ChatGPT | Netanyahu's Risky Romance With Trump (21.05.18)

One would be hard-pressed to find an Israeli, a friend of Israel, or even a Bible-believer who doubts that Jerusalem is the capital of the Jewish state. To them, Trump's recognition of the city's status is simply an affirmation of fact. Guatemala and Paraguay have already followed in his footsteps. With all these countries now seeing the light, as it were, Israelis feel vindicated. But the Trump presidency is a unique animal. Netanyahu has compared Trump to Harry Truman, the president who conferred historic American acceptance of Israel's independence in 1948. The comparison is flawed.

APsplainin | Guatemala says it is moving embassy in Israel to Jerusalem (25.12.17)
President Jimmy Morales

timesofisrael | Why a small Central American nation became a trailblazer on Jerusalem (26.12.17)
Dr. Jorge Garcia Granados

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American support for Israel has been losing its bipartisan luster over the past few years. Bitter clashes of policy and personality between Netanyahu and Trump's predecessor, Barack Obama, injected toxic animosity into the alliance between their countries. Netanyahu has since found a kindred spirit in Trump, but for enemies of Trump, any friend of the current administration is equally suspect. The current predicament presents a dilemma for Israel. The prevailing mood in the country these days is triumphant. Netanyahu enjoys an open door in the White House and the Kremlin, where he even marched alongside President Vladimir Putin in the Victory Day parade.
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A good part of this windfall owes to Trump's embrace of Israel and the cover he affords its government. His decision to exit the nuclear deal with Iran and the embassy move were top items on Netanyahu's wish list. Israel is now pressing on its other priorities—such as extending the full-court press on Iran beyond the nuclear sphere—in hopes of taking advantage of this window of opportunity. But Netanyahu should be careful. Bounty that comes with partisan strings is always at risk of being yanked when power inevitably changes hands.
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The trade pact was negotiated by the government of Alejandro Giammattei

As one of the notable achievements of the government of past President Alejandro Giammattei, as part of its General Government Policy 2020-2024, this past September 2023, the Minister of Foreign Affairs, Mario Búcaro, and the Vice Minister of Integration and Foreign Trade, María Luisa Flores, in representation of the Minister of Economy, Dr. Janio Rosales, signed with Israeli economic authorities the Free Trade Agreement between Guatemala and Israel, which further strengthens the commercial and friendship ties that already unite the two nations.

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lack of engagement, lack of credibility

whitehouse.gov | Harris's Call with President Giammattei of Guatemala (13.0y6.23)

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Negotiations of the free trade agreement between Guatemala and Israel began in July 2018 following the official visit of the President of Guatemala on the occasion of the transfer of the Guatemalan embassy to Jerusalem. Talks related to the accord concluded in April of 2023. To date, Guatemala has 13 trade agreements in force.

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$4.2 billion in private sector commitments

gt.usembassy.gov | Vice President Harris Announces New Initiatives to Strengthen the U.S.-Guatemala Relationship (05.03.24)
an additional $170 million for Root Causes Strategy assistance

Since 2009, Guatemala has had an investment agreement with Israel that promotes and gives certainty to investments between both countries. The FTA with Israel was signed in compliance with the General Government Policy 2020-2024, in agreement with the pillars of economy, competitiveness, and prosperity, which seeks among its strategic actions to generate instruments that promote the increase in Guatemalan exports to the world.

Netanyahu is coming to Washington this week to meet with President Joe Biden, Vice President Kamala Harris and lawmakers on Capitol Hill. He is also slated to give a speech in front of Congress Wednesday. Netanyahu and Trump's teams have in recent days discussed the possibility of the two leaders meeting face-to-face, potentially in Florida. Trump has yet to agree to a meeting, but also has not outright rejected the idea, the people said.

Trump is a staunch supporter of the state of Israel and in 2017 formally recognized Jerusalem as its capital. He moved the U.S. embassy there the following year. But he and Netanyahu have had a falling out in recent years. Trump was angered by Netanyahu's congratulatory statements following Biden's win in 2020. And the former president condemned Netanyahu for the country's intelligence failure around Oct. 7.

source: Axios (16.11.23)

He has also threatened the prime minister that if he doesn't cement a deal to bring home the hostages soon, a Trump administration won't look kindly on him.

"They better be back before I assume office, or you will be paying a very big price," Trump said in his speech at the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee last week.
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From arming Ukraine to bolstering U.S. alliances to counter Russia and China, Vice President Kamala Harris is widely expected to continue President Joe Biden's foreign policy if she succeeds him. But that might not be the case when it comes to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's approach to the war in Gaza.
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Arab American voters, younger voters and progressives who oppose Biden's stance on Israel might be more open to Harris' candidacy "because she's not seen as responsible for Biden's Israel policies," according to a source close to the Biden administration. "The hope is that will help her numbers," the source added.
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Aaron David Miller, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, a think tank, said a Harris presidency would most likely result in a change in tone on Israel but not a significant change in policy.