by Agnes a Paris
Thu Mar 9th, 2006 at 11:14:07 AM EST
Change is not always comfortable, but it is a necessity for progress. The pain inflicted on those who are on the destroyed end of Joseph Schumpeter's "creative destruction" can be great, but without it, the U.S. would not have progressed as quickly as it has, especially in moving away from an industrial economy.
The speed of the destruction process has become all too obvious in recent years, as new technologies have combined with globalization to create a period of near-total dislocation in the world economy.
The decimation of the U.S. industrial sector, as seen most recently in the problems faced by Ford Motor Co. and General Motors Corp., has dramatically changed patterns of employment and production.
Yet the overall economy has remained extremely resilient. The unemployment rate, on average, has been lower during the last 10 years (5.0%) than during any 10-year period since 1965-1974. Source: BIT(Geneva)
Growth in productivity has been strong as well, keeping real GDP rising strongly in spite of weaker labor-force growth. Average hourly earnings have continued to rise, though the recent Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finances shows a slowing of growth and a continued widening of income differentials.
I was wondering whether we Europeans have something to learn from that ability to successfully sustain change, the pain and losses caused by donwsizing, corporations disappearing, new ones growing up and renewed hopes coming along.
Is that the flexibility our governments call for? May be. The thread is yours.
Corporate Leaders Have Changed
Top U.S. Corporations (Excluding Oil Firms)
Ranked by Market Capitalization
1959
1 AT&T
2 General Motors
3 DuPont
4 General Electric
5 Union Carbide
6 U.S. Steel
7 IBM
8 Sears, Roebuck
9 Aluminum Co. of America
10 Bethlehem Steel
2006
1 General Electric
2 Microsoft
3 Citigroup
4 Bank of America
5 Procter & Gamble
6 Pfizer
7 Wal-Mart
8 Johnson & Johnson
9 American International Group
10 Altria
In 1959, the list of largest firms was dominated by large manufacturers. Today, the service sector dominates. Only one firm remains on the list from 1959: General Electric Co. In 1959, there were no financial firms in the top 10; today, there are three. Five of the top firms did not even exist in 1959, at least in a similar form.
The rise of the financial sector reflects the deregulation of the late 1970s and 1980s.
There were no financial companies in the top 10 in 1959, which was the first year bank stocks were traded on the NYSE. At that time, banks could operate in only one state, and in most states, they could only operate in one county or region of the state. Illinois, for example, did not even allow banks to have branches within the same city.
The restrictions on mergers between banks and other financial institutions have also been relaxed since 1959. The three financial institutions in the top 10 are the result of mergers among institutions that were around in 1959 but were much smaller.
If deregulation pulled the financial companies into the top tier, it pushed AT&T out. AT&T virtually was the sector in 1959. However, if the proposed AT&T/BellSouth merger goes through, the combined company will rank 11th in market cap (10th when excluding energy), nosing out Altria Group Inc. for the last spot on the table.
Seven of the 10 largest companies in 1959 were large traditional manufacturers. One, General Electric Co., has changed dramatically, with manufacturing no longer dominating the company.
The other six have shrunk relative to the economy or disappeared through merger or bankruptcy.
Consumer manufacturing companies (including pharmaceuticals) have replaced them on the list, with four of the top 10 now in this category. Interestingly, there is still one retailer, as Wal-Mart Stores Inc. has replaced Sears, Roebuck and Co.
Are we in Europe ready to accept the idea that the cycle of corporation life is one of life and death ? Is that what flexibility is about?
My opinion is that flexibility is not gained by abolishing contractual boundaries and mutual obligations. On the contrary, freedom makes no sense without rules. That works for individuals, but also on a "global village scale", the one of economy. Flexibility is not releasing the most ruthless instincts. Without regulations, corporations are wolves for each other, and men within them are bound to fall pray to that contest.
Hence my deep belief that we in France are doing things wrong.