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Fidel Castro: The End of an Era?

by jandsm Tue Aug 1st, 2006 at 02:20:16 AM EST

It may be just another normal surgery or it may the end of an era: Fidel Castro today handed power over 'temporarely' to his brother Raul.

From the BBC:

"Cuban leader Fidel Castro has undergone surgery and temporarily handed power to his brother Raul.

A statement written by the president and read on TV by his personal secretary said Mr Castro had suffered internal bleeding. The Cuban leader, who turns 80 next month, said a punishing schedule in recent weeks had affected his health.

It is the first time Mr Castro has relinquished any of his duties since he came to power in 1959.

Raul Castro, the defence minister, has long been designated as his successor should he become incapacitated."

It may be just temporarely but the timing - just two weeks before the 80th birthday - strikes me as not accidental. Would Castro's days in power end, it would mean the end to an extraordinary reign as the worlds last socialist leader.

I am not sure whether I wouls miss him. Being a socialist myself I always disliked polititians in uniform. Being a gay socialist, I always hated regimes that systematically persecute gays and lesbians. Being a German gay socialist, I want my island back.

Still, he is/was an extraordinary person. And Cuba achieved extraordinary things for a developing country on the fields of health care and education. But we'll have a long time to discuss it - but I have to go to work.

In any way, the sanctions must end,too.


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This could be big news...or no news at all...but with the discovery of a big oil field near Cuba (see Laurent's diary), one can't help but think that big changes could occur...or not...

"Once in awhile we get shown the light, in the strangest of places, if we look at it right" - Hunter/Garcia
by whataboutbob on Tue Aug 1st, 2006 at 06:44:07 AM EST
Presumably Raul Castro would not change much. It is the next generation of Cuban leaders who will have to decide whether to sell out to the Americans and restore the property seized from the Mafia and the Cuban-Americans.
by Gary J on Tue Aug 1st, 2006 at 11:34:24 AM EST
Good riddance. Pinochet plus universal health care.
by MarekNYC on Tue Aug 1st, 2006 at 12:10:53 PM EST
Well, Raúl follows, who may be more of a Pinochet than the Big Talker. And the real question is what comes after Raúl.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Tue Aug 1st, 2006 at 02:47:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Who knows what comes after Raul, or even during Raul - any number of unpleasant scenarios come to mind, from increased repression to armed intervention from the north - not mutually exclusive. The best case scenario - peaceful transition to democracy with the preservation of the welfare state - unfortunately not too likely, particularly with the present US admin.
by MarekNYC on Tue Aug 1st, 2006 at 04:26:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I suspect that even a government elected in a free and fair multi-party election in Cuba would not reduce US hostility, unless US and right wing Cuban-American interests got back everything (in terms both of wealth and power) that they lost because of Castro.

As in Lebanon and Palestine a democracy is only defined to exist if it has a government acceptable to Washington (which continues to do as the US wants once elected).

by Gary J on Tue Aug 1st, 2006 at 07:04:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]
This might be a good occasion to post a diary based on a paper that my sister suggested to me about the EU's policy towards Cuba.

Nothing is 'mere'. — Richard P. Feynman
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Aug 1st, 2006 at 05:39:28 PM EST
I can understand Castro's views except on the one issue of selection of successor. Why hasn't he spent the last 20 years grooming somebody who is a reasonable age to take over?
by asdf on Tue Aug 1st, 2006 at 10:47:04 PM EST
Maybe he did, in secret, and will surprise us all when announcing.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Wed Aug 2nd, 2006 at 07:58:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]
There was a Cuban American professor on the news tonight saying he was afraid for Cuba now.  Not because of what the Cuban government will do, but "what this man will do" - and they showed a picture of George W. Bush.

Also a diary at kos written by someone in Havana, prefaced by "To be honest, I have been reluctant to write about my experiences here, not so much because of possible monitoring by the Cuban government as by our own (American) government."

And a White House coorespondant on the news, standing in front of the White House with "a special message from the dictator".  He went on to read a statement from Castro, but the imagery was priceless.

Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities. -Voltaire

by p------- on Tue Aug 1st, 2006 at 11:13:55 PM EST
Could you link that dKos diary?

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Wed Aug 2nd, 2006 at 07:57:32 AM EST
[ Parent ]
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2006/8/1/1603/44138

Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities. -Voltaire
by p------- on Wed Aug 2nd, 2006 at 08:23:35 AM EST
[ Parent ]
It seems some people really do think Bush is the only person capable of evil in this world...

How can you not be primarily worried about a power vacuum after a charismatic dictator dies? Even if Mr. Raul "has the Army in his back pocket" there are so many unknowns, and really, we have such a serious lack of information about what goes on inside Cuba.

you are the media you consume.

by MillMan (millguy at gmail) on Wed Aug 2nd, 2006 at 11:43:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, I for one am worried about what the Bushistas might do. If Bush had been in the White house in 1975 he might have felt tempted to invade Spain fo "fill the power vacuum" or something.

Just let Cuba be for a while, ok?

Nothing is 'mere'. — Richard P. Feynman

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Aug 3rd, 2006 at 02:16:37 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Plus, Dubya is the most important person capable to do evil in the world, especially in his insistence to stakll any meaningful international action towards controlling other persons doing or wanting to do evil in the world.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Thu Aug 3rd, 2006 at 11:08:25 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Any country that isn't strong is prone to becoming "safe for investment and profit," sadly. No way Cuba will go the way of Iraq - worst case US involvement is the usual CIA destabilization routine, I think, unless (and to be honest I wouldn't be shocked by this) someone like Chavez tries to exert strong influence into the potential power vacuum. No way any US administration tolerates someone like Chavez 90 miles from their border when he's basically Castro with oil. Even then I can't see something as horrifying as Iraq as Cuba isn't loaded with oil and there aren't internal cultural conflicts.

The idea of the US invading a western European country is laughable. I think Europeans overrate what Bush can do with the military. There is neither money, public support, or troops to fight a war beyond Iraq and Afghanistan.

you are the media you consume.

by MillMan (millguy at gmail) on Thu Aug 3rd, 2006 at 01:40:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The anachronical analogy with Spain is meant to express the idea that countries in transition are best left alone.

Nothing is 'mere'. — Richard P. Feynman
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Aug 3rd, 2006 at 01:44:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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