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EU's Nuclear Option for Theresa May .. The End?

by Oui Tue Apr 9th, 2019 at 09:25:41 PM EST

LARGE UPDATE BELOW: EU Agrees extension until Oct. 30

President of the EU Council, Donald Tusk, urged EU leaders to offer a much longer extension. Tusk said the UK should be given up to a year to get Brexit sorted, claiming there was little chance of arrangements being made by 30 June. A draft EU Council document suggested such proposals were being drawn up. Labour has said it will back any "reasonable" delay beyond 30 June.

More below the fold ...


EU's Tusk argues for longer Brexit extension | DW |

In a letter to EU leaders on Tuesday, European Council President Donald Tusk pushed for a longer extension for Brexit than the June 30 deadline the UK government has asked for. Tusk said he was doubtful that the British government would find a deal it could agree to by then.

"Our experience so far, as well as the deep divisions within the House of Commons, give us little reason to believe that the ratification process can be completed by the end of June," he wrote, adding that the bloc should avoid "a rolling series of short extensions and emergency summits, creating new cliff-edge dates."

Tusk stressed that a no-deal Brexit should be avoided at all costs, considering the disastrous effects it could have on both parties economically, and on peoples' lives.

EU rejects Theresa May's bid for short delay to Brexit | The Guardian |

Theresa May's request for a short Brexit delay has been torn up, putting the EU on track to instead extend Britain's membership until the end of the year.

Despite the prime minister's desperate dash to Paris and Berlin, to convince leaders of her plan to break the Brexit impasse, the European council president Donald Tusk signalled the lack of faith in EU capitals with her cross-party talks.

Against a backdrop of growing support among the EU27 for a lengthy Brexit delay, probably until 31 December, Tusk picked apart May's appeal for a shorter delay to 30 June in a letter to the leaders inviting them to Wednesday's summit.

In light of the development, a cabinet source voiced doubts over whether May could survive after presiding over such a long delay to Brexit, after previously having said she could not "as prime minister" accept a longer delay than 30 June.

The source said some in No 10 now accept it is nearly game over and described all options as very difficult for the prime minister, raising questions about whether she can keep her warring party together much longer.

[Update-1] The day after the night of the EU summit of the 27 states …

The EU’s new October extension finishes off May and her deal | The Guarddian Opinion – Tim Kibasi |

Britain will remain in the EU until the end of October this year, but diminished in power and status, with a review of its conduct set for the end of June. It is the marital equivalent of being sent to sleep in the spare bedroom, if not quite the garden shed.

Wednesday night’s humiliation, when 27 other nations decided our fate – a taster of Norway-plus or “common market 2.0”, where decisions are made about the UK without our presence – exposes the lies of the Brexiters and the impossibility of a strong and stable position outside the EU. History will recall that Britons did not value their power in Europe until they lost it. Theresa May, too, was humiliated once again but it does not cut deeply since she appears to feels no shame. She remains convinced she was and is right: that blame is to be found with her detractors and not with her deal or leadership.

The question that remains unanswered is: now what? Few EU leaders were convinced that the process of cross-party talks would lead to a deal that parliament could support, and rightly so. It is not in Jeremy Corbyn’s interest to rescue the Conservative party from a crisis of their own making. And for May, any deal acceptable to the Labour party would cause a perhaps permanent split in her own party, not seen since 1846 and the repeal of the corn laws.

That’s why these negotiations were never offered in good faith – if they had been, the hardline Brexiters in the cabinet would have already resigned. Cabinet ministers from Jeremy Hunt to Geoffrey Cox seem unable to hide their duplicitous intentions, all but promising that a future Tory leader would rip up any deal.

Theresa May agrees to October Brexit as Donald Tusk warns UK 'don't waste this time'

A marathon six-hour debate among the EU leaders concluded with the prime minister being offered a longer extension than she had sought but providing a new autumn no deal cliff-edge to focus minds in Westminster.

“This extension is as flexible as I expected and a little bit shorter than I expected but it is still enough to find the best possible solution”, the European council president, Donald Tusk, told a media conference that began after 2am local time. He said of the extra six months of EU membership. “Please do not waste this time”.

The EU would also hold a symbolic June summit to review the UK’s behaviour as a member state following an outspoken intervention by the French president, Emmanuel Macron, about the need to avoid a “rogue” Britain undermining the European project.

Theresa May’s previous statement: “I WIL NOT ACCEPT AN EXTENSION BEYOND JUNE 30, 2019.”

British MEPs will 'wreak havoc with European parliament' if EU decides on long extension, says Tory Brexiter

END OF UPDATE

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The source said some in No 10 now accept it is nearly game over and described all options as very difficult for the prime minister, raising questions about whether she can keep her warring party together much longer.

Nobody Knows the Trouble I've Seen

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Tue Apr 9th, 2019 at 11:02:05 PM EST
Care to explain the joke?

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.
by Cat on Wed Apr 10th, 2019 at 01:40:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]
How much do you know about the life of Paul Robeson?  He fought his entire life and paid dearly for for it.

May is a self-entitled little git whose problems are entirely of her own making.

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Wed Apr 10th, 2019 at 03:39:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I know plenty about Robeson's life and the courage of his convictions, opposed to US federal government policies, particularly HUAC interrogations of NAACP members.

Tell us how relating Robeson's interpretation of a Negro spiritual is an amusing substitute, of all possible substitutes in your mind, for Mrs May's "troubles" as prime minister.

Because I don't get it.

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.

by Cat on Wed Apr 10th, 2019 at 04:18:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Backstage at Brexit summit: Huddles, iPad jokes, cod dinner
"It's a special kind of European dinner party: ...On the menu du jour: warm scallop salad, cod with shrimp and mini-mushroom arancini rice balls, followed by iced macadamia nut parfait for dessert."

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.
by Cat on Wed Apr 10th, 2019 at 09:03:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Tusk's advocacy in the Council nullified A.50 TEU exit ("default"). EU Council has effectively vacated A.50(3).

To the extent that UK gov fails to agree and ratify the parties' Withdrawal Agreement as is, details of UK domestic politics are actually irrelevant ... until further notice, as Zygmunt Baumann would say.

heh. I doubt EU gov would penalize UK, if it did not participate in EU elections. UK antagonists have nothing to lose now and much to gain by messing with EU budget.

Tusk's solution has realized de facto A.50 revocation by UK gov. All of UK remains in the market and union. After all, nothing in terms of UK membership  --except Council privileges, theorticaly-- has changed since 29 March 2017, not even the legitimacy of EU Withdrawal Bill provisions enacted by UK parliament under to TEU review.  

VARADKER: "We tend to operate by consensus and certainly that can take time and sometimes it is messy but it's actually how the European Union works and it's why it works, and if one country was to veto an extension and, as a result, impose hardship on us, real problems for the Dutch and Belgians and French as neighbouring countries ... they wouldn't be forgiven for it and they would know they might find themselves on the other end of that veto power in the future - so it is extremely unlikely that I could see any country vetoing it."
bit late for that prediction, mate

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.
by Cat on Wed Apr 10th, 2019 at 01:36:07 PM EST
Picardo's message to People's Vote rally: 'Revoke. Referendum. Remain.', 9 Apr
Addressing the packed event ahead of tomorrow's crucial EU summit, Mr Picardo reminded the audience that Gibraltar had voted 96% for Remain in the 2016 referendum.

"But we're democrats in Gibraltar and we accepted the result," he said. "What could we do?"

"But there is no safe way to deliver the result, that is what has become clear in the last three years."
[...]
"Well, if the kamikaze leavers have changed their mind, why can't the people change their mind?" Mr Picardo told the rally.

"It's time to go back to basics. It's time for the three Rs: Revoke. Referendum. And Remain."

this week.

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.
by Cat on Wed Apr 10th, 2019 at 04:40:02 PM EST
A | EU offers to extend Brexit deadline to Halloween
rationale conspicuously absent in this reportage

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.
by Cat on Wed Apr 10th, 2019 at 11:19:02 PM EST
Simples. No one wants a no deal Brexit.

Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Thu Apr 11th, 2019 at 03:08:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I am looking forward to 'Polexit' after the EP election and 2021-2027 EU budget agreement --What this?--on or about "October 2019 at the latest".

Let's see how the Poles make out their bid for sovereignty.

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.

by Cat on Thu Apr 11th, 2019 at 03:48:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]
That is, border security.

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.
by Cat on Thu Apr 11th, 2019 at 03:49:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Until I looked it up just now, I was not aware that "marching season" referred specifically to Northern Ireland, but in any case the pleasant springtime weather will encourage plenty of political demonstrations of all stripes.
by asdf on Thu Apr 11th, 2019 at 08:40:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]
#EuropeanSpring

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
by eurogreen on Thu Apr 11th, 2019 at 08:51:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The Latest: EU Diplomat Pans Hardliner's 'Difficult' Brexit

I found myself trying to work out which EU country the diplomat Pans Hardliner might be from. I think I'm tired.

Any suggestions?

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

by eurogreen on Thu Apr 11th, 2019 at 08:54:46 PM EST
Man wanted to attack White House with antitank rocket.

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.
by Cat on Thu Apr 11th, 2019 at 11:28:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The Human Wedge in a Fracturing U.K. Conservative Party | The New YorkTimes |

Red-faced and almost vibrating with anger, Mark Francois rose from the green leather benches of the House of Commons after his fellow lawmakers had voted to delay Brexit, torpedoing his dream of a no-deal plunge out of the European Union.

"Forgive them, father," he boomed, "for they know not what they do."

    "I am very concerned that the Prime Minister has entered into discussions with Jeremy Corbyn, who is a Marxist, with a view to taking us into a Customs Union. This would effectively keep us in the European Union, completely against the Conservative Party 2017 Manifesto and, even more importantly, totally against the decision of 17.4 million people in the EU referendum." - letter to Sir Graham Brady MP.

[...]

Arch-Brexiteers in Parliament are imploring Mrs. May to resign next month and are discussing a change in party rules to let them kick her out. Local Conservative leaders are promising to boycott upcoming European election campaigns. And a former cabinet minister defected over the weekend to a pro-Europe party because he said the Conservatives were being captured by "an English nationalist outlook."

"This is now a rupture within the fabric of the Conservative Party," said Alan Wager, a research associate at The U.K. in a Changing Europe, a research organization.

The 4 ways Tories plotting to change ancient rules to force out Theresa May | The Sun |
Grassroots Tories want to hold no-confidence vote in Theresa May | The Guardian |

Related reading ...

Brexit: 40% of Tory councilors to back Farage's new party in EU elections as revolt against May grows | The Independent |
EU parliamentary elections and the Brexit headache | France24 News |



Global Warming - distance between America and Europe is steadily increasing.
by Oui on Tue Apr 23rd, 2019 at 08:20:37 AM EST
So the plan to prevent a split in the Tory Party has is starting to cause a split in the Tory Party.

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre
by ATinNM on Tue Apr 23rd, 2019 at 03:33:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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