Mon Oct 2nd, 2006 at 07:19:37 PM EST
Re NATO military engagement in Afghanistan - can't win, OK-agreed? Essentially for the same reasons that ultimately induced both the Brit-Raj and Soviet Russia to abandon their control efforts (and no, IMHO Russia did not lose merely thanks to US funding of Taliban plus AQ, basic reason was/is the classic G4 warfare scenario fuelled by Afghanis' acute and to me only-naturally militant xenophobic reaction to any protracted domination-presence of pink-skinned, non-Muslim foreign invaders/occupiers "as such").
Anyway, both US and non-US NATO components, albeit with slightly different accents, are currently saying Afghanistan is NATO's ultimate testing-ground and "therefore" Europe must put up more and more forces and equipment for heavy combat duty, but most European NATO-troop suppliers, although ambiguously still hanging around, are looking more and more vague about it all, scratching and/or catching butterflies... muttering "hey we only signed up for reconstruction aid" and/or "sorry but we have far more urgent business elsewhere" (i.e. too busy peacekeeping MINUS NATO command-structure in Lebanon - which is in the Mediterranean i.e. in Southern Europe's direct peace-and-security zone of concern).
Meanwhile, the US now appears increasingly eager to cast NATO as its face-saving lighting-rod in Afghanistan as/although by now it's pretty much a sure thing the mission will mess up seriously within 1 year max.
Question is, will the resulting defeat/failure/mess finally bring NATO crashing down with it? And if/when it does, good thing or bad thing? Opinions, anyone?
P.S.: I originally posted this as my debut-post here - 3/4 of the way down the 1st October European Breakfast thread - and was invited to repost it for discussion as a separate diary. So here goes, hoping for lots of thought-stimulating input on both aspects i.e. necessity/futility of continuation of NATO in its present form and necessity/futility of pursuing the Afghanistan war ... and/or possible alternative means of preventing/containing the more negative potential consequences of its abandonment.