Mon Jul 20th, 2015 at 10:50:03 AM EST
In recent days I have seen an uptick in comments in how the whole Greek thing is going to bring down Podemos. I think the fact that Syriza was unsuccessful will indeed be a drag on the performance of Podemos and right now it seems unlikely that they will take power in the next election.
Yet, confronted with the truly ugly side of Eurozone government, will people in the crisis countries simply back down?
Maybe, and people have been citing evidence for this on Twitter
So you see, Podemos is going down! Schäuble plan is working!
I found that somewhat difficult to believe.
And here we go: Opinion polling for the Spanish general election, 2015
The newest polls put Podemos at 19%. Which seems consistent with its previous results which indicate that Podemos has a ceiling at about 20%.
The Wikipedia page is actually pretty fantastic. They even provide a nice fit through all the data point which give you a feeling where things are heading.
So again: These are not earth shattering results and most likely some type of Great Coalition will govern Spain very soon, but Podemos will most likely have a decent showing in the Election.