Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.

Lisbon agenda good news

by The3rdColumn Fri Mar 14th, 2008 at 10:57:25 AM EST

The Centre for Economic Reform (CER) launched in Brussels 'The Lisbon scorecard VIII' with President Barroso earlier this week.

The report highlights EU's 'heroes and villains' and is contained in a pamphlet The Lisbon scorecard VIII: Is Europe ready for an economic storm?, authored by Katinka Barysch, Simon Tilford and Philip Whyte.

The scorecard provides an annual overview of the EU's record on economic reform and points to the capacity of member-states to flourish in a world in which high-cost countries cannot sustain their living standards unless they excel in knowledge-based industries.

The CER was upbeat in their report, pointing out that GDP growth rates in the EU-27 outstripped those in the US with an estimated 3 and 2.9 per cent growth in 2006 and 2007 respectively. They also observed that the economic upswing was due to the efforts of many European countries to improve the structural underpinnings of growth as they followed the recommendations of the EU's 2000 Lisbon agenda, a set of pledges for growth and jobs which EU leaders signed in 2000.

After half a decade of economic gloom, the years 2006-07 finally re sto red some much-needed optimism to the European Union. GDP growth outstripped that in the US, and some 8 million jobs were created across the EU. The upturn was partly cyclical, but it was also the result of the re forms to product and labour markets that many EU countries have pushed through in recent years. The Lisbon scorecard VIII salutes these successes. But it also warns against complacency, especially at a time when the global downturn will test Europe’s economic resilience.

As in previous years, we single out those countries that have made the fastest pro g ress toward s raising employment, encouraging innovation and opening up markets. This year’s ‘heroes’ are: Austria – which has done well in copying the Nordic model of ‘flexicurity’; Estonia – a small, nimble newcomer that has moved ahead quickly; and the Netherlands – the only EU country that combines high employment with high productivity. Our ‘villains’ are Greece and Italy, which continue to combine poorly functioning markets with mediocre social outcomes. Some of the new member-states also need to raise their game if they want to cope with competition from emerging Asia.

Most EU nations have met the following pledges:

  • opened previously closed for transport and communications have opened
  • reformed retirement systems to encourage people to work longer
  • made life easier for small companies
  • their educations systems

CER underscored the fact that the Lisbon agenda has helped to turn EU into a laboratory for economic reforms but also acknowledged that while the EU cannot force individual memner-states to reform, Lisbon has made an indirect but noticeable contribution to Europe's recovery, notably in the employment sector which they said has always been regarded as the continent's weak spot. According to CER, the EU economies created an estimated 7 to 8 million jobs in 2006-2007 alone. Huge improvements were registerd among older workers and women.

The Lisbon league table/Overall Lisbon performance 2007:

  • 1 - Denmark (maintained overall EU lead as first both in 2006 and 2007)
  • 2 - Sweden (rank 2nd in 2006 and 2007)
  • 3 - Austria (was ranked 5th in 2006)
  • 4 - The Netherlands (was 3rd in 2006)
  • 5 - Finland (rose from 6th in 2006)
  • 6 - Ireland (jumped 2 slots from 8th in 2006)
  • 7 - UK (fell 3 slots from 4th in 2006)
  • 8 - Germany (jumped from 9th in 2006)
  • 9 - France (rose from 11th spot in 2006)
  • 10 - Slovenia (was ranked 12th in 2006)
  • 11 - Estonia (described as one of the "heroes" by CER; jumped up from 15th slot in 2006)
  • 12 - Luxembourg (an incredible fall from 7th place in 2006)
  • 13 - Belgium (did not budge from its 13th place in 2006)
  • 14 - Czech Republic (a rather disappointing performance from 2006 when it figured 10th)
  • 15 - Cyprus (fell one slot from 14th in 2006)
  • 16 - Spain (improved from 17th in 2006)
  • 17 - Latvia (was 18th in 2006)
  • 18 - Lithuania (enhanced its ranking 2 places from 20th in 2006)
  • 19 - Greece (an astonishing rebound from 22nd place in 2006)
  • 20 - Slovakia (was 23rd in 2006)
  • 21 - Portugal (a disappointing leap; down from 16th place in 2006)
  • 22 - Hungary (not quite good news on the Hungarian front as they slid from 19th slot in 2006)
  • 23 - Italy (continues to baffle; sliding from 21st in 2006)
  • 24 - Romania (good news on the Romanian front from their 25th slot in 2006)
  • 25 - Bulgaria (was 24th in 2006)
  • 26 - Poland (improved from 27th place in 2006)
  • 27 - Malta (was ranked 26th in 2006)

The above scoreboard was based on the Lisbon agenda key elements in areas touching on innovation, liberalisation, enterprise, employment and social inclusion, as well as on sustainable development and the environment.

In their conclusion, the CER sought to defend the Lisbon process from observers who have assailed the agenda as a shopping list of crude and sometimes inconsistent objectives and admitted that criticsims couldn't be dismissed lightly but insisted that Lisbon has helped to foster a broad, Europe-wide consensus on what needs to be done to secure the continent's future prosperity.

They also recommended that if European countries aspire to close the gap in living standards with the US, they must raise their rates of employment and productivity at the same time. They also highlighted the need for EU countries to keep going declaring that openness will be particularly important in 2008 and cautioned against the risk of EU countries falling into complacency.

The EU and its member-states still have to work harder to reach the Lisbon targets. For example: ★ E n e rgy market liberalisation remains stuck. The EU needs to find a compromise on ‘unbundling’ quickly, and move on to building a low-carbon economy. ★ In many EU countries, one in five youngsters is looking for a job. More flexible labour markets and improved education will be needed to change this. ★ European countries need to do more to encourage entre preneurship and innovation. The EU’s current, narrow focus on the overall level of research and development spending is not helpful.

The Lisbon Scorecard VIII has a plethora of wonderful inputs for the Europhile as well as for the Eurosceptic. I recommend that each and every European wort his salt should get a copy if only to verify for himself/herself where our own respective governments are headed and if they've been up to the task of building the EU on our behalf that they've been expected to do.


Display:
Where's the "good news"?

It might be good news if the Centre for European Reform managed to swear off endlessly recycling neoliberal clichés like small, nimble newcomer, raise their game, cope with competition, the gap in living standards with the US, flexible labour markets, entrepreneurship, and refrain from the usual ideological framing such as:

  • The upturn was partly cyclical (perhaps, but why is this never said of the Anglo-Saxon economies?)
  • it was also the result of the reforms to product and labour markets (evidence for this? what reforms? Germany reducing wages to gain a competitive edge would be an example?)
  • (NL) the only EU country that combines high employment with high productivity (high employment thanks to a much higher rate of part-time work than any other EU country)
  • The EU needs to find a compromise on `unbundling' quickly, and move on to building a low-carbon economy (liberalising energy markets will encourage short-term-profit investment in gas and coal, the antithesis of the second aim set out)
  • In many EU countries, one in five youngsters is looking for a job (a standard propaganda lie - France has a 15-24 unemployment rate around 20% while the UK has half of that, yet there are roughly the same numbers of jobseekers for a similar population in each country; see 1 here and 2 here and 3 here for explanations of this and other deliberately-maintained misconceptions about labour statistics)
  • narrow focus on the overall level of research and development spending (attempt to demonise public investment in research).

You might be right, though, that the scorecard could help us see where our own respective governments are headed. With a hope it's not where CER wants to take us... :-)  
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Fri Mar 14th, 2008 at 01:24:09 PM EST
Ever the optimist, I thought this was good news:
Lisbon has made an indirect but noticeable contribution to Europe's recovery, notably in the employment sector which they said has always been regarded as the continent's weak spot. According to CER, the EU economies created an estimated 7 to 8 million jobs in 2006-2007 alone. Huge improvements were registerd among older workers and women.
by The3rdColumn on Fri Mar 14th, 2008 at 03:53:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It is, but what indicates that the Lisbon Agenda (which, honestly, has not exactly been applied with any consistency and relish across the EU board) is responsible for this rise in employment?
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Fri Mar 14th, 2008 at 04:21:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]
From what I've read in their report, they are not exactly taking credit for the creation of those jobs. But were content to declare that Lisbon has initiated a useful process of comparing and contrasting among countries, so they can learn from each other what works and what does not.

I have just finished reading the report and still have to dissect its contents. I cannot at this time make a critical analysis of what the CER has so far advanced in that report.

by The3rdColumn on Fri Mar 14th, 2008 at 04:35:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, I'll just point you, in the chapter on employment, to p.50 (pdf)/p.85 (printed), where youth employment gets the header One in five youngsters is unemployed, below which can be read:

In France, Italy, Sweden, and some of the new member-states, more than one in five young people is looking for a job.

That plain statement, which can only be understood to mean that 1 in 5 of the 15-24 age-group is looking for a job, is (on the part of people who know what the stats mean) deliberately misleading. It refers to an unemployment rate of over 20%. That is not 20% of all people in that age group, it is 20% of the labour force, ie those who are (in employment + jobseekers). This is an age group where large numbers are in education, and where, according to national cultural differences, it may be more or less customary for students to have part-time jobs on the side. The size of the labour force (and therefore the unemployment rate) depends on this difference. Baldly stating that more than one in five youngsters is looking for a job (when in France, for example, it's actually less than one in ten), is simply setting out to blacken the picture the better to promote an ideological agenda.

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Fri Mar 14th, 2008 at 05:38:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Was the Lisbon agenda not more about improving the competitiveness of the EU relative to the rest of the world?  Should the scorecard not therefor compare the EU with other external competitors - US/China?India/Russia etc.?  I appreciate this does not attempt to be a full measure of development - unlike the Human Development Index - but how measurable where the s called Lisbon agenda items in any case?

"It's a mystery to me - the game commences, For the usual fee - plus expenses, Confidential information - it's in my diary..."
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Fri Mar 14th, 2008 at 01:41:01 PM EST
Should the scorecard not therefor compare the EU with other external competitors - US/China?India/Russia etc.?

There's a bit of info in the pamphlet but not a lot; I too had expected a more comprehensive and comparative scorecard but the CER devoted their report on comparing the member states' overall progress and "failings" over a two year period, i.e., 2006-2007.

That said, I found the report rather comprehensive and easy to read; includes a number of recommendations too in areas/sectors where the CER felt member-states were lagging. Overall, it gives a pretty good eyeview for those who are interested in keeping pace with what's going on in the EU

by The3rdColumn on Fri Mar 14th, 2008 at 04:06:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]
For those who wish, here's a link to The Lisbon scorecard VIII: Is Europe ready for an economic storm? (pdf).
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Fri Mar 14th, 2008 at 04:36:34 PM EST
Thanks afew, I failed to link the pdf properly but have fixed it.

Btw, very briefly (and based on what I can remember -- need to check my notes) Baroso's own comment was that the C plus which was the CER's overall assesement of results was a bit harsh since the overall trend had been positive.

Just the same, he remarked that the CER report was good well-balanced.

He reminded that the agenda was a series of signposts rather than a final end in itself.

by The3rdColumn on Fri Mar 14th, 2008 at 04:45:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]
From the press release:

New report highlights EU's 'heroes and villains', The Parliament.com, 10 March 2008

It gives an overall performance rating of just C-plus and the message is that member states "must do better".

Barroso said, "Most parents do not want their child coming home with a C-plus but I accept that countries must do better.

"The economic performance of member states has been uneven and some have shown more commitment to economic reform than others.

"Indeed, over the last 12 months there has been evidence of reform fatigue."

You'll think I'm obsessively critical, but is this infantilisation the level we should expect from political leaders and serious analysts? (I'm including the "heroes and villains" bit in this)?

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Fri Mar 14th, 2008 at 05:00:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]
No, I won't think anything of the kind -- matter of fact, I believe it's necessary to be critical. There are points in that report that definitely need to be raised and discussed.
by The3rdColumn on Fri Mar 14th, 2008 at 05:07:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]
If I weren't feeling too lazy (drained is more like it), I could actually write a report of the discussion that followed the launch -- there were interesting issues raised during the question and answer time and the commenters were fairly critical of the agenda recommendations.

I guess it will have to be for another day (the last few weeks have left me mentally and physically exhausted.)

by The3rdColumn on Fri Mar 14th, 2008 at 05:16:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Do get some rest - I have no time ahead of me to dig further into that report, anyway... :-)
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Fri Mar 14th, 2008 at 05:43:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Thanks, will do although next few days will be hectic -- a journalist friend from the US is arriving tomorrow on a holiday and will be staying at home. Have planned outings (and meetings with friends per his request, talk of a holiday - heh); I have a suspicion he'll be filing stories daily during this supposed holiday of his...
by The3rdColumn on Fri Mar 14th, 2008 at 07:13:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The3rdColumn, are you referring to something else as "the pamphlet"? (This report is 70+ pp, hardly a pamphlet.)
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Fri Mar 14th, 2008 at 04:52:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Afew,

But that's exactly what they called it; I've got a hard copy of that "pamphlet" which was distributed around at the launch (I attended the launch) -- it contains the report known as

The Lisbon Scorecard VIII Is Europe ready for an economic storm
by The3rdColumn on Fri Mar 14th, 2008 at 04:58:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]


Display:
Go to: [ European Tribune Homepage : Top of page : Top of comments ]