with serious injuries, ABC News reports.
archive September 2023 American sciences
It's difficult for mishaps with the Lockheed Martin F-35 to go unnoticed when the program costs the government north of $1 trillion. Last September, a Marine Corps pilot ejected from an F-35B during a training flight in South Carolina. The pilot ejected safely, but the plane went missing. It took over 30 hours to find the wreckage, which was worth $90 million to roll off the assembly line.
* tennessean | [Modernized] F-35 fighter jet worth $135M crashes near Albuquerque International Sunport, pilot injured
"The aircraft was a test jet equipped with Technology Refresh 2 (TR-2) and was transferring to Edwards AFB for additional test equipment modification."
ibid. GOA, "Program Continues to Encounter Production Issues and Modernization Delays": If Lockheed Martin delivers the software on this timeline, it will need to park aircraft produced over the last several months at various facilities. The parking arrangement, however, presents additional risk to the government should damage occur to some or all of the parked aircraft. [pp 24-25]
by Cat on Wed May 29th, 2024 at 07:13:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]
wapoo | Ukrainian men abroad voice anger over pressure to return home to fight,
"to the last Ukrainian"
"We all felt like the ground was pulled out from under us," said Oleksandr, a 42-year-old from Kyiv now living in Austria. "That Ukraine no longer wants to support us." Like other men interviewed for this article, Oleksandr agreed to speak on condition that he be identified only by his first name because he feared being ostracized or facing other repercussions.
"I am not afraid to die," Oleksandr added. "My biggest fear is to be captured and experience torture."
I gather, indefinite tour of duty isn't a topic of moral, political, or legal conversation.
archive April Fraught Mobilization Bill
by Cat on Sun May 5th, 2024 at 06:03:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]
newsqueak | Conscription Officers in Russia Keep Suffering a Grim Fate (18.10.22)
Roman Malyk, an enlistment officer in charge of mobilization in the Partisansky and Lazovsky districts of the Primorsky region in Russia's far east, was found dead on the evening of October 14, local officials said.
archive Yevgeniy Prigozhin, 40K WAGNER CONVICTS, ex-convict returned from war kills again, Prigozhin's rebellion

kyivindependent | Ukraine struggles to ramp up mobilization as Russia's war enters 3rd year (23.01.24)

...Once the draft law was made public, debate on its points quickly erupted both in parliament and in society at large, with the Armed Forces' Commander-in-Chief Valerii Zaluzhny holding a special press conference on Dec. 26 to clarify aspects of the document....
archive Prisoners with 'Combat Experience, UA's Ghost General, UK ambassador

yahoo! kyivindependent | Man dies at military enlistment office in Dnipropetrovsk, 7 May

...A 49-year-old man reportedly died at a military enlistment center in Ternopil Oblast in late February after staying at the center for multiple days. He was reportedly found to be epileptic but had bruises all over his body. The Special Prosecutor's Office of Ternopil was investigating the conduct of the center's employees for potentially abusing power....
reuters | Ukraine lawmakers back bill allowing some convicts to enlist in army, 8 May
The move is only expected to generate around several thousand new soldiers from a possible pool of up to 20,000 convicts, David Arakhamia, a senior lawmaker said. The bill, which needs President Volodymyr Zelensk*'s signature to become law, would not allow people convicted of the most serious crimes to enlist, lawmaker Oleksiy Honcharenko said....
ChatGPT | Ukraine moves to send convicts to the front line—minus the rapists and killers
...The Anti-Corruption Action Center, a Kyiv-based watchdog, called the vote "a victory with a bitter taste," given that not all types of corrupt officials were excluded from the law's provisions....
strana | "It is better to sit alive than to lie dead." Will Ukrainian prisoners go to the front?
Minister of Justice Malyuska said that there are many thousands of people who are ready to enlist in the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the colonies [?!]. However, a survey by Strana in the colonies showed that the situation is not so clear.
"I am not eager to go to war, no matter what is offered. I have a year and a half left to sit. Leave to fight without the possibility of demobilization, for an indefinite period? It means buying a ticket to nowhere. What is the point of changing one term for another, even with a high probability of becoming a corpse? Moreover, most likely, former prisoners in the Armed Forces of Ukraine will not be protected, our fate is to become meat at the front. Therefore, no," [said] Kirill V., who is serving time for theft, told Strana.
by Cat on Wed May 8th, 2024 at 10:36:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Zelensk* signs law on prisoner mobilization
"in exchange for parole"

Zelensk* signed a law on increased absentee fines for evaders
"up to 25.5 thousand hryvnias is imposed in absentia with the prospect of blocking accounts in case of non-payment"

by Cat on Fri May 17th, 2024 at 06:40:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]
yahoo! nv.ua | Ukraine mobilization law spurs trucker protest, disrupts Kyiv highway in Odesa Oblast
...According to eyewitnesses, hundreds of trucks are on the highway against the "draconian law of the authorities" on mobilization. Drivers from almost all regions of Ukraine came to the protest, the Telegram channel Our Odesa reports.

Traffic on the Kyiv-Odesa highway has been restored as of 5 p.m., Vitalina Bevzenko, a spokeswoman for the National Police in Kirovohrad Oblast, told Suspilne.

In a comment to RBC-Ukraine, [National Police spokesperson Olena] Berezhna said that about 100 trucks were standing on both sides of the road in Kirovohrad Oblast. Traffic was not blocked, and the roads were passable. Currently, about 15 vehicles reportedly remain on the road....

New Voice of Ukraine "information space"
nv.ua | The law on mobilization came into force today: all about new duties, deadlines, changes, and penalties for evasion
...These norms will work in conjunction with other legislative acts, resolutions and orders of the Cabinet of Ministers and relevant ministries, which were adopted in the spring of 2024 and affect the processes of mobilization and military registration. The standards of some of these additional documents are included below....
nv.ua | "The dead were thrown onto the tracks." 80 years ago, the STALIN regime deported 200 thousand Crimean Tatars—genocide in numbers and memories
...In memory of the victims of this crime, Ukraine celebrates the Day of Struggle for the Rights of the Crimean Tatar People on May 18. The Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine established this memorable day on November 12, 2015, recognizing the deportation of Crimean Tatars as genocide of the Crimean Tatar people....
by Cat on Sat May 18th, 2024 at 08:56:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Secretary Blinken delivers remarks at Kyiv Polytechnic Institute in Kyiv, Ukraine
(@ 01:29:49) People from every region, every community, every institution have stepped forward to serve, including at this university, where students, alumni, teachers, and other employees of Kyiv Polytechnic have answered the call to defend their homeland, putting aside their studies, their careers, their dreams, leaving loved ones behind. Eighty-eight of those men and women gave their lives for Ukraine's freedom. Many of their names are etched in the memorial on campus that I just visited with the rector. They include an aspiring book illustrator, a cancer researcher, a marathon runner, a muscian who opened Keev's first rock-and-roll—school of rock-and-roll—a veteran who lost both of his legs fighting against Putin's previous invasion in the Donbas and volunteered to serve again, when Putin re-invaded in 2022. Like countless Ukrainians these citizens never asked others to fight for them. Indeed, all the Ukrainians have asked is that you get what you need to defend yourselves and your right to survive as a nation. Your recent mobilization was a difficult decision but a necessary one. The defenders who have so courageously held the line for more than two years need help. They need rest. This will allow both, while providing your military with additional troops to fight off bigger invading forces. The mobilization will also allow you to hardern your defenses, to build more units, to take the fight to Russian aggressors. Now, our joint task is to secure Ukraine's sustained and permanent strategic advantage so that Ukraine can not only deliver on the battlefield today but deter and defend against future attacks.
by Cat on Tue May 14th, 2024 at 09:20:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]
president.gov.ua | Easter Greetings by the President of Ukraine (05.05.24)
It's a mirror that reflects our reality in times of war, the path we have already taken, and this Easter, and our entire present. This is what our amulets look like today. This is how we feel that God is protecting us through the hands of our warriors. This is how we see the protection of the heavenly forces, embodied in the Security and Defense Forces of Ukraine, every Ukrainian who devotes themself to the sacred cause of defending their native land from darkness and evil.
Christ is risen!
by Cat on Sun May 5th, 2024 at 10:33:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]
strana | "I will do everything so that Ukrainians do not cry." Five years ago, Zelensk* became President of Ukraine, 20 May
With these words, 5 years ago, the newly elected President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensk*, who took office on May 20, 2019, finished his inaugural speech.

This speech now looks like a video created by a neural network from a parallel reality.

"Demographic collection". "Servant of the people" is going to introduce a tax on childlessness of Ukrainians
The demographic fee is proposed to be paid [by] all residents of Ukraine from 21 to 58 years old until the demographic reform is carried out.

The tax will not apply to persons with three or more children, persons with infertility, impaired reproductive function, confirmed by medical documents at least once every 2 years, as well as disabled people of the 1st group.

The tax itself will be 1.5% for the childless, 1% for those with 1 child, and 0.5% for those with 2 children.

by Cat on Mon May 20th, 2024 at 10:38:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]
pravda | Zaluzhny's pause. As you can see, the appointment of Zaluzhny has not yet taken place. Moreover, he did not officially respond to Zelensky's written invitation to become Ukraine's ambassador to the UK, 5 May
According to our information, people with two arguments are walking around Zaluzhny:

Valera, leave for the sake of Ukraine, before May 21, otherwise I can drag you into a new Maidan, and it can happen to you, and then.... Well, you get it;

Valera, stay, we have one last chance to take out this green shobla on May 21 with Bankova. Then Ukraine will remain. There's no way without you. Only you can lead the column going to the Bank.

While Zaluzhny is considering these proposals in the shadows, the ratings of the government are rapidly declining, along with stocks of air defense missiles... And history is inexorably moving towards the next bifurcation point.

kyivindependent | Zelensk*'s term would have expired this month, but he's staying. Russia wants to use it, 6 May
Officially, the administration stays away from the topic. Unofficially, its members have been warning allies for months that Russia was preparing a targeted campaign to undermine Zelensk*'s legitimacy in the eyes of Ukrainians and the West. Undermining Zelensk*'s legitimacy is part of Russia's multi-component plan to destabilize Ukraine, Deputy Chief of Military Intelligence Vadym Skibitsky told the Economist [!] in a recent interview.
ChatGPT | Ukraine arrests 2 rogue colonels over secret plot to murder Zelensk*, 7 May
who were working for Russia.
Zelensk* has previously said he has survived more than 10 assassination attempts. "But it is the first time such a high-ranking official of the state security department has become [the] enemy's moles," Artem Dehtiarenko, SBU spokesman, told POLITICO....
strana | He fired a Glock and signed the flags. Zaluzhny became more active in the information field after his resignation, 8 May
Former Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Valery Zaluzhny, who did not appear in public for a long time after resigning from his post, became more active in the media field and social networks. In particular, he published the first post in a long time in his Telegram channel.
Back in March, the former commander-in-chief was appointed ambassador to the UK, but has not yet begun to fulfill these duties. On April 23, adviser to the head of the Presidential Office Mikhail Podolyak assured that Zaluzhny will start working as an ambassador in the coming weeks.###
strana | "Servants of the people" in full force left the hall when they voted for the title of honorary citizen of Kiev to Zaluzhny, 8 May
by Cat on Wed May 8th, 2024 at 10:07:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
strana | Yermak and Rasmussen offered to accept Ukraine into NATO no later than 2028, 14 May illustrated cyrillic
NATO should invite Ukraine to join the Alliance at a summit in Washington this summer and commit to accepting Ukraine into its ranks no later than July 2028.

This proposal is included in the report developed by the group of the head of the Office of the President Andrey Ermak - NATO Secretary General in 2009-2014 Anders Rasmussen. The report also suggests that "allies spend 0.25% of their GDP on military assistance to Ukraine and unlock frozen Russian assets worth $ 300 billion to support Ukraine."

president.gov.ua | NATO Membership Is a Guarantee of Peace and Security for Ukraine and the World: Rasmussen-Yermak International Task Force Published an Official Report, Copenhagen Democracy Summit stage
The International Task Force on Security and Euro-Atlantic Integration of Ukraine, co-chaired by Head of the Presidential Office Andriy Yermak and former NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen, has published a report with a rationale for the necessity of Ukraine's future membership in NATO and concrete proposals for it.

"A credible prospect of NATO membership is a way to convince Russia that it has nothing to gain from waging war. Inviting Ukraine to start accession talks now is a way to send a clear message to Russia that it needs to end the war and give Ukraine a chance for a just peace," the report emphasizes. The Rasmussen-Yermak International Task Force proposes to set a clear timeframe for Ukraine's accession to NATO - no later than July 2028, subject to the fulfillment of specific conditions.

RU syndicated rumors about fomal EU-level "security agreemnt", attributed to Welt am Sonntag w/e 11 May confirmed
The International Task Force emphasizes the need to unify the set of bilateral security agreements between Ukraine and its partners into an international compact. In particular, its goal is to build up Ukraine's Armed Forces so that they can reach a size and structure strong enough to defend against a future Russian attack and strengthen NATO's collective defense by the end of the decade. It is proposed that NATO members commit to spending 0.25% of their GDP on military aid to Ukraine, as well as unlocking $300 billion in frozen Russian assets and using them to support Ukraine.
The report [EN, 11 pp] is attached. The document was signed by [18] members of the task force:

by Cat on Tue May 14th, 2024 at 03:29:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Hogwash ... total NUTS as some historic US general exclaimed during WWII ...
Same description can be applied to the extended fascist attack on the Soviet Union Moscow and the Russian Federation.

(Western) Ukraine as NATO member is totally unacceptable to Moscow ... one of the signatories is jack@$$ Ivo Daalder ... have blogged about him and NATO commander Breedlove over nearly 15 years.

Gorbachev and Yeltsin were right...

Back to reality. the daisies in the field (Lyndon Johnson v Barry Goldwater in 1964) will be replaced by radioactive ☢️ mushrooms.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Tue May 14th, 2024 at 04:35:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Andriy Yermak Urged Heads and Other Representatives of Foreign Universities to Spread Information about the Global Peace Summit
Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine Andriy Yermak held an online meeting with heads and other representatives of about 40 foreign universities that cooperate with Ukrainian higher education institutions.
Andriy Yermak also noted that the Global Peace Summit aims to reach a common position on three issues that are important for the whole world and have arisen in the wake of Russia's aggressive war against Ukraine: food and nuclear security and the return of all illegally deported Ukrainian children and prisoners of war....
Andriy Yermak Urged UNITED24 Ambassadors to Support the Global Peace Summit
Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine Andriy Yermak met online with ambassadors of the UNITED24 fundraising platform.
TOTAL COLLLECTED: $ 646 408 247
He thanked the ambassadors for supporting Ukraine from the first days of the full-scale Russian invasion and spoke about the preparations for the Global Peace Summit. Andriy Yermak urged to spread the idea of the Summit and information about it....
archive Advantage Ukraine
by Cat on Tue May 14th, 2024 at 06:55:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Secretary Blinken delivers remarks at Kyiv Polytechnic Institute in Kyiv, Ukraine
(@ 1:25:25) Today, I'm here in Keev to speak about Ukraine's strategic success and to set out how with our support the Ukrainian people can and will achieve their vision for a future of free, prosperous democracy fully integrated into the Euro-Atlantic community and fully in control of its own destiny. We're meeting at a critical moment. Putin is ramping up yet another offensive against Ukraine and Kharkiv and across the east, sending wave after wave of Russian soldiers, Iranian drones, North Korean artillery, and tanks, missiles, and fighter jets built with machines and parts supplied by China. The coming weeks and months will demand a great deal of Ukrainians who have already sacrificed so much, but I have come to Ukraine with a message: You are not alone. The United States has been by your side since day one. We are with you today, and we will stay by your side until Ukraine's security, its sovereignty, its ability to choose its own path is guaranteed. And we're far from your only friend. Dozens of countries around the world are not just rooting for Ukraine's success, they're helping you achieve it.
World War or Global Peace Summit? You be the judge. Needs moar Oceania and Western Hemisphere or 'just' nuclear detonation?
by Cat on Tue May 14th, 2024 at 09:34:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Blinken and Kuleba had lunch at the Keev pizzaria Veterans Pizza. A video of Blinken with a local band playing Neil Young's "Rockin' in The Free World" appeared online. Some native bar fllies were not amused.

Meanwhile, Zelensk* will visit Spain to sign a bilateral security agreement. Zelensk* will visit Madrid Friday, May 17.

The European Union also admitted it agreed to "a general agreement" on security guarantees with Ukraine. But it will not be legally binding or contain a clause on sending troops to Ukraine.

by Cat on Tue May 14th, 2024 at 10:54:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]
reuters | Ukraine commander says French military instructors to visit Ukrainian training centres
"I am pleased to welcome France's initiative to send instructors to Ukraine to train Ukrainian servicemen," Oleksandr Syrskyi said on the Telegram messaging app after talks via video link with French defence minister Sebastien Lecornu. "I have already signed the documents that will enable the first French instructors to visit our training centres shortly and familiarize themselves with their infrastructure and personnel."
archive Paris Leaders' Conference
In a statement to Reuters, France's Defence Ministry said: "As already mentioned several times, training on Ukrainian soil is one of the projects discussed since the conference on support for Ukraine convened by the President of the Republic on February 26.
archive FR-UA bilateral security agreement
"Like all the projects discussed at that time, this track continues to be the subject of work with the Ukrainians, in particular to understand their exact needs."###
F24 | Kyiv says talks on France sending military instructors to Ukraine are ongoing
"Kyiv's defence ministry made the 'clarification' after army chief Oleksandr Syrsky said that the first French military instructors would soon arrive in the war-battered country."
archive Breton, Lecornu countries' contributions
by Cat on Tue May 28th, 2024 at 02:40:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]
ChatGPT | Top NATO commander: Russia's offensive won't succeed, 16 May
"I know the Russians don't have the numbers necessary to do a strategic breakthrough," Christopher Cavoli told reporters after a meeting of the alliance's defense chiefs at NATO headquarters in Brussels.

"They don't have the skill and the capability to do it, to operate at the scale necessary to exploit any breakthrough to strategic advantage," said the U.S. general, but added: "They do have the ability to make local advances and they have done some of that."

Cavoli's assessment comes from "very close contact with our Ukrainian colleagues, and I'm confident that they that they will hold the line," he added. Despite Russia pressing along the frontlines with Ukraine and recently launching an attack near Ukraine's second city of Kharkiv, Cavoli said he was uncertain that this was Moscow's full-scale summer offensive.

"What we don't see is large, large numbers of reserves being generated someplace," he said. Cavoli added that it's difficult to know if Russia's effort has run out of gas.

archive center of psychoville
president.gov.ua | We managed to give confidence to the direction of Volchansk, but the Russian shelling does not stop, there are threats-the President's address (16.05.24)
We held a meeting of the Headquarters in Kharkiv: That is, all aspects of the situation. In detail—about the fighting in Kharkiv region and the protection of people, our positions, the needs of units that protect our positions. Today, in particular, the head of the administration of Volchansk was injured. Our counterattack operations continue—they continue in other areas in the border regions of Kharkiv, and our results in repelling the assaults, in destroying the occupier should become more. After returning to Kiev, I spoke with Polish Prime Minister Tusk about our needs, about Patriot systems that could significantly change the situation in the Kharkiv direction.
ukrinform | Zelensk*: Russia won't occupy Kharkiv if Ukraine gets two Patriot systems
...Asked by a journalist whether America is to blame for what is happening in Kharkiv, Zelensk* answered: "It's the world's fault. They gave the opportunity for Putin to occupy (Ukrainian territory - ed.) But now the world can help."...
archive one spare battery of Patriots
by Cat on Fri May 17th, 2024 at 12:13:55 AM EST
[ Parent ]

euractiv syndicated ISW capitulation sitrep w/e 25 May
For this account, Reuters spoke to a total of five people who work with or have worked with Putin at a senior level in the political and business worlds. The fifth source did not comment on freezing the war at the current frontlines.
All five sources said Putin had told advisers he had no designs on NATO territory, reflecting his public comments on the matter. Two of the sources cited Russian concerns about the growing danger of escalation with the West, including nuclear escalation, over the Ukraine standoff.
Three sources said Putin understood any dramatic new advances would require another nationwide mobilisation, which he didn't want, with one source, who knows the Russian president, saying his popularity dipped after the first mobilisation in September 2022.
Annotated ISW map Legend:
hatch blue area (///): current "Korea Option" grey zone along RF border
solid pinko area: four (4) RU "occupied territories"
thin black line: Ukraine oblast boundaries
thin blue line: active "frontline" meandering through  Kherson, Zaporizh*, Donetsk, and Luhansk
Putin's insistence on locking in any battlefield gains in a deal is non-negotiable, all of the sources suggested. Putin would, however, be ready to settle for what land he has now and freeze the conflict at the current front lines, four of the sources said.

"Putin will say that we won, that NATO attacked us and we kept our sovereignty, that we have a land corridor to Crimea, which is true," one of them said, giving their own analysis. Freezing the conflict along current lines would leave Russia in possession of substantial chunks of four Ukrainian regions he formally incorporated into Russia in September 2022, but without full control of any of them.

strana | The SBR accused 28 Ukrainian commanders of seizing ten villages near Kharkiv by the Russians, 24 May lost in translation
settlements of Strelka, Krasnoe, Borisovka, Pylnoye of the Kharkiv region and Gatische of the Chuguevsky region, as well as other settlements of the Kharkiv region (along the state border of Ukraine with the Russian Federation), during the assault actions of the Russian Army, there were facts of abandonment of combat positions by AFU units.
by Cat on Fri May 24th, 2024 at 11:27:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]
< inhale >
Russia's jamming of the guidance systems of modern Western weapons, including Excalibur GPS-guided artillery shells and the High Mobility Artillery Rocket System, or HIMARS, which can fire some U.S.-made rockets with a range of up to 50 miles, has eroded Ukraine's ability to defend its territory and has left officials in Kyiv urgently seeking help from the Pentagon to obtain upgrades from arms manufacturers.
< exhale >
< inhale >
Russia's ability to combat the high-tech munitions has far-reaching implications for Ukraine and its Western suppliers—potentially providing a blueprint for adversaries such as China and Iran—and it is a key reason Moscow's forces have regained the initiative and are advancing on the battlefield.
< exhale >
archive HIMARS and Bradleys, freedom and property in The cost of doing business
by Cat on Sun May 26th, 2024 at 11:43:29 AM EST
[ Parent ]
uatv.ua. willing to pay the price for counterfeit Lego® strategic autonomy
"The NATO secretary general recently said that as NATO countries, we can temporarily move below the alliance's capability targets. So the room for creativity is there. Industrial suppliers have pledged to speed up production and delivery of replacement systems. We are counting on that," Dutch Minister of Defense Kajsa Ollongren referred to Jens Stoltenberg who encouraged the allies to sacrifice the needs of alliance when it comes to boosting support for Ukraine.
defence-ua | Netherlands [Asks] Multiple Countries to Assemble a Patriot for Ukraine Piece by Piece
This could be a reasonable idea of how to get a Patriot air defense system in a short time, and there's already a list of countries that could participate in this venture
In April, the German Ministry of Defense announced the "immediate" transfer of another Patriot to Ukraine and sparked a discussion of who else could donate additional systems. For a reminder, the Netherlands itself has three Patriot fire units (batteries), and in 2023 committed to sending two extra launchers to complement the Patriots deployed in Ukraine.
kyivindependent | Netherlands wants to deliver Patriot system to Ukraine jointly with partners
The country has identified which partners could contribute parts and ammunition from their own stocks and called on them to join the initiative.
Ukraine operates at least three Patriot systems provided by the U.S., the Netherlands, and Germany, with Berlin recently pledging to deliver a fourth one. The Netherlands did not supply a full system but rather two launchers and other supplies. Previously, the Netherlands contributed funds to Germany's air defense initiative for Ukraine, which reportedly collected close to 1 billion euros as of May 21.
defensie.nl | The Netherlands spearheads initiative to jointly deliver Patriot system for Ukraine, calls on other European nations to contribute, 28 May
"The Dutch government proposes to quickly assemble a Patriot air defense system in close cooperation with several partners and deliver it to Ukraine. The Netherlands will contribute core components and parts from its stock and invites European countries to add components from theirs."
defensie.nl | The Dutch supply of Patriot air defence system to Ukraine, 20 Jan
"The Netherlands will supply parts of a Patriot air defence system, specifically 2 launchers and missiles, to Ukraine. The Netherlands is also responsible for training Ukrainian soldiers. Further The Netherlands will supply 100 vehicles fitted with [brand-name?] anti-aircraft guns that were commercially purchased < wipes tears > in the Czech Republic."
by Cat on Wed May 29th, 2024 at 12:40:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Kuleba did not say whether Turkey, India[, Brazil, South Africa, Russia,] and China will attend the summit in Switzerland, 17 May
"I am happy with the trend of increasing the number of participants. But we can't name everyone publicly. After all, an act of Russian diplomatic and economic aggression immediately begins against the authorities of this country in order to force them to refuse," Kuleba said.
by Cat on Fri May 17th, 2024 at 06:27:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]
WH Press Briefing: Karine Jean-Pierre and John Kirby | May 17, 2024, A/V (EN), 00:56:45
Q @ 22:33: Admiral, back to Ukraine— Does the president hope to attend the Ukraine peace conference next month?
KIRBY: I don't have anything on his schedule to speak to that regard.
by Cat on Sat May 18th, 2024 at 04:16:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]
ukrinform | Peace Summit's agenda to include nuclear, food security, return of children, all-for-all POW swap, 21 May
"If we can bring these three points to a logical implementation, then we will be able to move on to the second part—complex points that can lead to the end of the war. No one says that Russia will agree tomorrow, but it is important that we maintain the initiative because they came against us with war," the president said.
TASS | Kiev to unveil reduced 'peace formula' ahead of Swiss conference (22.05.24)
The Kiev government had to cut the so-called peace formula, earlier put forward by Ukrainian president Vladimir Zelensk*, from ten points to three, fearing that the upcoming peace conference in Switzerland may end in failure, the country's Delovaya Stolitsa media outlet reported.
dsnews.ua | Swiss mathematics. Why Zelensky left three points out of ten in his formula for peace (22.05.24)
In an earlier interview to Reuters, Zelensk* said he planned to focus on food and nuclear security, as well as on humanitarian issues such as prisoner swaps, during the upcoming summit. The publication says Kiev's expectations of the event have become way less optimistic. Zelensk* was planning to discuss nothing but his own peace formula during the summit, but organizers decided that all participants should be given an opportunity to introduce changes into the final document. This was done to attract leaders of the Global South, whose absence will make the summit useless.
scmp | Joe Biden set to skip Ukraine peace summit for Hollywood fundraiser, 24 May
Biden is scheduled to fly from the G7 meeting [13-15 June] in southern Italy to Los Angeles for the June 15 fundraiser. Along with Clooney and Roberts, former president Barack Obama and late-night TV host Jimmy Kimmel are set to join him. ...Still, about 70 countries will take part in the summit at some level including major leaders such as Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, while, Japanese Premier Fumio Kishida is likely to be there too.
Diplomats organising the [15-16 June] conference winnowed down its ambitions to focus on a narrow set of goals, such as nuclear safety and prisoner exchanges, in a bid to broaden participation. Those points fall short of Ukraine's blueprint for peace, which calls for the withdrawal of Russian troops as well as future security guarantees.
Lavrov has also reached out to ambassadors in Moscow with the same goal ["of deterring participation"], according to the memo, and a meeting of foreign ministers from the so-called BRICS countries and their allies on June 10-11 should seal that effort. Zelensk* on Thursday described Moscow's efforts to scupper the summit as "the key goal for Russian diplomacy and foreign intelligence for the nearest future."
by Cat on Sat May 25th, 2024 at 12:02:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]
yahoo! nu | EU plans Ukraine summit with Russia in Saudi Arabia this fall, 27 May
EU foreign ministers are set to discuss the feasibility of a summit on Ukraine, potentially including Russian representatives, to be held in Saudi Arabia this fall, Bloomberg reported on May 27.
China and Brazil are planning a rival initiative [sic].
The discussion will also cover steps following the recent Global Peace Summit in Switzerland.
GT | China, Brazil propose road map for solving Ukraine crisis, 24 May
Wang Yi, a member of the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee and director of the Office of the Foreign Affairs Commission of the CPC Central Committee, had an in-depth exchange of views on pushing for the political settlement of the crisis with visiting Celso Amorim, Chief Advisor to the President of Brazil, in Beijing on Thursday.
gov.br | Brazil and China present joint proposal for peace negotiations with the participation of Russia and Ukraine (23.05.24)
1. The two sides call on all relevant parties to observe three principles for deescalating the situation, namely no expansion of the battlefield, no escalation of fighting and no provocation by any party.
fmprc | Common Understandings Between China and Brazil on Political Settlement of the Ukraine Crisis (23.05.24)
6. Dividing the world into isolated political or economic groups should be opposed. The two sides call for efforts to enhance international cooperation on energy, currency, finance, trade, food security and the security of critical infrastructure, including oil and gas pipelines, undersea optical cables, electricity and energy facilities, and fiber-optic networks, so as to protect the stability of global industrial and supply chains.
China and Brazil support an international peace conference held at a proper time that is recognized by both Russia and Ukraine, with equal participation of all parties as well as fair discussion of all peace plans, Xinhua News Agency reported Thursday.
strana | Zelensk* called Biden's decision to skip the peace summit in Switzerland "not very strong", 28 May competitive campaign fundraising
He said this in Brussels.
"I believe that the Peace Summit needs President Biden and other leaders who are looking at the reaction of the United States of America. His non-presence—this will only be applauded by Putin, personally applauded by Putin, and standing up, " Zelensk* added.
aa.com.tr | Kremlin spokesman rejects reports about plans to hold peace conference on Ukraine in Saudi Arabia, 28 May
Responding to reports during Russian President Vladimir Putin's visit to Tashkent, Uzbekistan, which suggested the EU is exploring the possibility of such a summit, Peskov remarked, "At the moment, it is out of the question." Meanwhile, Central Asian media reported that Kyrgyz Deputy Foreign Minister Aibek Moldogaziev met Ukraine's Ambassador Valeriy Zhovtenko on Monday to discuss the potential for peace talks to be held in Bishkek.
by Cat on Tue May 28th, 2024 at 04:43:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Mao Ning's Regular Press Conference on May 27, 2024
Reuters: Ukraine's President Zelensk* has appealed to Chinese and US leaders to attend the peace summit in Switzerland next month. Will China be attending? And if yes, who will China send?
Bloomberg: I think there's talk that China will send the delegation, but not a high-level delegation. So I guess the question is, will you send the delegation or not to the Swiss peace forum?
archive Quick Dismissal of China's Proposal by Kyiv, Zelensk* was late

strana | The Ukrainian Armed Forces used the Patriot air defense system for strikes on the territory of the Russian Federation. Germany and the US were angry, 28 May ChatGPT map

When and where Patriot was used, the publication does not specify. But earlier, the Russians blamed Ukraine for the fact that in January 2024, the Patriot system from the Kharkiv region shot down a Russian plane near Belgorod with Ukrainian prisoners of war on board, who were being taken for exchange. A number of Western media outlets also wrote that the plane was shot down by this air defense system. Ukraine did not confirm this as well as the fact that Ukrainian prisoners were on board the downed plane.
Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Mao Ning's Regular Press Conference on May 28, 2024
Ukrinform News Agency: Last time, China often calls for de-escalation in the Russia-Ukraine war but does not name the countries to whom such calls are addressed. Russia, for more than two years, has continued invasion in neighboring Ukraine. So, earlier this month, Russia opened a new front in the eastern Ukrainian Kharkiv region, and last week, it launched a series of airstrikes on civilian objects in Kharkiv city. Can you specify whether the Chinese side's calls for de-escalation are addressed to Russia or not?
Mao Ning: China believes that dialogue and negotiation is the only viable way out of the Ukraine crisis. Parties need to all be committed to deescalating the situation and seeking political settlement of the crisis. This position has been clear and consistent.
archive Jan 25th 2024 in Comfortable Couch In Kyiv, we urgently need Patriot systems, NATO Permission to Cross Red Lines in #DEFEATRUSS!A
by Cat on Tue May 28th, 2024 at 05:13:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]
wapoo, 18 May Courting the Global South
"That's the role that Yermak plays for President Zelensk*."
by Cat on Sat May 18th, 2024 at 09:29:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]
ft | NATO training soldiers in Ukraine does not escalate war, says Estonian PM, 20 May
"If you send your people to help Ukrainians...you know the country is in war and you go to a risk zone. So you take the risk"

news.err.ee | PM to FT: NATO training personnel in Ukraine would not be escalation (20.05.24)
"In Estonia, where Riigikogu approval would be needed to make the move Kallas is calling on other countries to make, the situation is one of "an open public debate, but I think we shouldn't rule out anything right now," she told the FT, adding that support for Ukraine runs the gamut in terms of intensity."

KALLAS @52:29: I think it's important that Russia is losing this war, because, like, Timothy Sneider say, has said, in order for a country to become better it has to lose its last colonial war. Thaty haven't lost their last colonial war, and for them, you know, I mean, they are not seeing that, you know, aggressors, rapers, killers, but expanding the empire. It's glory. That's why as long as it is glory, then the war is glory, then you will always have people. You know, it's not this leader. It's going to be next leader, because if people admire dictators, there's no obstacle in becoming one or submitting to one. That's why, you know, you have to have this bigger understanding, you know, that Russia will lose this war, and then it will be beneficial to the society as well, because for a small country like ours war always means devastation and human suffering atrocities. Whereas for a big country it might also mean, you know, new territories, new resources, and all the, you know, good things that come out of it for those—for their understanding. So I think, this is important to understand, and to also base our strategy....[@ 01.01.04] I want to build on that. What is keeping the west from supporting Ukraine as much as is needed, and that is what Foreign Minister [Kuleba] referred to. It's the fear, fear of escalation, fear of the nukes, fear here really of the Russian defeat. I've heard that alot, and if you think about, you know, NATO's enlargement, all these events in history, then this continues all the time. That, you know, what happens if, you know, at that time, you know, 1990s—What happens if Soviet Union collapses? This is a bad thing—It's not a bad thing! Russia's defeat is not a bad thing, because then, you know, there could be really a change in the society. And you know there are many different nations right now part of Russia as well, I think, if you would have more, like, small nations it's not a bad thing if you—if the big power is actually much smaller. So also fear of elections. Because we are all democratic countries, this means that you constantly have to keep up what the public, you know, is thinking. And, of course, you leadership as well to say what is right and what is wrong and what we have to do.
eestinen.fi | The Estonian head of government: Russia decomposition is not at all a bad thing, 19 May
by Cat on Mon May 20th, 2024 at 04:21:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]


Occasional Series