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Connecting dots

by a siegel Sun Apr 15th, 2012 at 03:24:07 PM EST

While the 111010_4541_08 / climate changeCherry Blossoms peaked in Washington, DC, well before the Cherry Blossom festival peaked (and maple syrup production plummeted) while Texas experienced four-foot high 'drifts' of hail, while Alaska had near record snowfall while the lower 48 states broke 15,000 temperature records in March, 2012, with temperatures over 8 degrees Fahrenheit hotter than normal, while Republican presidential candidates ridiculed the concept of climate change (and a marginal group of NASA retirees and employees make noise with a deceitful letter) while the scientific consensus about climate science strengthened with ever-stronger evidentary basis, while ... Are you 'connecting the dots'?

powerful video here (Can someone remind me how to embed videos here ... I can't recall coding requirements.)

On 5 May, 100,000s of people around the world will gather in events to help us (all of us) connect the dots in the complex interactions between our ways of life (whether direct fossil fuel use, consumption patterns, land-use, and otherwise) and the myriads of threats to the very viability of a civilized society that come from this: mounting climate chaos (that hail in Texas and blistering heat in maple syrup areas ...), ocean acidification, rising seas, disrupted habitats and ecosystems, and ... Sadly, as almost everyone reading this already knows, that list can go on and on and on and on and ...

To be clear, humanity is already facing "catastrophic climate chaos" as per any reasonable definition of the concept in, lets say, 1970 or so.  Extinction rates are already more than three orders of magnitude (>1000 times) higher than 'background'.  Agricultural systems are disrupted with heat waves (such as 2010 Russian fires), floods, and 'wacky weather'. Nations are already moving people due to rising seas.  Plants and animals habitats are moving (up mountains and north). Commerce is disrupted. Insurance bills are mounting. People are dying.  And, it will get worse ...

No matter what we do, the impacts from Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW -- a term that anti-science syndrome sufferers like to throw around with derisiveness to seek to undermine science) will get worse as the planetary system has a built-in lag time.  If humanity were to suddenly disappear overnight, climate chaos would continue to worsen for awhile to come as the planetary system (like a body fighting to recover from 1,000 cuts) recovers from the millions-of-years of accumulated carbon storage that humanity emitted into the atmosphere over a short few hundred years along.

Catastrophic climate chaos will get worse.

Our choice (if we still have one), as a species, is how much worse will it get.

Will we continue to accelerate, globally, our greenhouse gas emissions and continue land-use practices that exacerbate climate change or will we find paths to turn the tide to lessening our damage to the environment and turn to a  carbon-negative economy that enables prosperity while beginning to heal the damage we've done?

As with any addiction and challenge, recognition and understanding are the first steps toward resolution.

On 5 May, we have an opportunity to help humanity connect the dots.

Across the planet now we see ever more flood, ever more drought, ever  more storms. People are dying, communities are being wrecked -- the  impacts we're already witnessing from climate change are unlike anything  we have seen before.

But because the globe is so big, it's hard for most people to  see that it's all connected. That's why, on May 5, we will Connect the  Dots.

In places from drought-stricken Mongolia to flood-stricken Thailand,  from fire-ravaged Australia to Himalayan communities threatened by  glacial melt, we will hold rallies reminding everyone what has happened  in our neighborhoods. And at each of those rallies, from Kenya to  Canada, from Vietnam to Vermont, someone will be holding a...dot. A huge  black dot on a white banner, a "dot" of people holding hands, encircling  a field where crops have dried up, a dot made of fabric and the picture  taken from above -- you get the idea. We'll share those images the world  around, to put a human face on climate change-we'll hold up a mirror to  the planet and force people to come face to face with the ravages of  climate change.

Will you "hold up a mirror" and help people Connect the Dots?

Of course, connecting the dots doesn't stop at some seemingly abstract set of scientific concepts and knowledge about the interrelationship of fossil fuel emissions and ocean acidification/warming global temperatures/melting glaciers/disrupted weather patterns/etc ... We need to look at the disrupted political system(s), the $10s trillions of economic issues at play with the stakeholders willing to invest $10s of billions to confuse the political system to support their short-term profits while fostering worsening near- and long-term societal risks, and the inter-linking of those resources with so many other efforts to undermine societal health in the near-, mid-, and long-term.

Truly, AGW as a scientific concern shouldn't be partisan -- of course there are arenas of dispute within science, that is science. Will the Arctic be ice free in summer before the end of the decade, in 30 years, in 8o years?  There are legitimate scientific differences about such predictions (including, of course, misunderstandings that could derive from what is 'ice free').  How fast will sea-level rise occur?  Will tornadoes increase in a warming planet? While hurricanes will worsen, individually, on average, will there be more or less or roughly the same number?  These are, at the end of the day, questions at the margin of the consensus as to climate science.

After we have connected the dots, to an understanding of climate science, we do actually enter a realm of legitimate political debate.  Can our current economic system deal with climate chaos? Can the "market", with some regulatory tools handle things? Does "Cap and Trade" represent a viable (and effective tool) tool to enable shifting toward more Energy Smart practices or would a Carbon Tax work better?  How do handle economic and environmental justice as we seek to drive down humanity's total carbon footprint?  Etc ... There are 1000s of legitimate policy debates, many without a true "right" answer, but those discussions can only have meaning if we Connect the Dots about the problems we're creating, the challenges we face, and the opportunities that we could be seizing.

by edwin (eeeeeeee222222rrrrreeeeeaaaaadddddd@@@@yyyyaaaaaaa) on Sun Apr 15th, 2012 at 06:13:53 PM EST
The trick is to pick out the part of the embed that is needed with the YouTube embed code from the NUG:

From the address at the YouTube above, http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s5a5O2p0s5A&feature=player_embedded
pick out the parts after the v=  s5a5O2p0s5A  Replace the string of Exes with this string. Click preview

(youtube s5a5O2p0s5A&))  (Notice I deleted one of the leading parenthesises so you could see the string).  You should get the video as below:

"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."

by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Mon Apr 16th, 2012 at 12:06:32 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Somewhat delayed ... thanks ...

Not quite sure why the coding is, here, different from every other one of my blogging environments.

The video coding is the one thing that I frequently forget how to manage.

Blogging regularly at Get Energy Smart. NOW!!!

by a siegel (siegeadATgmailIGNORETHISdotPLEASEcom) on Tue Apr 24th, 2012 at 10:15:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Q: "Will we continue to accelerate, globally, our greenhouse gas emissions and continue land-use practices that exacerbate climate change?"

A: Yes, because we've been evolved for a smaller, cozier niche, and we JUST CAN'T HANDLE this one.

I find that the constant iterations of human progress, etcetera, blithely ignore history and current events.

Look around you. Think like an alien observer. Think about nine billion people. Reread The "Freedom Club." Or some sociobiology.

Evolution is not about purpose, but efficiency.

Align culture with our nature. Ot else!

by ormondotvos (ormond.otvosnospamgmialcon) on Mon Apr 16th, 2012 at 10:13:44 PM EST
Sadly, its not us you need to convince, it's the 1% who've done very nicely, coinue to do very nicely and are psychologically wired to resist ideas which threaten the status quo.

they're also the power brokers and decision makers without whom no change is possible.

Short answer : We're screwed.

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Apr 19th, 2012 at 11:41:14 AM EST
The deepest fault, and a tectonically active one to boot (thanks nomad), is the fact that an entire generation or two of 'managers' has been indoctrinated by organizational theory derived from the logistic problems of WW II, and that progress upwards though a typical hierarchy of this type involves many filters and traps designed to ensure that only sociopaths make it to the top.

An entirely new type of organization, never seen before, has been enabled by the not-quite-clichéd paradigm shift from analogue to digital in all communication channels. The current 'global management' is not equipped to respond to this shift. They no longer desire to 'represent' anything or anyone except the protectors of the dying system of hierarchical privilege that feeds them and gives them status - the ultimate desire of the uncompassionate.

You can't be me, I'm taken

by Sven Triloqvist on Thu Apr 19th, 2012 at 12:12:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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