by asdf
Tue Sep 6th, 2005 at 03:14:13 PM EST
"Old Europe": planning ahead and paying for it - imagine that? promoted from the diaries ~ whataboutbob
It's been proposed that America should look to the Netherlands for ideas about how to build a storm-proof sea wall. How much would that cost?
I'm not an expert on this by any means, but looking under various internet rocks here's what I found: It would be BIG BUCKS. But the results might be worth it.
"After the 1953 [giant storm in the English Channel] disaster, the Delta project, a vast construction effort designed to end the threat from the sea once and for all, was launched in 1958 and largely completed in 2002. The official goal of the Delta project was to reduce the risk of flooding in Holland to once per 10,000 years."
Is that good enough? Perhaps. Now, how much would it cost?
"(For the rest of the country, the protection-level is once per 4,000 years). This was achieved by raising 3,000 km of outer sea-dikes and 10,000 km of inner, canal, and river dikes to "delta" height, and by closing off the sea estuaries of the Zeeland province. New risk assessments occasionally incur additional Delta project work in the form of dike re-enforcements. The Delta project is the single largest construction effort in human history and is considered by the American Society of Civil Engineers as one of the seven wonders of the modern world."
How does this compare to the situation in the U.S.? First, the Dutch coast wanders in and out with numerous penninsulas and bays, while the American coast is relatively straight. The Intracoastal Waterway is about 4800 km (from Boston to Brownsvill), which gives a rough idea of the scale of a proposed comprehensive rebuild plan: As a first cut, it's about half the length of the Dutch project. (I'm not too sure about this estimate, because obviously there are many rivers that would have to be considered. It seems odd that the effective Dutch coast would be twice as long as the American East and Gulf coasts combined.]
"A decade ago, Dutch authorities started studying their options for dealing with not only sinking land, but rising seas, more powerful storms, and ever larger floods. Government engineers considered several strategies, including a plan to simply surrender large parts of the country to the sea. The most cost-effective plan was selected: strengthen the existing defenses and pumping stations, at a cost of $19 billion to $25 billion.
"These are enormous figures if you had to spend them all at once, but we're able to spread it out over 50 to 100 years," says John de Ronde of the National Institute for Coastal and Marine Management in The Hague, which prepared the estimates. "And it's relatively simple for us to cope with sea-level rise because we already have [U.S. $2.5 trillion worth of] existing infrastructure.
"If you really have to start from scratch and build all of this infrastructure, you'd probably have to consider giving the land to the sea," he says. It's a situation low-lying regions from Bangladesh and the Marshall Islands to southern Louisiana and the Florida Everglades may soon be facing."
http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2001/08/0829_wiredutch_2.html
So, does America have $2.5 trillion of existing coastal infrastructure? Impossible to say (at least, for me to say). I don't know what the starting point would be.
But how do these numbers compare with, say, the cost of the war in Iraq?
According to the Wikipedia, about $75 billion. The Dutch are planning to spend about 1/3 of the cost of the Iraq war, spread out over decades, on their sea wall improvement program.
Note that there are environmental aspects of this, too. The current waterway has lost environmental court cases and any improvement program would have to deal with this concern. "As a result of the settlement of a lawsuit with the Lower Laguna Madre Foundation and Audubon Society, the Corps only performs emergency dredging on the Waterway between Corpus and Brownsville. Although navigation has not been affected, this uncertainty impacts negatively on the ability of the ports to market their services. Louisiana's Coast 2050 Program, along with the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service's proposal to designate thousands of acres of Gulf Coast wetlands as critical Piping Plover habitat, threaten viability of the Waterway. Left unanswered, these initiatives have the power to stop all maintenance dredging on the Waterway."
http://www.gicaonline.com/pages/initiatives/current.html
It's clear that it will be hard to find the proper balance between commerce, safety, the environment, and other expensive programs.