by Frank Schnittger
Thu Mar 26th, 2020 at 10:49:27 PM EST
The table above is continuously updated here and by John Hopkins University here.
The pandemic patterns are changing, with the highest number of confirmed Covid-19 cases now in the USA, despite a lack of a timely and comprehensive testing regime. Italy and Spain are still leading the mortality column with France also moving up the table. On a per capita basis, Luxembourg and Switzerland actually have a higher confirmed infection rate per million inhabitants and there is some hope that the rate of new infections is actually beginning to slow down in Italy where new infections have increased by less than 10% per day for the past four days in a row.
As testing technologies improve we may soon get a better handle on the real infection rates in various countries and thus the likely future mortality rates.
President Trump seems to be creating a huge hostage to fortune by talking about re-opening the US economy just as the confirmed case numbers (and future deaths) are increasing exponentially in the USA (see table above). The UK has finally also instituted draconian measures, but it remains to be seen whether the delay in doing so has allowed the numbers to expand beyond the capacity of the NHS to cope.
Ireland's mortality rate has doubled in a single day and new cases are still setting a record each day, but the rate of expansion is more quadratic than exponential and the hope is that the predicted expansion to 15,000 cases by the end of March will instead only reach 4 or 5 thousand by that stage. The peak still seems some weeks off, however, and we still have not seen the full impact of the social distancing rules and closure of all schools and non-essential businesses on the infection rate. No one doubts that the surge is coming, but so far the health system has been able to re-prioritise and expand to meet projected demand for some time yet.
10 more deaths and 255 new cases confirmed in the Republic
There have now been a total of 1,819 cases of coronavirus in the Republic, and 19 deaths.
The average age of those who died is 79, NPHET said. Some 68 per cent were male and 32 per cent were female.
Community transmission now accounts for a majority of cases (51 per cent) of all cases of coronavirus, according to the latest analysis of cases.
Close contact with confirmed cases accounts for 22 per cent of cases, and travel abroad for 27 per cent.
One-third of people are concerned about their personal health, and 77 per cent are concerned about the health of their family and friends, according to research conducted for the Department of Health.
The research also points to a high level of compliance among the public with the restrictive measures introduced in recent weeks, with 66 per cent saying they are coughing into their elbow and 81 per cent exercising physical distancing when in a queue.
Some 65 per cent of people are worried about the economy, and 32 per cent are worried about their employment status.
Chief medical officer Dr Tony Holohan said Ireland was "only at the beginning of the curve" and needed every citizen to heed the advice and measures put in place.
He expressed concern about clusters of cases in a number of healthcare settings such as hospitals and long stay settings such as nursing homes.
The HSE is now working to identify any contacts the patients may have had to provide them with information and advice to prevent further spread.
A breakdown of data from the Health Protection Surveillance Centre, of the cases diagnosed as of midnight on Tuesday (1,383 cases) reveals the median age of confirmed cases is 46 years and 340 cases (25 per cent) have been hospitalised.
Of those hospitalised, 47 cases have been admitted to ICU.
Overall, some 321 cases (23 per cent) are associated with healthcare workers.
Dublin has the highest number of cases at 774, (56 per cent of all cases) followed by Cork with 154 cases (11 per cent).
Further data can be found Here.