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Populism and technological literacy

by techno Wed Oct 25th, 2006 at 10:52:58 AM EST

In my last diary I mentioned technological literacy without providing much definition or context to the concept.  This caused quite a bit of misunderstanding and confusion. And so I find it necessary to explain what technological literacy is, and why it is important to have the technologically literate in any successful society.

The ability to operate tools is the main difference between humans and the other intelligent forms of life.  Civilizations are the product of tool users.  About the only thing humans can actually build by hand is a clay pinch pot--everything else requires tools.

Because everything we use requires tools to make, tool creation represents the most sophisticated form of manufacture.  It is difficult to make DRAM chips: it is much MORE difficult to make the tools that can make the DRAM chips.  And of course, it is insanely difficult to make the tools that can produce those DRAM making tools, etc.


Because there are greater and less difficult forms of tool use, tool users stratify along skill lines.  It is in the creation and use of tools that we discover the origins of meritocracy.  In the world of tools, it does not matter your age, race, social class, looks, or gender--only your skills.  And because these skills can be learned, we also have the origins of social mobility.

Social Mobility

The goal of social mobility for the technological literate has unfortunately been a promise that has been kept only on rare occasions and in few societies.  But when it happens--when the tool makers and users are accorded respect and the income that goes with it--the society enters a golden age.  

There is a good argument to be made that the VAST majority of power and influence the USA acquired over the years was due to her reputation as a paradise for the inventors of tools and their users.  Ben Franklin, Thomas Jefferson, Thomas Paine, and Eli Whitney were all first-rate scientists / inventors; Sam Adams was a brewer; George Washington was a surveyor.  Compared to the useless protoplasm that has ruled most countries for most of history, USA truly was founded as a tool maker's paradise.

But such is NOT the historical norm.  Thorstein Veblen's most popular book was called "The Theory of the Leisure Class."  In chapter after chapter he cites examples of how status and income are usually accorded to those with no tool skills at all.  In fact, the key contrivance the Leisure Class employs to defraud and keep the tool users in their place is to portray the useful as dirty, stupid, and low status.

A Personal Note

When I was growing up in rural Minnesota, I would have scoffed at Veblen's descriptions of Leisure Class dominance.  I was surrounded by gifted tool users.  My father, a preacher, was not one of them but all the farmers in his churches were.  I still recall the burning shame I felt one day in fifth grade when I realized my father was the only one of my class who could not weld.

This was also the age of Sputnik--when skills in aerospace were considered essential for national survival.  I learned science out of brand new textbooks, I built a five-tube radio in 6th grade, and wasted the rest of my youth building model airplanes.  All of them flew--some MUCH better than others.  

Since I grew up in a culture that measured a man's worth by how many tools he had mastered, my intent was to become a great man with the great skills necessary to defend a great nation built by great tool-making geniuses (adolescent males tend to be a bit overdramatic, as you can see).

And then I went to college.  For the first time in my life, I met grown men who were proud of their lack of tool skills.  I did not actually believe these absurd creatures were serious until one bitterly cold January night, I came upon two professors trying to get a car started.  One had discovered a set of jumper cables in his trunk (put there by his wife) so they actually had the tools for the task.  But a quick glance told me that they had NO idea how this little job was performed.

Where I came from, young boys were expected to KNOW how to jump cars.  It is a simple job that can easily be done exactly wrong--get the terminals backward and you can blow up a large lead-acid battery which leads to chemical burns, blindness, and other unpleasant side effects.  Jump starting a car was a lesson taught with DIRE warnings complete with a "check four times before you hook up" philosophy.  So not only were my professors not starting their car, they were actually endangering their health.

In about four minutes, we had both cars running, hoods closed, and the jumper cables coiled in the trunk.  The professors were kind and exceedingly grateful that I had happened along so late at night.  And then one of them recognized me and said with an odd note of disappointment, "You're one of my students, aren't you."

By the time I got back to my room, I was livid.  "How," I shouted, "can grown men in Minnesota not know how to jump start a car?  Why am I paying money to learn from such idiots?"  And, "Can you believe that fool was actually disappointed that I was a student and not some member of the campus custodial staff?"

Parallel Universes

Even though they are usually the most educated people in the community, grinding poverty is the lot of most small-town preachers.  So while I was expected to go to college, I wasn't going to get any financial help from home.  Fortunately in those days, big guys with a passion for tools could get well-paying jobs in construction.  Until the late 1970s, it was possible to actually pay for a decent college education with wages from summer and part-time jobs (yes it is true).

And so I found myself in two contrasting cultures.  When I was a student, I listened to professors decry the dehumanizing evil of technology.  As a construction worker, I worked with folks who wanted to get their hands on the best technology available.  

It was often a task trying to remember the differing cultural norms.  I rarely offended the tool culture.  But on occasion, I would commit a Leisure Class faux pas.  For example, I once forgot myself and disclosed that I knew how to build a house during a graduate level course on housing policy--the classmates who had spent THEIR summers interning at HUD actually gasped.

But while I made an effort to be bi-cultural, my inclination lay with the tool users.  Once in Everett Washington I saw them lower the HUGE tail section of a Boeing 747 into position and watch it literally snap into place.  It was much better than magic! (and they do it three times a week.)  I was so impressed, I nearly swooned.  I'll confess I have never been that impressed by a lecture on Chaucer.

In my book, Elegant Technology, I devote THREE chapters ( history , class analysis, and cultural difference) to observations on the gulf between the tool culture and the Leisure Class.  There are that many differences between the two.  But to my mind, the most fundamental is their differing conception of truth.  

In the world of the Leisure Class, it is possible to have passionate debates about the interpretations of Shakespeare or post-structuralism without causing much damage.  The truth in law is determined by who is able to convince 12 jurors.  Truth in academe is determined by how many citations of authority (footnotes) are included in a paper.

By contrast, truth in the tool culture can only be discovered. It matters not one whit who you are or what you believe.  If it is wrong, you will be found out.  And if you make your error while operating a large airliner or a tower crane, the penalties are VERY high and often people die.

When Pontius Pilate asked Jesus, "What is truth?" he was obviously demonstrating his Leisure Class training.  If Jesus had responded like a carpenter, he might have said, "Listen you Roman fool, truth is the fact that if you want crops in the fall, you must plant in the spring.  Truth is that no matter how powerful the ruler, he cannot alter the tides.  In fact there are so MANY truths beyond ANY rational dispute, you could spend every minute of your life searching for new ones and still only discover a tiny fraction of them."

The Triumph of the Leisure Class (even in USA)

The incredible has happened.  USA, one of the inventors of the high tool culture and certainly one of its greatest practitioners in history, has become, as a culture, Veblen's Leisure Class--times 1000.  (There are many reasons why his 1899 description of the Leisure Class now seems so understated, but one stands out:  He never saw television--how could he possibly have foreseen the industrialization of status emulation?)

Lest one believes I overstate the case, it has been estimated that as late as 1962, the USA had more manufacturing than the rest of the world combined.  In 1969, we landed men on the freaking moon.  Members of the tool culture have more reasons to have nostalgia for the 60s than the most devoted Deadhead.

And then it all came unglued.  In 2006, we have a merchandise trade deficit of over $2 billion...per DAY.  With the exception of weapons, we make almost nothing the rest of the world actually wants to buy.  We've lost over three million manufacturing jobs in just this decade.  We lost an important American city because some Mickey Mouse dikes failed.  Civil engineers generously rate our infrastructure as D.

Except for the obvious fact that wrecking things is a LOT easier that creating things, this total meltdown of the American tool culture is still almost impossible to comprehend (and I watched it happen in real time).

The demise of the world's greatest tool culture required a left jab and a right cross.  The left jab was cultural.  Educating the young to believe that technology was evil and dirty and that no self-respecting gentleman would be caught dead touching any of it can make some sense if the only people with access to the higher learning were the useless sons of the landed gentry.  But in a society that opened its academic doors to the children of the productive middle classes, teaching them to parrot the inanities of the losing side of the Industrial Revolution proved disastrous.

The Left Jab

The most important left-wing critic of the tool culture was, of course, Ralph Nader.  He called himself a consumer advocate and organized a critique of the producers.  He wrote a book called, "Unsafe at Any Speed," which targeted the automobile industry in general and General Motors' Chevrolet Corvair in particular.

The Corvair was an interesting attempt by GM to make a small car to roll back the successful invasion of Volkswagen.  Like the Volkswagen, it would have a rear-mounted, air cooled engine connected to the wheels with swing axles.  Unlike the VW, it would have a more powerful six cylinder engine.  The problem with putting the engine in the back is that it makes the car tail-heavy.  Arrows fly straight because the weight is concentrated in the nose.  So tail-heavy cars always want to swap ends.  The VW worked on some level because it was grossly underpowered.  Corvair's much higher power magnified the natural flaws of a rear-engine arrangement.  In fact, unless you read the owner's manual and carefully inflated the rear tires to 30 psi while only inflating the front tires to 18 psi, your Corvair was an ill-behaved beast.

To make things worse, the delightfully light and brisk steering inspired driver over-confidence.  And since most drivers automatically assume that every tire should get the same amount of air, the Corvair became a death trap.  So Nader had a legitimate target.  

Interestingly, the only car with a similar configuration was the Porsche 911 series and it also had legendary handling flaws.  The nastiest was called trailing-throttle oversteer (if a driver got into a curve and thought he was going too fast and lifted his foot off the gas, the car would abruptly spin out).  Porsche owners thought it was a charming flaw that separated the good drivers from those who should never have set foot in a driver's car in the first place (real men NEVER back off in curve).

The Corvair was a really good object lesson in the many things that can go wrong when designing and building an automobile.  The most obvious was that just because a competitor had achieved success using an unconventional configuration, that did not make it a good idea.  It took Porsche until the late 1980s to really make the rear-engine automobile safe for their orthodontist customers.  This redesign required thousands of engineering hours and millions of Deutschemarks--the kind of investment even GM was unlikely to lavish on an entry-level car.  

Ironically, the Corvair got a new rear suspension in 1965 that was MUCH better.  Nader seized on this development as "proof" that GM knew it was building a dangerous car in the first place.  In effect, Nader was accusing GM of deliberately wanting to kill its own customers.  Sadly, many readers would believe him.

Keep in mind here that the Corvair was no worse than the sainted VW "Beetle" and was probably better in many ways--IF the tires were inflated properly.  Since air for tires was free at most gas stations, this was a very MINOR requirement.  The idea that GM had resorted to this clever trick to kill its customers was utterly insane.

But the damage was done.  By insisting that evolutionary redesign was evidence of corporate crime requiring the work of expensive lawyers, Nader was attacking the very soul of the tool culture.  Innovation is impossible without the courage to build something that cannot be known down to the last detail.  Nader's preposterous assault on the Corvair absolutely ripped the heart out of GM's willingness to innovate.  In the 1960s, GM was arguably the most innovative automaker on earth. Their little Olds F-85 had a jewel-like aluminum V-8--the tools were sold to Rover and they produced that V-8 for years, the Toronado had a seven-liter front-wheel drive system when the experts claimed such a configuration was limited to two liters, their Pontiac Tempest had a flexible driveshaft coupled to a rear transaxle, etc. etc.  Yet to call GM innovative today would be pure madness.

The Right Cross

Nader and the other Leisure Class lefties would prove a minor annoyance.  They were only the enablers.  The real death blows to the tool culture would come from the greedy, reactionary right.

The industrial economy that was promoted by the Keynesians was ideal for the tool culture in highly important ways.  Difficult tasks require time and investment.  Deliberate government policies made possible incredibly complex tasks.  The most important were:

  1. The primary goal of the Keynesians was to increase the purchasing power of the lower economic classes.  This made it possible to invest in large and complex projects because a large consumer pool was reasonably assured.

  2. The costs of basic research were socialized.  There was still a large amount of private research but that was largely problem-solving.  The government would pay for the more esoteric research.  Government would not only finance basic research, but even more importantly, it would buy early production.

  3. Tax policy was formulated so that companies could retain earnings that would be used to finance massively difficult endeavors.  These nest eggs were essential for innovation.

  4.  Financial regulation ensured that moneylenders helped build the tool culture.  Of all the organizations in need of social control, finance is at the top of the list.  And the MOST important regulation is a cap on interest rates.  If interest rates are low, finance enables the tool culture.  If interest rates are high, finance is the parasite that destroys the tool culture.

The moment the tool culture was toppled is subject to interesting debate but a prime candidate has to be the day the Nobel committee awarded the memorial prize in economics to Milton Friedman.  The economic theories Friedman taught at the University of Chicago were almost exactly the ideas believed by most economists when they proved that they were utterly unqualified to advise governments in 1929.  By 1976, however, the people who remembered clearly why the pre-industrial conservatives had been discredited were mostly dead-- apparently even in Sweden.

While championing the ideas of antiquity is a harmless Leisure Class diversion in philosophy or theology, it would prove deadly to the tool culture.  While speculators carved up the industrial giants, destroying cities and the future of USA in the process, the Friedmans of the world would rationalize the plunder.  His main rationalization for predatory excess was that management owed their total allegiance to the shareholders.  The rest of the stakeholders--INCLUDING the existence of the company itself--were owed nothing!  The workers, the communities, the governments that paid for infrastructure improvements, the states that had built world-class schools of higher learning, the public funding of basic research, the environment, etc. etc.--none had claim on a corporation.  Only the moneylenders would have power--and only the market would regulate human activity

The shift from productive capitalism to the predatory version was astonishingly swift.  But such is the nature of the beast.  When some punk puts a rock through your window and wrecks your dashboard to steal a radio, he MIGHT get $50 for the $600 radio.  You lose a week getting the damage fixed and it costs $4000.  When the punks start throwing bigger rocks like leveraged buyouts, they also make off with some easy profits but the damage they cause is incalculable.  

And there goes the future

The biggest dilemma caused by a destruction of the tool culture is that the Industrial Revolution was about half finished.  It may have solved the problems of almost unlimited production, but it had only just begun to address the environmental problems caused by this stunning productive capability.  Unfortunately without the ability to innovate, these problems cannot be solved.  

In the Dark Ages, the Europeans could look at the Roman aqueducts and wonder how they could be related to the people who built them.  Today's Easter Islanders cannot explain how their ancestors erected those amazing stone heads.  In USA, we not only have folks who could not BEGIN to describe how the Apollo Missions were organized, many actually believe the moon landings were a hoax created on a sound stage.  Our Dark Ages are truly upon us.

Al Gore suggests in An Inconvenient Truth that we still have 10 years to address the climate change caused by humanity's infatuation with fire.  This is an obvious example of the sort of problem that can ONLY be solved with a healthy, innovative, and vibrant tool culture.  I look around at the pathetic remains of the culture I fell in love with as a child and sadly ask "healthy?" "innovative??" "vibrant???"

Display:
well said.

I've grown up in small towns in texas, where the mayor had better know how to wheld, and in some very high income suburbs where the mayor had better not have to excert more physical work than swing a golf club.

the differences in life outlook among the different groups os vast.  What is scary and sad is the rupublican right in this country has largely succeded in convincing the workers in this country to cast their lot in with the overclass...

Alot of it is consuption and advertising.  Why fix it when you can buy a new one... on credit...  The jonesess have a new one...

The world will end not with a Bang, but with a "do'oh"

by love and death on Wed Oct 25th, 2006 at 11:38:59 AM EST
Great diary.

Fascinating to read about GM's glory years of innovation, and how Nader (singlehandedly?) destroyed that culture of innovation at GM by skewering the Corvair.

One point:

In the world of the Leisure Class, it is possible to have passionate debates about the interpretations of Shakespeare or post-structuralism without causing much damage.  The truth in law is determined by who is able to convince 12 jurors.  Truth in academe is determined by how many citations of authority (footnotes) are included in a paper.

By contrast, truth in the tool culture can only be discovered. It matters not one whit who you are or what you believe.  If it is wrong, you will be found out.  And if you make your error while operating a large airliner or a tower crane, the penalties are VERY high and often people die.

Aren't there forms of truth which do not belong to tool culture, but which nevertheless can have "life and death" consequences, albeit less directly than in straight out tool culture?

To take a simplistic example, are there not some "truths" about human behavior which can make a big difference in the outcome of a struggle or competition, such as a high school basketball game?  A high school basketball coach may know certain "truths" about how to motivate his players that the other team's coach may not, even if his players have more "physical talent", and be able to pull off a victory despite having a less talented team.

Or to take a more truly life and death example: the "truths" known by hostage negotiators, how to persuade an unstable kidnapper into giving up their hostages without harming them.

Teams, groups, companies, governments, societies that have more effective "truths" of this type will have a competitive edge over others that are not in possession of as many such truths.

Would you say they are part of "tool culture"?

Un seul mauvais exemple, une fois donné, est capable de corrompre toute une nation, et l'habitude devient une tyrannie.

by marco on Wed Oct 25th, 2006 at 11:47:10 AM EST
If a different techno may comment --

He contrasts the tool culture and the leisure class, and what I would call truth-based and opinion-based criteria for success. My Popperian tendencies make me draw the truth/opinion line along the boundary between ideas that routinely confront evidence and those that can prosper merely by sounding good. By this criterion, the tool culture is by nature forced to value truth.

Other cultures vary. Your hostage negotiators would be in a truth-oriented culture to the extent that their methods were judged by their success and failure. They would be in an opinion-oriented culture to the extent that their methods were judged, for example, by their adherence to the dictates of a professional fad.

Karl Rove, of course, works in a truth-oriented culture, because his techniques for lying face regular tests of effectiveness. Fortunately, this mind-wrenching truthful-Rove paradox can be dissolved by making a distinction between the lies themselves, which operate within a realm of opinion, and the techniques for creating and using them, which operate within a realm of facts about what does and doesn't work to change and exploit opinions.

This in no way elevates him to membership in the tool culture that techno so well describes. Technique is not enough.
---------

BTW, since reading the diary, I've dipped into into techno's website, elegant-technology.com; his book is there in html. I like what he has to say and would like to see it said in more places.


Words and ideas I offer here may be used freely and without attribution.

by technopolitical on Thu Oct 26th, 2006 at 01:26:51 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Thank You

"Remember the I35W bridge--who needs terrorists when there are Republicans"
by techno (reply@elegant-technology.com) on Thu Oct 26th, 2006 at 08:30:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]
First a technical remark, your web site, elegant-technology, seems not to be reachable.

As to the thrust of your remarks, I agree with only a few minor differences.

You ignore the effect that the new "intellectual property" industries have on our economy. They have created new "tools" they are just intangible. Complex financial instruments used by hedge funds, banks and brokerage firms are real developments. Whether building "tools" which do nothing other than enrich those who use them is a good question for future discussion.

You also ignore the "tools" which have been developed to support the computer revolution. This includes new programming languages, algorithms to operate computer CPU's and a variety of communication protocols. The HTML protocol and its associated data transfer routines is a new tool which has been very important, for example.

You also ignore the effect that militarism has had on our choice of priorities. The number of really bright people going to work for the military contractors, or in universities on government grants is significant. And these people have been recruited away from designing better autos, levees, or things not yet envisioned.

So, I would say we are still creating as many "tools" as before, but the majority of them are directed at winning financial games and blowing things up.

As I've said before, the rest of the world doesn't operate under the same misguided priorities so we can expect to see the US become a second class intellectual power as others do the inventing (and patenting) instead of us. We already see this happening in areas like stem cell research which is big in the UK and Korea.

Can this be fixed? I don't see how. Big money controls elections, so populists don't get into power. The big money interests are happy with the current arrangement and since they control the purse strings there is little pressure for change. When the next economic upheaval happens we may see a reaction, but the cost to those steamrollered by it will be high.

Advance planning for disaster is not one of our strong points. Katrina is the perfect example.

Policies not Politics
---- Daily Landscape

by rdf (robert.feinman@gmail.com) on Wed Oct 25th, 2006 at 12:13:35 PM EST
So, I would say we are still creating as many "tools" as before, but the majority of them are directed at winning financial games and blowing things up.

Excellent point.

Advance planning for disaster is not one of our strong points. Katrina is the perfect example.

Not just disaster, but the future in general.

One of the things that's changed is the scope that's needed to deal with reality. Being able to weld and fix things is useful, but it doesn't require much forward planning. Previous generations certainly had some strategic abilities, but they lived in a world where things happened so slowly that there was plenty of time to makes things up as they went along.

What we have now is the same short-term scope, a set of tools created for the wrong reasons (i.e. making a quick buck out of thin air, and blowing stuff up) and no forward planning.

I don't think it's about tools, so much as disconnection from physical reality. When you live in an office and push numbers around, you're five or ten steps away from the physical effects, and you can pretend that the physical effects aren't real.

So you get economics which is pure made-up woo-woo, both in terms of bubbles and pretend-factors like GDP.

If every would-be economist or MBA had to spend a year working on a farm, it's possible the world would be a much better place.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Wed Oct 25th, 2006 at 04:23:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Well put!!!

Yes our toolbox is ill-matched for the job at hand.  Considering the open assault on the American tool culture in the last 30 years, we are damn lucky to have any tools at all.

Recently I shot some video of the erection of a Vestas v82 about a mile from my house. (YouTube footage at:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PyehD1j0kUU

Yes the millwrights were local, and yes, some major parts had been built in Louisiana.  But the design and critical parts are Danish.  I simply cannot believe that USA aerospace was unable to do this themselves.  And in the early 70s, Boeing actually built a few wind turbines.  But producers only get to build what they are paid to build, so that project died on the vine.  And now, if wind turbines are made in USA, the TOOLS will be imported.  This is new.  This happened since I became an adult.

As for the economists.  Good grief.  These are people who studiously ignore the whole tool culture and its operation and still insist they can describe how an economy works.  Kind of hard to do without acknowledging the critical half of the population.  An economist is someone who calls the work of a genius a "widget."


"Remember the I35W bridge--who needs terrorists when there are Republicans"

by techno (reply@elegant-technology.com) on Wed Oct 25th, 2006 at 05:08:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]
As for the economists.  Good grief.  These are people who studiously ignore the whole tool culture and its operation and still insist they can describe how an economy works...

But surely you will admit that Wassily Leontief, the economist and Nobel Prize winner, had deep insights into technology. His thought encompassed even new technology and structural change in economies. For example, his "input-output" system shows the following:

The solution procedure for prices and profit is as simple as before.
All we do is recognize that p = (1+r)Ap implies that

(I - (1+r)A)p = 0

so that, for a non-trivial solution, |I - (1+r)A| = 0, i.e.
the determinant of the new technology matrix must disappear.

And there you have it.

Words and ideas I offer here may be used freely and without attribution.

by technopolitical on Thu Oct 26th, 2006 at 01:51:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Great diary.

I am not sure you are right, but it does feel right, and feeling that pisses me off.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid on Wed Oct 25th, 2006 at 02:54:45 PM EST
Love your signature line.  You are very likely correct!

"Remember the I35W bridge--who needs terrorists when there are Republicans"
by techno (reply@elegant-technology.com) on Wed Oct 25th, 2006 at 03:56:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I didn't make it up myself. Robert Hirsch hammered it into my skull during a lecture he held in Uppsala in the spring of 2005.

His latest stuff about Peak Oil:

Short.

Longer.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid on Thu Oct 26th, 2006 at 02:37:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Thanks for the comments!

As for the web site "elegant-technology.com" not working, please try again.  It was down for a few minutes this morning but everything seems to be working now.  If it still does not work for you, please contact me at: reply@elegant-technology.com
and let me know what sort of problems you may be having.

And yes, there are many great errors in the non-tool world that have massive life and death consequences.  Hitler's decision to invade USSR certainly qualifies, as do MANY other examples.  The outcome of a high school sporting event does not.

Of course, the decision to trash the great tool culture of USA is one of those stupid mistakes.  

"Remember the I35W bridge--who needs terrorists when there are Republicans"

by techno (reply@elegant-technology.com) on Wed Oct 25th, 2006 at 03:55:35 PM EST
Great diary Techno, you really played a tone.  I don't have the same approach to technology, gadgets, and solutions, so it was enjoyable, illuminating, ya know, a great read.

To make things worse, the delightfully light and brisk steering inspired driver over-confidence.  And since most drivers automatically assume that every tire should get the same amount of air, the Corvair became a death trap.  So Nader had a legitimate target.  

I don't know the other side of the argument, but from what you write I get a sense of engineers thinking, "Those bloody idiots!"  But why didn't the engineers know they were building cars for bloody idiots--me, perhaps--and design accordingly?  I don't have the same fascination with every gadget.  One may fascinate me and I become versed in its ways.  Others I learn as I much about them as I think I need to know (read the instructions!) and that usually works.

In fact, unless you read the owner's manual and carefully inflated the rear tires to 30 psi while only inflating the front tires to 18 psi, your Corvair was an ill-behaved beast.

...that killed people?  Why not just have a massive advertising campaign to say "You need more air at the back and less at the front, otherwise it'll take off and hit a tree.  30 at the back, 15 at the front."  Pay people to educate at the service stations...

Techno, you created a whole world for me, I was there with you in the sixties and seventies, but really before perhaps, when they built the main industrial connections...all those workers slaving...what percentage of the population would you estimate could become a good engineer?  Someone who knows how to do a good and valuable job, to undertake intriguing and helpful tasks...coz I think we're all tool makers.  I was wondering why you were studying literary criticism.  I agree with you, oh yes!  But I don't think it was a left-wing luddite mentality that screwed engineering wrong.  I can only speak as a left-wing luddite, but really we're not to be compared to some small part of academia.  The University seems a great place to study, but a bad place to teach, and I wouldn't encourage anyone to go to one unless they have something specific they wish to learn.   But I wouldn't discourage anyone from going to a University.  I enjoyed it.  I'm sure most would, but having a subject you enjoy is important, as is a kind of youthful bounce.  I really enjoyed your story where you worked construction over the winter and summer breaks, and that paid for you to go to University during term time.  Crazy days!  And I really enjoyed how you brought alive the really human and positive element of Keynes's principals, how they were designed to ameliorate the conditions of the majority, to keep people from want, need, cold, etc...

Techno!  Very enjoyable.  We've had some very enjoyable diaries this week.  Cheers!

Don't fight forces, use them R. Buckminster Fuller.

by rg (leopold dot lepster at google mail dot com) on Wed Oct 25th, 2006 at 07:14:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Elaborate....

You can't be me, I'm taken
by Sven Triloqvist on Wed Oct 25th, 2006 at 07:29:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I'd rather read someone else's more elegant writing, more punchy and precise, but when I read a great diary like this one I want to...respond!  And if I crash in the ze surf...bash!  Ouch!  I jabber and so I'm not sure which part you want me to elaborate one...well...

How do you see the relationship between engineers and the wider society?  GM came to mind as I read the part about having to forge ahead without knowing all the ramifications...techno captured the enthusiasm so well I feel like I came across as groucho the grouchy grouch person at times in my post.  I think engineers, like doctors, should have a duty not to harm.  What's the latin?  Making bombs or bullets, designing new weapons of destruction is a boom industry...full of tools and complications...as is building windmills.  Techno elegantly deconstructs the process of eviscerating an industry rather than developing it, really clear writing.

Don't fight forces, use them R. Buckminster Fuller.

by rg (leopold dot lepster at google mail dot com) on Wed Oct 25th, 2006 at 07:48:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I am not sure I wanted that...

But failure is always good. Especially your writing!

 The machine gun approach is OK. But sniping is appreciated

You can't be me, I'm taken

by Sven Triloqvist on Wed Oct 25th, 2006 at 08:05:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]
With an engineering degree, the natural destination is defence or petrochemical engineering. Plus some IT. Everything else is filler.

Engineers are good at tools, but unfortunately they're not so good at politics. Many engineers tend to drift rightwards.

Engineers love solving specific problems, but they're often not interested in the wider context. I met someone who used to design missiles. He was telling me that he was looking at some pictures from one of the Arab-Israeli conflicts, and suddenly it hit him that the project he'd been working on was being used to kill people.

He really hadn't joined the dots until then. His work was a set of problems to be solved to meet a specification, and he hadn't asked any questions outside of that.

When you're welding things on a farm, it's impossible to avoid reality in that way. But when the culture is divorced from reality, it's easy for tool experts to drift out of wider reality-based thinking if someone doesn't give them a moral context to work in.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Wed Oct 25th, 2006 at 08:11:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I don't think it's just professional engineers that techno is talking about, though - they are just at the top of the ladder, so to speak.  It is sort of a whole culture in which people, in general, know how to make stuff, and do so every so often, whether it's connected to their job or not.  Where it is considered important to know how to do this kind of stuff, whether you do it professionally or not.  In much of America, that way of thinking about things really is dead.

I really do think that a real change in outlook comes about from having a basic understanding of how some of the machine of modern society functions, at a real level, to have dug into the guts of something, understood how it worked, and fixed it.  It's easy to just stand back from it all, to leave it to the experts, to neither be able to fix things, nor to have any basic understanding of them.

When you have that mindset spread across a population, it sorta changes the outlook, because so many more people are empowered at a very basic level, and are thus more likely to look at the world's problems as something that can be solved.  It also skews the pool of talent, by ensuring that more bright young people are likely to apply their talents to doing stuff in the real world.

I'm sort of in an odd position on this, having a low-level engineer father from rural Oklahoma, and a mother firmly embedded in the leisure class.  I followed her lead into academic graduate school, never having learned any of the basic skills my father tried to teach me as a child.  Yet, I do understand enough about computer hardware to put a system together out of parts, and I've unclogged drains with a pipe snake.  I felt a real sense of accomplishment when I figured out how to fix some busted bulbs on my car, but I realize just how pathetic it is that I had to spend a bunch of time figuring something like this out.  I oughta know these things.  We all oughta know these things.

I realize the value that comes from trying to think about the world on an abstract level, to try and come to grips with what truth is, what culture is, and how it works on a very high level.  That has helped me to see just how different that way of thinking is from the problem oriented and reality-grounded tool culture.  There is a need for some of this thinking, to help show us what problems need to be solved.  But there certainly isn't a need for something like eighty percent of my students at the University of Michigan aiming for pre-law, pre-business, or pre-med.  That is just ridiculous.

by Zwackus on Wed Oct 25th, 2006 at 10:20:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]
.....is a funny society: 80% of Finnish CEOs have an Engineering background. Compare with your own society....

The  basic question in this Finnish society is; "How does it work?"   Or - "What makes it tick?" It is this 'taking it apart to see how it works' kind of society that offers an advantage.

You can't be me, I'm taken

by Sven Triloqvist on Wed Oct 25th, 2006 at 10:42:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Of the current members of the Politburo Standing Committee of the Communist Party of China (the top level), nine out of nine are university trained engineers.

Words and ideas I offer here may be used freely and without attribution.
by technopolitical on Thu Oct 26th, 2006 at 02:08:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]
And yes, there are many great errors in the non-tool world that have massive life and death consequences.  Hitler's decision to invade USSR certainly qualifies, as do MANY other examples.  The outcome of a high school sporting event does not.

Clearly.  The example of a basketball game was merely illustrative.  A more concrete real world example is how Shaka , the Zulu chieftain, transformed the patterns of Zulu military and social organization which gave him the ability to conquer and merge multiple tribes into a much larger and powerful Zulu "nation".  The point is that knowledge of human organization and human behavior may have just as important life and consequences as "tool culture" as you have described it, but I am not sure if you would include "organization culture" under "tool culture" as well.

rdf and ThatBritGuy make similar points above.

A recent book titled The Starfish and the Spider has a similar example about how the U.S. military finally overcame the Apaches.

Un seul mauvais exemple, une fois donné, est capable de corrompre toute une nation, et l'habitude devient une tyrannie.

by marco on Wed Oct 25th, 2006 at 10:10:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
And then it all came unglued.  In 2006, we have a merchandise trade deficit of over $2 billion...per DAY.  With the exception of weapons, we make almost nothing the rest of the world actually wants to buy.

It's amazing that even among people who study this topic, this falsehood is repeated over, and over, and over. It's a stunning "common knowledge" generalization, and I don't know why it is such a powerful meme. My guess is that people tend to see declines over time in static binary terms, ie, we don't produce as much as we used to, therefore we don't really produce anything. Culturally I think part of it is simply nostalgia for the glory days of the 50's and 60's.

Someone (maybe me, although others here have an actual economics background) needs to do an in depth diary on this at some point, but on short notice here are the world's top 10 exporters by dollar value (in billions) and the % of their workforce employed in manufacturing, based on the handy CIA world factbook:

1 Germany     $1,016  33.4%
2 United States $927  22.9%
3 China     $752  47.3%
4 Japan     $550  27.8%
5 France     $443  24.4%
6 United Kingdom $372  23.7%
7 Italy     $371  29.1%
8 Netherlands     $365  24.4%
9 Canada     $364  29.4%
10 Korea, South $288  40.3%

You can argue the impact of fiat currencies, exports per capita, counting financial services as exports (not sure to what degree that happens), but when the US appears on this chart at #2, ahead of China, anyone saying "we make almost nothing the rest of the world actually wants to buy" should be embarrassed by such a simpleton argument.

This also shows what to me is the primary source of our trade imbalance: the absolutely staggering quantity of shit we Americans consume.

I agree with most  of this article to an extent, but the binary nature of some of the argments have set me off.

you are the media you consume.

by MillMan (millguy at gmail) on Wed Oct 25th, 2006 at 07:57:39 PM EST
Well, you can sure make an argument about those figures for the US economy., but does it mean anything?

'Dollar value' is the big variable in  this equation. As well as 'manufacturing'. I agree that 'shit' is the main export.

But can we compost it?

You can't be me, I'm taken

by Sven Triloqvist on Wed Oct 25th, 2006 at 08:24:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]
"shit" does not refer to the exports.  

you are the media you consume.

by MillMan (millguy at gmail) on Wed Oct 25th, 2006 at 08:53:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]
To what then?

Does the product of the AMERICAN SOCIETY apply only to domestic consumption?  BS!

Finland has a population of 5 million. Small, compared with 300 milliion.  But more innovations per capita, more patents per capita, more R&D per capita - more competitiveness, more...Oh I don't know...

And more welfare state. Compassion is not something that comes naturally the Finns: you do what you do to survive the winter. If you are too lazy to chop wood for the winter, we dig out the remains in Spring.

But if you are too sick to chop wood, we will help you. These are decisions. Social decisíons.

You can't be me, I'm taken

by Sven Triloqvist on Wed Oct 25th, 2006 at 10:01:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I'm not arguing American vs European values or the relative strength of the US economy, that is for another time. Here I'm arguing with the author over the claim that America doesn't produce anything that the rest of the world wants. It's too common of a view in the US, and it masks a few real problems for the US that I haven't brought up. I'd dive into them but I'm off to go do some pumpkin carving.

you are the media you consume.

by MillMan (millguy at gmail) on Wed Oct 25th, 2006 at 10:58:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Compassion is not something that comes naturally the Finns: you do what you do to survive the winter. If you are too lazy to chop wood for the winter, we dig out the remains in Spring.

But if you are too sick to chop wood, we will help you. These are decisions. Social decisíons.

And right here is the explantion of the latest Swedish election result: Swedes decided they were more like Finns.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid on Thu Oct 26th, 2006 at 02:38:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Noting that the US's population is 3 1/2 times larger than that of the top-ranked manufactured-goods exporting nation Germany, and around 5 times greater than those of France, the UK and Italy - try adjusting for population differences and the comparison-figures get seriously weird! -  here's the first item in the CIA Factbook list Millman was quoting from ... which "somehow" got left out:

EU manufactured goods exports = $ 1,318 billion

Nyaaaah!

...

Please forgive my descent into infantile EU vs US tit-for-tat piefighting, Millman - but that's half the point of posting on a mixed US/EU blog!

Other half being of course sharing thoughts and information communally/constructively, without  the fun of tit-for-tat EU/US piefighting... so to make up for my bad behaviour, here's a nice juicy stat-laden pdf called "US Manufacturing Goods Trade in 2006 - First Report" to chew on - contains some cheery news, some less cheery ... guess it depends how you read/play it?

Overview -
  • Manufactured goods continue to dominate U.S. trade so far in 2006. Exports of manufactured goods were 89 percent of total merchandise exports, while agricultural commodities accounted for 7 percent and all other merchandise for 4 percent.

  • The U.S. manufactured goods deficit continued to grow this year, but at a reduced pace. The deficit with Free Trade Agreement partners continued to improve and is one-third lower than it was in the comparable period of 2002. FTA partners
account for only 6 percent of the deficit. Asia accounts for 82 percent of the total manufactured goods deficit.

Trade Deficit -

* The U.S. trade deficit in manufactured goods for the first four months of 2006 stood at $160.5 billion, up $7.2 billion over the comparable period of last year.
This represented a 5 percent increase, a sharp reduction from the average 13 percent increase for the past four years. The slackening growth has resulted from a pickup in export growth and a slowdown in import growth.

* The deficit in manufactured goods accounted for 64 percent of the total U.S. deficit in merchandise trade. Petroleum accounted for the rest of the deficit.
Agricultural goods trade showed a small surplus.
(...)
* In dollar terms, the largest increase in U.S. manufactured goods exports so far this year has been to NAFTA, where the $10 billion increase was nearly double the second-place $5 billion increase to the European Union, and four times the $2.5 billion increase to China.
(...)

Asia

Asia -

  • Trade with Asia continued to dominate the deficit picture, and Asian countries have accounted for 82 percent of the U.S. manufactured goods deficit so far this year. China by itself accounts for 42 percent of the U.S. global deficit in manufactured goods.
  • The $9.3 billion increase in the year-to-date manufactured goods deficit with China, in fact, exceeded the $7.3 billion increase in the global deficit, meaning that excluding China, the U.S. manufactured goods deficit with the entire rest of
the world shrunk by $2 billion.
* The 29 percent rate of growth of U.S. manufactured goods exports to China substantially exceeded the 18 percent growth of manufactured imports from China. However, since manufactured goods imports from China are seven times as large as exports to China, this growth rate differential was not enough to prevent continued significant growth in the deficit. If this differential continues, however, it will begin slowing and eventually reversing the growth of the China
deficit.
* The deficit with Japan increased 3 percent, to $33 billion for January - April.
Exports to Japan increased 7 percent over the first four months of 2005, while imports increased only 4 percent. This growth differential was insufficient to
keep the deficit from increasing somewhat.
* The deficit with other Asia - "Developing Asia" other than China, grew 9 percent, to $30 billion for the first four months of 2006. Exports to Other Asia
grew 11 percent, while imports grew 10 percent.

Europe

The manufactured goods deficit with the European Union (EU) was $30 billion in the first four months of 2006 - up 2 percent from the comparable period of 2005.
The deficit had grown 2 percent in the comparable period of 2005 as well. Both of these growth rates reflect a major slowdown from the average 18 percent increase in the deficit with the EU in the previous two years.

* The slower increase in the deficit for the past two years reflects the fact that U.S. manufactured goods exports to the EU have been growing faster than imports
from the EU for the past two years. The principal reason for the change was most likely the appreciation of the euro against the dollar.

(...)

So somewhere-somehow, some people are obviously still manufacturing plenty of saleable/serviceable stuff in the US... just not quite enough, and/or quite export-saleable enough?

"Ignoring moralities is always undesirable, but doing so systematically is really worrisome." Mohammed Khatami

by eternalcityblues (parvati_roma aaaat libero.it) on Wed Oct 25th, 2006 at 09:27:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Thanks for the data, I had terrible luck finding anything through google. Bad search day I guess.

My argument wasn't US v Europe, my argument was against the common knowledge argument that "the US doesn't make anything."

you are the media you consume.

by MillMan (millguy at gmail) on Wed Oct 25th, 2006 at 09:49:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Your figures do not address what I wrote unless you subtract the sales of the military-industrial complex.

These are the sort of worthless stats that economists from such a reliable source as the CIA (perhaps you remember their growth figures for the Eastern Bloc during the 80's) pulls out of thin air and to prove what?  That our ability to export has not suffered???

Sheesh

"Remember the I35W bridge--who needs terrorists when there are Republicans"

by techno (reply@elegant-technology.com) on Wed Oct 25th, 2006 at 09:54:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Re "subtracting the sales of the military-industrial complex" - must be my lucky google-night for stats: I found the figures at first try... or at any rate, those for 2000/2001:
http://www.fas.org/asmp/fast_facts.htm

...keep scrolling down the page till you find 'em.  They should at least give an idea of the "order of magnitude" or whatever of US armaments sales in relation to overall manufactured exports?

"Ignoring moralities is always undesirable, but doing so systematically is really worrisome." Mohammed Khatami

by eternalcityblues (parvati_roma aaaat libero.it) on Wed Oct 25th, 2006 at 10:32:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
wikipedia claims $18.5 billion in 2004, looks like they have a few sources cited. So about four percent of the export total. I'm not sure why subtracting that even makes sense - certainly there are non-free market dynamics at work there, but to at least some degree someone wanted to buy it. If you don't like military hardware (I'm no fan of war or the military industrial complex myself) I think the argument is that military R&D and production is a misallocation of talent and resources, but I don't see how you can claim it doesn't count.

These are the sort of worthless stats that economists from such a reliable source as the CIA

If you have data that shows very different numbers please present them.

I don't claim that American manufacturing is not on the decline. But to what degree? Certainly not to a point along the lines of "we're not exporting anything the world wants other than military hardware."

you are the media you consume.

by MillMan (millguy at gmail) on Wed Oct 25th, 2006 at 10:50:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
P.S. apologies for messy layout of quoted text - due to using pdf "select text" function... yuck! Thought I'd cleaned it up OK before posting but no such luck.

"Ignoring moralities is always undesirable, but doing so systematically is really worrisome." Mohammed Khatami
by eternalcityblues (parvati_roma aaaat libero.it) on Wed Oct 25th, 2006 at 09:34:06 PM EST
Nah... Nice premise, but I don't buy it...
by asdf on Wed Oct 25th, 2006 at 10:16:31 PM EST
I'm supposed to be working - translating a fancy power of attorney for the manager of an overseas office of Italy's big state-owned TV company, to be precise - but it's a hellishly boring job and this thread is kinda-interesting, so I'll chip in one last time... two last points to make:

  1. one of the first really major, fancy engineering and big earnings non-military "things that America makes that others want to buy" that come to mind is civilian aircraft - Boeing is currently flying high while Airbus seems near-grounded... grrr. Another big US earner is Microsoft software.  A couple of US brands I've seen physically on sale around here (smallish town 25 km from Rome) are Dell and Logitech but I don't know whether their goods are physically US-made or just US-designed with outsourced components and assembly? Motorola cellphones are also available but from what I've heard they're technically not quite up to the Scandinavian and Japanese brands? Kodak's present in the films n' photos zone and it's possible to buy a few US brands of jeans (Levis and ??? can't remember the other) at very upmarket-cultish prices but again, I doubt they're US-stitched?  Must say I've also seen some goodlooking US-made boats in the marinas bobbing around amidst the Italian and French ones. But in general, apart from the things I've mentioned and Del Monte as a minor entrant in the fruit-juice and canned goods stakes there aren't all that many US-made products/brands in the shops, the vast majority of the goods we buy are Italian-made followed by EU in general followed by new/quasi-EU and Asian on the cheap-cheap end. McDonalds is present here but marginal, frequented mostly by tourists and/or immigrants these days. No Starbucks in evidence, no Walmarts either.

  2. As a personal example of a very appealing US-made product in a small-scale, innovative niche-goods field, my husband and I have just ordered through the internet a certain very ingenious American-only product that could potentially have an even bigger market here in overcrowded, apartment-dwelling Europe than in the USA itself: a very appealing+practical-looking thingy called a porta-bote - a NASA polymer put to a very non-NASA use, great concept and good-looking design!  Where we live is only 5-10 minutes by car from a rather nice lake, around 20 minutes from the sea-coast... plus the Tiber is navigable from Ostia/Fiumicino right up into central Rome, can hardly wait to try it out.. :-)


"Ignoring moralities is always undesirable, but doing so systematically is really worrisome." Mohammed Khatami
by eternalcityblues (parvati_roma aaaat libero.it) on Thu Oct 26th, 2006 at 03:02:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Re point 1:
All the items you listed as from the US are actually made elsewhere. (Boeing has some parts made abroad for assembly in the US).

There is no domestic US electronics industry anymore although there are large chip making facilities (IBM and Intel come to mind). Even with these companies they have many overseas plants nearer to their customers in Asia.

A recent report in the US found that much of the chip design work which is done by highly skilled electrical engineers is being shifted to India and China as well. The details are hard to come by as the commerce department refused to release the report until they were forced to release a summary by a trade journal freedom of information suit.

Policies not Politics
---- Daily Landscape

by rdf (robert.feinman@gmail.com) on Thu Oct 26th, 2006 at 10:32:47 AM EST
[ Parent ]
My compliments for a well-written essay. However; with respect, you are looking in the rear view mirror when you need to watch the road ahead.

Man the tool-making ape ain't outta bidness, boys. He's on the threshold of making machines that design and build machines. The very idea that mankind's future will be determined by guys who know how to weld and hammer and use jumper cables is as absurd as saying that camo-clad deer hunters can feed our entire population. Maybe in a post-apocalyptic world where Mel Gibson, a fast car and some gasoline have become new Trinity. Not here in the real world.

The science that will provide and guide our future as a species will not be conceived, designed, created or maintained by tinkers from down on the farm or off the local construction site -- it will be done by highly cooperative teams of people who each have a decade or so of advanced studies behind them. Assesing the human impact of new technologies will increasingly become a part of designing those technologies, as the feedback loops and social repercussions of new technologies return to us ever faster. It used to be that yoiu could grow wealthy, aged, and then pass away before the true costs and impact of your new technology became clear. Less and less possible nowadays.

Here's a thought experiment -- imagine you are a member of an interplanetary expedition, moving a million homo sapiens to another star system, on a voyage that will last for generations. All around you is endless, dark vacuum, and radiation. All you have is what you brought on board, so it ALL gets recycled; your Breakfast Algae Links contain molecules that once were your great-grandmother. You literally swim in your own toilet, after appropriate recycling.

Would such a ship be guided by self-taught tinkers and Jacks-Of-All-Trades wandering about the ship like heroes of yore, welding and hammering things as they saw fit -- or would it be cooperatively maintained and managed by highly skilled experts comparing dozens of different fields of knowledge? I really hope you went with the second option.

The single most important skill on such a ship would be the ability to foresee the long term effects of ongoing processes, and especially of changes to process. The focus of innovation and change would be on the survival of the human beings, not on the coolness factor of whatever ne technology they can create and make use of. In particular, the ability of the people in the Starboard Cabins to make powerful, new explosives so that they can conquer the people in the Port Cabins will be viewed as irrelevant and dangerous to the starship itself. Such warfare would rightly be viewed as auto-immune disease.

Planet Earth is that starship, right now. Always was, and always will be our one and only home. We have been busy getting our hands on its resources and using them up to attack one other so far, but events already overtake us in this century. We've been attacking the Port Cabins for thousands of years, now, but that's changing in the decades just ahead.

Mankind is at a crossroads in this century. We will either switch our view of our species to that of Spaceship Earth, and manage our fragile vessel on that basis -- or we will kill off enough of our own kind that the survivors can return once more to pillaging and plundering the planet, until they get so fat happy and stupefied that they qualify to be Honorary Americans.

The nature of human technology is to progress exponentially, to completely transform and replace itself in shorter and shorter time cycles. The true tinkers of our future will do their tinkering in pure theoretical sciences, including the human sciences. Artificial intelligence will vastly surpass the ability of any human mind to conceive of and create new technologies. Our role will be to integrate and guide those new processes to the advantage of our species, and our survival -- not to the advantage of one nation group, one tribe, one elite group who temporarily hold more or better weapons. Which is where we are this morning.

Even the human concept of work, of labor, will become irrelevant on Spaceship Earth. On a functioning spaceship, nutrition and intellectual input is simply provided to the crew. It's stupid to do otherwise. It would upset the overall efficiency of the planet's ecosystems to let people go out and cut down tall trees so they could plant potatoes on their spot. Soonenough, there would a potato war.

The focus of mankind's tool-making will change from getting and grabbing and fighting over scarce resources into a human-centric world view. Or not. We earthlings are either going to collapse Earth's ecosystems and suffer a hungry, thirsty die-off -- or learn to nurture them.

When we are truly living on Spaceship Earth, eating our own poo and swimming in our own toilet, and well aware that conquering the Port Cabins is irrelevant and dangerous to the well being of our planet and species, the Prime Directive of all technology will be the protecting and nurturing our species, not the creation of stealth bombers, H-bombs, germ warfare agents, and paperless voting machines. If someone invents a new weapon for killing people, on Spaceship Earth, he will be laughed at. Why would you shoot hole in your own rowboat?

I realize the author laments the decline of America as a technological and industrial leader. That's irrelevant to this planet-wide process. Which nation these new technologies come from is moot; the point is that these new technologies will make the world smaller, smaller, and smaller still, until there is no reasonable perception that the Starboard Cabins can gain something from attacking the Port Cabins, or hoarding supplies from them.

That's where we're headed . . . if we don't f**k up.

-

Frames exist within larger frames. Draw a larger frame around your opponent's frame; he will appear wrong or insufficient. This is how wizards play.

by Antifa (antifa@bellsouth.net) on Thu Oct 26th, 2006 at 04:46:30 AM EST
the ultimate tool we have is our brain, and we barely have a clue on how to use it yet.

look at autistic peoples' ability to recall factoids, or play instruments, to grok what untapped areas are beyond our monkeymind's reach.

specialisation can take you very far out on one limb, but it's easy to lose sight of the trunk that way.

i think our schools are releasing a bunch of over-educated fools, and i should know...

what is the trunk?

what antifa said

'The history of public debt is full of irony. It rarely follows our ideas of order and justice.' Thomas Piketty

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Thu Oct 26th, 2006 at 05:15:30 AM EST


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