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Israeli Election Results thread

by Rick in TX Tue Mar 28th, 2006 at 05:50:44 PM EST

Peace (hopefully) moved "Forward" today with Kadima.

http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/699377.html

Here's my favorite part:  

There was dejection in the Likud camp, which had difficulty regrouping after the party split late last year into rival factions headed by Sharon and Benjamin Netanyahu.

"Although the actual results have yet to arrive, we have no doubt that the Likud has sustained a heavy blow," Netanyahu told party activists.

In a direct swipe at Sharon, Netanyahu said the party had already been hard hit when "the former head of the party left it, and left us a broken, shattered movement."


Exit polls show Kadima getting between 29-32 seats, Labour (yay!) 20-22, Yisrael Beitenu (hardline Russian immigrants) 12-14, and Likud between 11-13, possibly tied for fourth with the Sephardic religious party Shas.  The likely coalition would be (if there are enough seats) Kadima, Labour, and the new pensionier party Gil (6-8 seats).

Poll
What are your views on the Israeli election?
. Good news for peace 33%
. Non-story...same old cycle repeats itself 44%
. Israel is a racist apartheid state that must be abolished 11%
. I (heart) Likud 0%
. Other 11%

Votes: 9
Results | Other Polls
Display:
If Kadima together with Avoda can form a stable government that will implement Olmert's stated plans then we're not going to get anywhere near peace but it'll make it a hell of a lot easier to implement a peace plan when you get an Israeli and Palestenian government interested in a final settlement.  That's because you'll have a lot of the settlements gone, including most or all of the really extremist ones (not sure what he is thinking about doing about settlers in Hebron and the big and radical settlement outside Hebron.)
by MarekNYC on Tue Mar 28th, 2006 at 06:36:29 PM EST
According to Haaretz with 99.5 percent of the vote counted, Kadima had a less than expected 28 seats. Labor held at 20 seats, and Shas rose to 13, making the Sephardi ultra-Orthodox party the third largest faction in the Knesset.

taking Meretz and arab parties we have 4 more seats and 10 more seats respetively for the left.

The new surprising Pensioner´s party won seven seats

So, a center left or center -right is possible. But a center-rigth will include all the elements, even the more radical absolutely oppose to diengagement. On the other hand, the center-left would probably not need meretz but it would certainly need the arab parties..at least as quiet opposition.

As always shas can sit down with both right and left if the ultraortodox get funding...

So a soft center-left coalition with some religious elements (not radical) seem the tyical prospect.

kadima+Labour+Shas>60 sits needed. Partial  disengagment and ultraortodox funding as fundamental pieces of the new government...the pensioner´s party can join if the government guarantees the adquisition level of the pensioners since they support getting out of half of palestine (at least)

A pleasure

I therefore claim to show, not how men think in myths, but how myths operate in men's minds without their being aware of the fact. Levi-Strauss, Claude

by kcurie on Wed Mar 29th, 2006 at 06:52:45 AM EST
Can you have Shas and the arab parties together in the same government?

A society committed to the notion that government is always bad will have bad government. And it doesn't have to be that way. — Paul Krugman
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Mar 29th, 2006 at 07:00:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]
You can not have the arab parties in any government.... but they indeed can be quiet and support the government as a matter of fact. They can indeed do it with Shas..probably not with Likud or Israel Our House or the fascists (sorry that's what they are) right-wing parties.

A pleasure

I therefore claim to show, not how men think in myths, but how myths operate in men's minds without their being aware of the fact. Levi-Strauss, Claude

by kcurie on Wed Mar 29th, 2006 at 07:03:48 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Sort of like EHAK supporting the Basque tripartito from outside the government, huh?

A society committed to the notion that government is always bad will have bad government. And it doesn't have to be that way. — Paul Krugman
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Mar 29th, 2006 at 07:05:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]
sort of? the same...arithmetically speaking of course:)

I therefore claim to show, not how men think in myths, but how myths operate in men's minds without their being aware of the fact. Levi-Strauss, Claude
by kcurie on Wed Mar 29th, 2006 at 07:10:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]


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