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The Assumptions of Bankers Prove Utterly Absurd

by techno Thu Jan 31st, 2008 at 04:54:03 AM EST

The second Fed rate cut in nine days is obviously much too little, much too late.  And listening to the cable show talking heads reveals why this is so.  You see, the Fed is at least 30 YEARS behind the curve.  The chattering classes think they are only several months.

Let's review.  The folks with the power to set monetary policy are institutionally predisposed towards the notions of "sound money."  For them, the only possible economic sin is inflation.  And the only weapon worth considering in the fight against inflation is naked usury.  

The problem with using monetary policy to fight the "inflations" caused by a run-up in energy prices is that the bankers cannot change the facts on the ground.  


And the main fact is that too many people want that most incredible of all natural resources--oil.  The bankers have been taught by the mega-fool academic economists that if the price of oil increases, there will magically appear more oil.  Listening to such fools is like being caught in an airport by a freaking Moonie, but such is the nature of an education in economics these days.

So the bankers are caught between their cultural hatred of inflation and love for usury, and the needs of the real economy--an economy they barely acknowledge exists.  In the past 30 years, they have become increasingly separated from reality as they sink ever deeper into their world of electronic money and ever more baroque derivatives as they strive to extract an ever-greater share of the wealth the real economy still, on occasion, produces.

It would be tempting to call for a return of the guillotine.  The financial cultists have richly earned such a reward.  But merely butchering a bunch of fools, while soul-satisfying, will not fix things.  The reason is that other fact on the ground--some sort of banking system is necessary.  We need bankers who actually have a serious understanding of their role in society.

The financial community is MUCH too large and expensive.  Too many people think they have the right to become obscenely rich manipulating electrons.  They have produced a destructive drag on the operations of those who must deal with the real world.  The financial community should be shrunken to 1/10th their current size and STRICT usury laws must be enacted.

When THAT happens, the bankers will have demonstrated that they finally "get it" and are over the mental disorders that have gripped them since the first time they couldn't understand the implications of an oil crises in the 1970s.

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And the main fact is that too many people want that most incredible of all natural resources--oil.  The bankers have been taught by the mega-fool academic economists that if the price of oil increases, there will magically appear more oil.  Listening to such fools is like being caught in an airport by a freaking Moonie, but such is the nature of an education in economics these days.

You might want to explain, convincingly, the actual connection between oil and the financial system, without it sounding like a Drumbeat post on The Oil Drum. I for one do not think the current economic disaster has much to do with oil at all. So economists think the production of oil is responsive to demand? At the limit, of course, this is absurd (the old joke about parachutes), but before then ...

But of course, I defer to our resident economists.

by wing26 on Thu Jan 31st, 2008 at 06:49:34 AM EST
Too many people think they have the right to become obscenely rich manipulating electrons.

I thought the main use of fossil fuel was to move electrons around, a.k.a. electricity production?

by GreatZamfir on Thu Jan 31st, 2008 at 06:58:45 AM EST
you can get rich rubbing ballons on wool?

Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Thu Jan 31st, 2008 at 07:04:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]
What for we are doing things? What is appropriate or what is not?

One hidden assumption is that common good can be taken for granted. It is either guaranteed by the "invisible hand", or it will be fine anyway, as it (presumably) ever was in the previous history.

The sacred thing in today's capitalist ideology is competitive advantage - it shall not be diminished by any help to "loosers", it shall not be regulated. It can only be at mercy of "innovation" chaos. It is a special kind of Darwinian understanding - the world belongs to the fittest, and god forbid to harm their well-being. In a nutshell, that is the deep anti-social ethics: the pain is measured by the privelege status, or by the amount of material or financial cost. As Barbara Bush said of Katrina victims, "And so many of the people in the arena here, you know, were underprivileged anyway, so this is working very well for them." They did not loose as much as Trent Lott!

The newest example: NRO Corner comments on the last Republic Debate:

Yeah, Senator, That's the Problem   [Andy McCarthy]

McCain: "There are some greedy people on Wall Street who need to be punished."

Is he our guy, or what?

by das monde on Fri Feb 1st, 2008 at 01:07:18 AM EST
[ Parent ]
There are short and long term issues.

Short term economists, pols and those in the financial sector want to see the gravy train start moving again. They can afford to take actions that will stimulate consumption in the short term because the overall effect in the long term will be slight, no matter what they do. Just remember long term these days means six months, while short term ranges from days to the nano-seconds that it takes to lose $7 billion trading.

Long term, there needs to be a fundamental restructuring of the economy. But this is real long term (30-70 years). No one is willing to ask for change or sacrifice now to help those not even born yet. As Reagan said: "posterity doesn't vote".

The only real debate going on is will the stimulus package help those who will suffer the most, or not? The answer is always that handouts go to those who vote - that is the middle and higher classes. No pol will give more than a token help to those who are resented by his constituents. "You are taking my money and giving it to slackers."

Policies not Politics
---- Daily Landscape

by rdf (robert.feinman@gmail.com) on Thu Jan 31st, 2008 at 01:59:20 PM EST


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